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Stablecoin exodus: Why are investors fleeing crypto’s safe haven?
Stablecoins have seen a 17-month decline as investors move to traditional assets. What needs to happen for the exodus to stop?
In a year filled with uncertainty in the cryptocurrency space, a new trend has been unraveling: a stablecoin exodus that has now lasted for 18 consecutive months and has seen the market dominance of stablecoins drop to 11.6%.
According to a report from CCData, the total market capitalization of the stablecoin sector in July was $124 billion amid a 18-month decline that affected most major stablecoins. While Pax Dollar (USDP), USD Coin (USDC) and Binance USD (BUSD) all saw declines, the largest stablecoin by market cap, Tether (USDT), has kept on growing.
Stablecoins are a class of cryptocurrencies that attempt to maintain price stability through a variety of methods. Most leading stablecoins are backed by fiat currencies, although others are backed by cryptocurrencies or commodities, or are based on algorithms.
The reasons behind the recent exodus aren’t entirely clear and could be multifaceted.
The suspension of fiat currency deposits on Binance.US following a lawsuit from the United States Securities and Exchange Commission alongside MakerDAO’s move to drop USDP from its reserves as it failed to accrue additional revenue impacted the sector.
Stablecoin trading volumes rose 10.9% to $406 billion in August, but activity on centralized exchanges is struggling, with overall trading volumes “on track” to continue to decline in September, per the CCData report.
CCData’s report points to the SEC lawsuits against leading cryptocurrency exchanges Binance and Coinbase and the race to list a spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund (ETF) as factors contributing to the increase in stablecoin trading volumes.
These factors suggest stablecoins are still acting as safe havens for investors, meaning the exodus could be related to other factors, such as investors cashing out their stablecoins to buy traditional assets as they exit the cryptocurrency space or to take advantage of rising yields in fixed-income securities.
The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasurys, for example, has been surging as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates in a bid to curb inflation. While the yield on these notes was at one point below 0.4% in 2020, it’s now at 4.25%.
Kadan Stadelmann, chief technology officer of blockchain platform Komodo, told Cointelegraph that one of the reasons investors are buying Treasury bills is the “greater certainty behind them.” Even though governments “like the U.S. might face significant debt trouble, they are still considered to be stable by the vast majority of people.” Stadelmann added:
“Meanwhile, stablecoins are perceived as riskier because the crypto market is still largely unregulated. Additionally, stablecoin returns aren’t fully guaranteed. This means if interest rates are comparable between both options, investors are more likely to choose T-bills over stablecoins.”
Digging deeper, the drop in the market capitalization of the stablecoin sector could significantly influence the broader cryptocurrency market. Stablecoins are often used as a medium of exchange and a store of value in crypto transactions, meaning that if demand for stablecoins decreases, it could reduce the liquidity and efficiency of the crypto market as a whole.
Circulating stablecoin supply exploded long-term
While the total market capitalization of the stablecoin sector has been declining for 16 consecutive months, CCData’s report detailed that trading volumes have not suffered the same fate.
Speaking to Cointelegraph, Becky Sarwate, head of communications at cryptocurrency trading platform CEX.IO, pointed to several changes in the stablecoin sector, including USDT’s rise and a slight drop seen in August, that have historical precedent and demonstrate an increase in demand.
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Sarwate noted that several projects experienced “noticeable fluctuations this year,” with USDC, for example, depegging following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March after it was revealed Circle had $3.3 billion stuck in the financial institution. She said this “likely set the table for Binance to pivot its holdings from the stablecoin into BTC and ETH.” Sarwate added:
“At the same time, USDC’s ubiquity in the DeFi space has long nudged other stablecoins like Dai to the periphery due to its overcollateralization requirements.”
She also pointed out that Binance’s flagship stablecoin, BUSD, has continued declining after Paxos was forced to stop issuing new tokens. Binance has since adopted TrueUSD (TUSD) and First Digital USD (FDUSD), which “both saw increased market capitalization of roughly 240% and 1,950%, respectively, in 2023.”
