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Can XRP hit $5 in the next bull run? Key factors to watch
XRP’s prices have accelerated up the charts over the past year after consolidating under $0.8 for nearly three years. Will $5 be reached in 2025, or should holders be taking profits soon?
Ripple [XRP] saw a 68% rally in July, taking the asset’s price from $2.17 to $3.65. However, over the past month, XRP bulls have been forced to step backward.
The $3.3 level remained a crucial hurdle for bulls to overcome. The lack of a strong trend for Bitcoin [BTC] did not help XRP bulls.
According to AMBCrypto’s price prediction, the most bullish scenario would see XRP reach $4.97 by 2025. The $5 mark is only 36.7% higher than the altcoin’s all-time high.
The market cycle top indicators were not yet triggered, and some of them were a long way from being triggered.
Combined with the higher timeframe price charts, this gave XRP bulls hope that a $5 target can be achieved and even surpassed.
Source: XRP/USDT on TradingView
The orange levels at $1.61 and $3.4 highlight the weekly swing points for XRP. The move beyond $3.4 in mid-July underlined a bullish market structure break. This meant that XRP is highly likely to continue to rally.
Ripple was unable to close a weekly session above $3.02 in November-December 2025. Hence, it was an encouraging sight to see the $2.8-$3.02 region retested as support in recent weeks.
The MFI has fallen toward 50, indicating that the buying pressure has fallen over the past month. The volume bars have also sunk toward the average.
They need to climb much higher, like late 2024, to reflect overwhelming buying pressure, which would be necessary to drive XRP to $5 and higher.
The Fibonacci retracement levels showed that the next price targets are $4.08, $5.19, and $6.3. The on-chain metrics would be other key factors to watch, apart from the buying volume and the XRP price action.
At press time, 93.5% of the total supply was in profit, according to Glassnode data. These are historic highs, and were seen in April 2021 when the price topped at $1.84.
The address supply distribution is another minor factor. A sudden drop in the holdings among whales could signal a distribution.
One of the most important metrics to follow could be the NUPL. The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss almost reached euphoria in 2021, marking the cycle top.
At press time, it was a comfortable distance away, but still underlined bullishness.
A whiff of euphoria on the NUPL, combined with historic highs in the supply of profit, could help understand whether Ripple prices have achieved all they can this cycle.
Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion
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