Thomas Perfumo, head of strategy at cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, told Cointelegraph that the market capitalization for stablecoins “corresponds with market demand,” adding:
“Over the last three-and-a-half years, circulating stablecoin supply has grown from ~$5 billion to ~$115 billion, signaling a massive growth given the attractiveness of hedging volatility and the flexibility of global, 24/7 transferability.”
Peli Wang, co-founder and chief operations officer of Bracket Labs — a decentralized finance options exchange — noted that leading stablecoins USDT and USDC registered a 23% drop in their market capitalization from June 2022 to September 2023, compared with the 66% drop from $3 trillion to around $1 trillion the cryptocurrency space suffered from November 2021 to September 2023.
To Wang, many cryptocurrency investors are “highly opportunistic in the sense that they follow where the yield is going.” After taking advantage of better yield opportunities in crypto when traditional finance had low interest rates, they are now moving to traditional finance as its rates have increased.
Following the yield
Wang isn’t alone in this analysis: Kraken’s Perfumo told Cointelegraph that it’s “possible that the decline in stablecoin supply is related to the attractiveness of other cash equivalents that earn higher interest, including government bonds.”
Perfumo added that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation has reported U.S. banks lost more deposits “than any time in the last four decades” amid rising yields, presumably as the funds are moved to Treasurys or money market funds offering better yields.
Pegah Soltani, head of payments products at fintech firm Ripple, told Cointelegraph that back in 2020, when interest rates in traditional finance were low, there were “little opportunity costs of holding money in non-yielding stablecoins because Treasurys and other fixed income securities yield near 0%.”
As interest rates rose, Soltani added, holding onto stablecoins over yield-bearing instruments became less attractive:
“Now that Treasurys are +5%, there are real costs to holding assets in stablecoins over Treasurys. Risk is a more obvious factor, but economic dynamics are likely playing a bigger role in market capitalization highs and lows.”
To CEX.IO’s Sarwate, there’s “no question” that higher interest rates made traditional finance more attractive to investors seeking fixed income. Stablecoin adoption, she added, was initially a “convenient on-ramp for crypto-curious participants to access more advanced services in the digital economy.”
Tokenized fiat currency
2023 saw major stablecoins USDC and USDT depeg at some point, which wobbled investor confidence. Pairing this with the recent collapse of cryptocurrency exchange FTX and of the Terra ecosystem — which included an algorithmic stablecoin that lost nearly all of its value — it becomes clear the stablecoin market has faced serious challenges that remain fresh in the minds of many industry participants.
Sarwate concluded that these industry participants want to feel secure while seeing their investments grow, which means that until stablecoins can “meaningfully address these two concerns, we’ll likely continue to see underwhelming or lackluster performance for this specific use case.”
On whether the move to fixed-income securities was temporary or indicative of a long-term trend, Soltani told Cointelegraph that tokenized assets like fiat currencies have “greater utility over nontokenized ones,” especially if issued on high-performance blockchains:
“Tokenized fiat is the future — whether it’s issued by a bank, Circle, Tether or others still remains to be seen. Whether it be in the short-term or long-term, the move to Treasurys is indicative of economic and regulatory success.”
If stablecoins offered the same yields as Treasurys while remaining just as compliant, she added, many cryptocurrency users would likely want to hold their assets in stablecoins, which are easier to move and trade.
Put simply, the incentive to hold stablecoins has seemingly been dropping, while the incentive to hold cash and other fixed-income securities in traditional finance has been growing.
Could PayPal’s stablecoin turn things around?
In August, global payments giant PayPal unveiled a new stablecoin called PayPal USD (PYUSD), an Ethereum-based, U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoin issued by Paxos and fully backed by U.S. dollar deposits, short-term Treasurys and other cash equivalents.
Today, we’re unveiling a new stablecoin, PayPal USD (PYUSD). It’s designed for payments and is backed by highly liquid and secure assets. Starting today and rolling out in the next few weeks, you’ll be able to buy, sell, hold and transfer PYUSD. Learn more https://t.co/53RRBhmNHx pic.twitter.com/53ur2KmjU7
— PayPal (@PayPal) August 7, 2023
The stablecoin is the first one carrying the weight of a major U.S. financial institution, which could potentially boost investors’ confidence in it. Others, as CEX.IO’s Sarwate pointed out, are weary of its centralized nature and have raised concerns over some controversial features it has, including address-freezing and fund-wiping.
Sarwate added that there are “many who view such overarching control as being antithetical to crypto’s promise,” something that, to her, could explain why PYUSD has struggled to gain traction so far.
PayPal’s stablecoin could nevertheless help the sector recover, even if by bringing in new users who had never used cryptocurrency before. Speaking to Cointelegraph, Erik Anderson, senior research analyst at ETF firm Global X, suggested PYUSD could be lowering the barrier of entry for crypto:
“We believe PayPal’s launch has the potential to make the technology feel more accessible and less intimidating to a massive user base (approximately 430 million-plus active users), which can be a great thing for adoption.”
Sarwate seemingly agreed with the assessment, saying that PayPal’s name being behind a stablecoin could “be a selling point for newcomers to the space and help establish PYUSD as a gateway crypto.”
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Ripple’s Soltani echoed the sentiment, saying that if the stablecoin is listed and available in the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem while being accepted by merchants working with Tether, it can “create material inflow to stablecoins and significantly change existing market shares.”
To Soltani, the stablecoin market will naturally “consolidate down to a few trusted names,” as otherwise “liquidity would be too fragmented.”
At the end of the day, it appears the stablecoin exodus is caused by a relatively stable cryptocurrency market and a flight to yield-bearing assets that investors feel safe holding onto while the cryptocurrency market consolidates.
Whether stablecoins will start offering exposure to yield coming from the fixed-income securities backing them or whether the on- and off-ramps will become so seamless and efficient that the market will begin to fluctuate heavily remains to be seen.
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07.09.23 16:24
CherryTeam
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08.10.23 01:30
davec8080
The "Shibarium for this confirmed rug pull is a BEP-20 project not related at all to Shibarium, SHIB, BONE or LEASH. The Plot Thickens. Someone posted the actual transactions!!!! https://bscscan.com/tx/0xa846ea0367c89c3f0bbfcc221cceea4c90d8f56ead2eb479d4cee41c75e02c97 It seems the article is true!!!! And it's also FUD. Let me explain. Check this link: https://bscscan.com/token/0x5a752c9fe3520522ea88f37a41c3ddd97c022c2f So there really is a "Shibarium" token. And somebody did a rug pull with it. CONFIRMED. But the "Shibarium" token for this confirmed rug pull is a BEP-20 project not related at all to Shibarium, SHIB, BONE or LEASH.
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02.09.24 20:24
[email protected]
If You Need Hacker To Recover Your Bitcoin Contact Paradox Recovery Wizard Paradox Recovery Wizard successfully recovered $123,000 worth of Bitcoin for my husband, which he had lost due to a security breach. The process was efficient and secure, with their expert team guiding us through each step. They were able to trace and retrieve the lost cryptocurrency, restoring our peace of mind and financial stability. Their professionalism and expertise were instrumental in recovering our assets, and we are incredibly grateful for their service. Email: support@ paradoxrecoverywizard.com Email: paradox_recovery @cyberservices.com Wep: https://paradoxrecoverywizard.com/ WhatsApp: +39 351 222 3051.
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06.09.24 01:35
Celinagarcia
HOW TO RECOVER MONEY LOST IN BITCOIN/USDT TRADING OR TO CRYPTO INVESTMENT !! Hi all, friends and families. I am writing From Alberton Canada. Last year I tried to invest in cryptocurrency trading in 2023, but lost a significant amount of money to scammers. I was cheated of my money, but thank God, I was referred to Hack Recovery Wizard they are among the best bitcoin recovery specialists on the planet. they helped me get every penny I lost to the scammers back to me with their forensic techniques. and I would like to take this opportunity to advise everyone to avoid making cryptocurrency investments online. If you have already lost money on forex, cryptocurrency or Ponzi schemes, please contact [email protected] or WhatsApp: +1 (757) 237–1724 at once they can help you get back the crypto you lost to scammers. BEST WISHES. Celina Garcia.
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06.09.24 01:44
Celinagarcia
HOW TO RECOVER MONEY LOST IN BITCOIN/USDT TRADING OR TO CRYPTO INVESTMENT !! Hi all, friends and families. I am writing From Alberton Canada. Last year I tried to invest in cryptocurrency trading in 2023, but lost a significant amount of money to scammers. I was cheated of my money, but thank God, I was referred to Hack Recovery Wizard they are among the best bitcoin recovery specialists on the planet. they helped me get every penny I lost to the scammers back to me with their forensic techniques. and I would like to take this opportunity to advise everyone to avoid making cryptocurrency investments online. If you have already lost money on forex, cryptocurrency or Ponzi schemes, please contact [email protected] or WhatsApp: +1 (757) 237–1724 at once they can help you get back the crypto you lost to scammers. BEST WISHES. Celina Garcia.
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16.09.24 00:10
marcusaustin
Bitcoin Recovery Services: Restoring Lost Cryptocurrency If you've lost access to your cryptocurrency and unable to make a withdrawal, I highly recommend iBolt Cyber Hacker Bitcoin Recovery Services. Their team is skilled, professional, and efficient in recovering lost Bitcoin. They provide clear communication, maintain high security standards, and work quickly to resolve issues. Facing the stress of lost cryptocurrency, iBolt Cyber Hacker is a trusted service that will help you regain access to your funds securely and reliably. Highly recommended! Email: S u p p o r t @ ibolt cyber hack . com Cont/Whtp + 3. .9 .3. .5..0. .9. 2. 9. .0 .3. 1 .8. Website: h t t p s : / / ibolt cyber hack . com /
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16.09.24 00:11
marcusaustin
Bitcoin Recovery Services: Restoring Lost Cryptocurrency If you've lost access to your cryptocurrency and unable to make a withdrawal, I highly recommend iBolt Cyber Hacker Bitcoin Recovery Services. Their team is skilled, professional, and efficient in recovering lost Bitcoin. They provide clear communication, maintain high security standards, and work quickly to resolve issues. Facing the stress of lost cryptocurrency, iBolt Cyber Hacker is a trusted service that will help you regain access to your funds securely and reliably. Highly recommended! Email: S u p p o r t @ ibolt cyber hack . com Cont/Whtp + 3. .9 .3. .5..0. .9. 2. 9. .0 .3. 1 .8. Website: h t t p s : / / ibolt cyber hack . com /
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23.09.24 18:56
matthewshimself
At first, I was admittedly skeptical about Worldcoin (ref: https://worldcoin.org/blog/worldcoin/this-is-worldcoin-video-explainer-series), particularly around the use of biometric data and the WLD token as a reward mechanism for it. However, after following the project closer, I’ve come to appreciate the broader vision and see the value in the underlying tech behind it. The concept of Proof of Personhood (ref: https://worldcoin.org/blog/worldcoin/proof-of-personhood-what-it-is-why-its-needed) has definitely caught my attention, and does seem like a crucial step towards tackling growing issues like bots, deepfakes, and identity fraud. Sam Altman’s vision is nothing short of ambitious, but I do think he & Alex Blania have the chops to realize it as mainstay in the global economy.
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01.10.24 14:54
Sinewclaudia
I lost about $876k few months ago trading on a fake binary option investment websites. I didn't knew they were fake until I tried to withdraw. Immediately, I realized these guys were fake. I contacted Sinew Claudia world recovery, my friend who has such experience before and was able to recover them, recommended me to contact them. I'm a living testimony of a successful recovery now. You can contact the legitimate recovery company below for help and assistance. [email protected] [email protected] WhatsApp: 6262645164
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02.10.24 22:27
Emily Hunter
Can those who have fallen victim to fraud get their money back? Yes, you might be able to get back what was taken from you if you fell prey to a fraud from an unregulated investing platform or any other scam, but only if you report it to the relevant authorities. With the right plan and supporting documentation, you can get back what you've lost. Most likely, the individuals in control of these unregulated platforms would attempt to convince you that what happened to your money was a sad accident when, in fact, it was a highly skilled heist. You should be aware that there are resources out there to help you if you or someone you know has experienced one of these circumstances. Do a search using (deftrecoup (.) c o m). Do not let the perpetrators of this hoaxes get away with ruining you mentally and financially.
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18.10.24 09:34
freidatollerud
The growth of WIN44 in Brazil is very interesting! If you're looking for more options for online betting and casino games, I recommend checking out Casinos in Brazil. It's a reliable platform that offers a wide variety of games and provides a safe and enjoyable experience for users. It's worth checking out! https://win44.vip
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31.10.24 00:13
ytre89
Can those who have fallen victim to fraud get their money back? Yes, you might be able to get back what was taken from you if you fell prey to a fraud from an unregulated investing platform or any other scam, but only if you report it to the relevant authorities. With the right plan and supporting documentation, you can get back what you've lost. Most likely, the individuals in control of these unregulated platforms would attempt to convince you that what happened to your money was a sad accident when, in fact, it was a highly skilled heist. You should be aware that there are resources out there to help you if you or someone you know has experienced one of these circumstances. Do a search using (deftrecoup (.) c o m). Do not let the perpetrators of this hoaxes get away with ruining you mentally and financially.
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02.11.24 14:44
diannamendoza732
In the world of Bitcoin recovery, Pro Wizard Gilbert truly represents the gold standard. My experience with Gilbert revealed just how exceptional his methods are and why he stands out as the premier authority in this critical field. When I first encountered the complexities of Bitcoin recovery, I was daunted by the technical challenges and potential risks. Gilbert’s approach immediately distinguished itself through its precision and effectiveness. His methods are meticulously designed, combining cutting-edge techniques with an in-depth understanding of the Bitcoin ecosystem. He tackled the recovery process with a level of expertise and thoroughness that was both impressive and reassuring. What sets Gilbert’s methods apart is not just their technical sophistication but also their strategic depth. He conducts a comprehensive analysis of each case, tailoring his approach to address the unique aspects of the situation. This personalized strategy ensures that every recovery effort is optimized for success. Gilbert’s transparent communication throughout the process was invaluable, providing clarity and confidence during each stage of the recovery. The results I achieved with Pro Wizard Gilbert’s methods were remarkable. His gold standard approach not only recovered my Bitcoin but did so with an efficiency and reliability that exceeded my expectations. His deep knowledge, innovative techniques, and unwavering commitment make him the definitive expert in Bitcoin recovery. For anyone seeking a benchmark in Bitcoin recovery solutions, Pro Wizard Gilbert’s methods are the epitome of excellence. His ability to blend technical prowess with strategic insight truly sets him apart in the industry. Call: for help. You may get in touch with them at ; Email: (prowizardgilbertrecovery(@)engineer.com) Telegram ; https://t.me/Pro_Wizard_Gilbert_Recovery Homepage ; https://prowizardgilbertrecovery.info
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12.11.24 00:50
TERESA
Brigadia Tech Remikeable recovery has exhibited unparalleled strength in the realm of recovery. They stand out as the premier team to collaborate with if you encounter withdrawal difficulties from the platform where you’ve invested. Recently, I engaged with them to recover over a million dollars trapped in an investment platform I’d been involved with for months. I furnished their team with every detail of the investment, including accounts, names, and wallet addresses to which I sent the funds. This decision proved to be the best I’ve made, especially after realizing the company had scammed me. Brigadia Tech Remikeable recovery ensures exemplary service delivery and ensures the perpetrators face justice. They employ advanced techniques to ensure you regain access to your funds. Understandably, many individuals who have fallen victim to investment scams may still regret engaging in online services again due to the trauma of being scammed. However, I implore you to take action. Seek assistance from Brigadia Tech Remikeable Recovery Experts today and witness their remarkable capabilities. I am grateful that I resisted their enticements, and despite the time it took me to discover brigadia tech recovery, they ultimately fulfilled my primary objective. Without Brigadia Tech Recovery's intervention, I would have remained despondent and perplexed indefinitely. Also if you are looking for the best and safest investment company you can contact them, for wallet recovery, difficult withdrawal, etc. I am so happy to keep getting my daily BTC, all I do is keep 0.1 BTC in my mining wallet with the help of Brigadia Tech. They connected me to his mining stream and I earn 0.4 btc per day with this, my daily profit. I can get myself a new house and car. I can’t believe I have thousands of dollars in my bank account. Now you can get in. ([email protected]) Telegram +1 (323)-9 1 0 -1 6 0 5
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17.11.24 09:31
Vivianlocke223
Have You Fallen Victim to Cryptocurrency Fraud? If your Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies were stolen due to scams or fraudulent activities, Free Crypto Recovery Fixed is here to help you recover what’s rightfully yours. As a leading recovery service, we specialize in restoring lost cryptocurrency and assisting victims of fraud — no matter how long ago the incident occurred. Our experienced team leverages cutting-edge tools and expertise to trace and recover stolen assets, ensuring swift and secure results. Don’t let scammers jeopardize your financial security. With Free Crypto Recovery Fixed, you’re putting your trust in a reliable and dedicated team that prioritizes recovering your assets and ensuring their future protection. Take the First Step Toward Recovery Today! 📞 Text/Call: +1 407 212 7493 ✉️ Email: [email protected] 🌐 Website: https://freecryptorecovery.net Let us help you regain control of your financial future — swiftly and securely.
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19.11.24 03:06
[email protected]
My entire existence fell apart when a malevolent hacker recently gained access to my online accounts. I felt violated and extremely uneasy after discovering that the digital platforms I depended on for communication, employment, and finances had been compromised. Regaining control and restoring my digital security was an overwhelming task in the immediate aftermath. To help me navigate the difficult process of recovering my accounts and getting my peace of mind back, TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT came into my life as a ray of hope. They immediately put their highly skilled professionals to work, thoroughly examining the vulnerability and methodically preventing unwanted access. They guided me through each stage soothingly, explaining what was occurring and why, so I never felt lost or alone. They communicated with service providers to restore my legitimate access while skillfully navigating the complex labyrinth of account recovery procedures. My digital footprint was cleaned and strengthened against future attacks thanks to their equally amazing ability to remove any remaining evidence of the hacker's presence. However, TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT actual worth went beyond its technical aspects. They offered constant emotional support during the ordeal, understanding my fragility and sense of violation. My tense nerves were calmed by their comforting presence and kind comments, which served as a reminder that I wasn't alone in this struggle. With their help, I was able to reestablish my sense of security and control, which enabled me to return my attention to the significant areas of my life that had been upended. Ultimately, TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT all-encompassing strategy not only recovered my online accounts but also my general peace of mind, which is a priceless result for which I am incredibly appreciative of their knowledge and kindness. Make the approach and send a message to TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT Via Web site <> www://trustgeekshackexpert.com/-- E>mail: Trustgeekshackexpert(At)fastservice..com -- TeleGram,<> Trustgeekshackexpert
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19.11.24 03:07
[email protected]
My entire existence fell apart when a malevolent hacker recently gained access to my online accounts. I felt violated and extremely uneasy after discovering that the digital platforms I depended on for communication, employment, and finances had been compromised. Regaining control and restoring my digital security was an overwhelming task in the immediate aftermath. To help me navigate the difficult process of recovering my accounts and getting my peace of mind back, TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT came into my life as a ray of hope. They immediately put their highly skilled professionals to work, thoroughly examining the vulnerability and methodically preventing unwanted access. They guided me through each stage soothingly, explaining what was occurring and why, so I never felt lost or alone. They communicated with service providers to restore my legitimate access while skillfully navigating the complex labyrinth of account recovery procedures. My digital footprint was cleaned and strengthened against future attacks thanks to their equally amazing ability to remove any remaining evidence of the hacker's presence. However, TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT actual worth went beyond its technical aspects. They offered constant emotional support during the ordeal, understanding my fragility and sense of violation. My tense nerves were calmed by their comforting presence and kind comments, which served as a reminder that I wasn't alone in this struggle. With their help, I was able to reestablish my sense of security and control, which enabled me to return my attention to the significant areas of my life that had been upended. Ultimately, TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT all-encompassing strategy not only recovered my online accounts but also my general peace of mind, which is a priceless result for which I am incredibly appreciative of their knowledge and kindness. Make the approach and send a message to TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT Via Web site <> www://trustgeekshackexpert.com/-- E>mail: Trustgeekshackexpert(At)fastservice..com -- TeleGram,<> Trustgeekshackexpert
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