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September ‘crash’ to $22K? — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week
The BTC price looks frail as August comes to an end, and with Bitcoin bulls out of ammo, traders are preparing for more pain.
Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week struggling with $26,000 as August becomes its worst month of 2023.
BTC price strength remains dubious after a snap crash 10 days ago, with bulls unable to wrestle back control of the market to provide a relief bounce.
The outlook is similarly uncertain, with September traditionally a poorly performing month for Bitcoin, and with the August monthly close just days away, could another downside surprise lie in store?
Macro triggers are again taking a back seat this week, with Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index data the highlight in what is otherwise a cool week for crypto contagion.
That said, traders and analysts are on their toes, and with no hint of a rebound in sight, many are still braced for worse to come.
Cointelegraph takes a look at the main BTC price performance talking points for the week ahead.
BTC price sags with monthly close in sight
There are no prizes for guessing how Bitcoin ended its latest weekly candle, especially with prior knowledge of previous closes.
Despite holding $26,000 into the close, BTC/USD immediately went downhill after that, wicking to $25,880 before consolidating slightly higher, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows.
BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingViewThat marked multiday lows, part of what popular trader Skew forecasted could be pressure from shorters into the new week.
“Shorts continue to stack into the weekend, expecting some kind of move around US Futures open and into Monday EU session,” part of X (formerly Twitter) analysis read.
Skew additionally described weekend BTC behavior as “max pain price action.”
The monthly close was a key topic for market participants, with volatility on the cards after August produced 11% losses.
Keith Alan, co-founder of monitoring resource Material Indicators, predicted a trip to multimonth lows.
“Whales aren’t buying yet, and neither am I,” he commented alongside a chart of the Binance BTC/USD order book.
“Expecting volatility to continue through the monthly candle close. Patiently waiting to test the local low.”
In addition to low whale order volume, the accompanying order book chart showed a lack of bid liquidity overall, with $25,500 gaining only modest interest.
BTC/USD order book data for Binance. Source: Keith Alan/X“I am looking for a trigger to enter where we drop to $25,000 lows, reclaim and pump,” popular trader Crypto Tony agreed.
“Or if we flip $26,700 into support. No entry before that on #Bitcoin as we are just mid range, so no safe entry just yet.”
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Crypto Tony/XBeyond the downside, moving averages that previously acted as support before the crash may now have the opposite effect, popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital warned.
“The BTC bullish momentum moving averages may act as resistance,” he summarized alongside the weekly chart.
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Rekt Capital/XFurther analysis hoped for a lower low construction to appear on weekly timeframes in what could be part of a “subtle rising wedge.”
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Rekt Capital/XAugust risks being worst in eight years
It is no secret that Bitcoin has underperformed this month — even by August standards, which have rarely given bulls anything to celebrate.
BTC/USD is down 11% this month, and with the weekly close around the corner, anticipation is building among market observers.
A look at comparative data from monitoring resource CoinGlass reveals that August 2023 is already vying with last year to become Bitcoin’s worst August since 2015. BTC price shed 13.9% in August 2022, a move which marked the beginning of half a year of pain.
BTC/USD monthly returns (screenshot). Source: CoinGlassHowever, some believe that September could easily end up almost as bad based on historical precedent.
“Could Bitcoin Crash to $22,000 In September?” Rekt Capital queried last week in part of an X post.
“To answer this question, we need to first focus on August. What was the worst BTC August drawdown in history? -17% in 2014 and -18% in 2015. Currently in 2023, $BTC is now down -16%. If BTC were to drop -18% this August, BTC would drop to ~$24700. But that might not be the end of the retrace.”
Continuing, Rekt Capital noted that September usually offers a “single-digit drawdown.” Against the backdrop of its recent double top on weekly timeframes, a $22,000 target lines up.
“So if BTC retraces, say, an additional -10% in September... That would mean price would drop to ~$22200,” he concluded.
“Then that would approximately match the Measured Move target for the Double Top breakdown of ~$22000.”
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Rekt Capital/XBitcoin’s “longest bear market in history”
Analyzing year-on-year (YoY) percentage returns for BTC/USD, meanwhile, the true extent of the recent bear market becomes clear.
Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of trading firm Eight, concluded that it has, in fact, been Bitcoin’s “longest bear market in history.”
“The current bear market is relatively comparable to what we’ve witnessed in 2015. A period of sideways action, where the faith in crypto is slowly getting lost too, despite the fact of solid fundamental growth,” he wrote in recent thoughts on the crypto market.
“Right now, price of Bitcoin is nowhere near the valuation of the peak in November ’21. It’s down more than 50% and in a bear market of 490 days.”
An accompanying chart compared the current 490-day negative YoY returns to previous periods, with 2015 lasting 386 days.
Van de Poppe added that even positive news events, such as the future green-lighting of the United States’ first Bitcoin spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF), had not yet entered market consciousness.
“The thing is, during the current period, these events are not being reflected in price at all,” he wrote.
“They lag behind as the market is stuck in the ‘bear market modus‘, as the past 2 years price has been falling.”
BTC/USD YoY performance annotated chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/XPCE data follows muted crypto Jackson Hole reaction
Bitcoin and altcoins have displayed precious little regard for macroeconomic developments in recent weeks.
Even Federal Reserve interest rate changes and data releases such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) have had a barely perceptible impact on markets.
Last week’s comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium continued the trend, even as CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showed bets of a pause in rate hikes beginning next month at above 80%.
Fed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME GroupThis week, despite containing the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge in the form of PCE, could well end up no different.
PCE data is due on Aug. 31, hours before the Bitcoin monthly close, with Sep. 1 offering nonfarm payrolls and unemployment data.
Huge week for ALL things related to economic data, volatility is back.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) August 27, 2023
Jobs, inflation, housing data and more.
We're publishing our trades for the week shortly.
In 2022, our calls made 86%.
Subscribe to access our analysis and see what we're trading:https://t.co/SJRZ4FrfLE
For macro markets, however, financial commentary resource The Kobeissi Letter promised an “action packed week.”
“Huge week for ALL things related to economic data, volatility is back,” it summarized in part of its latest X analysis.
Record hash rate reflects “miner bull run”
Could Bitcoin miners already be providing a silver lining for bulls into the end of the year?
Related: Bitcoin velocity hits lows last seen before Q4 2020 BTC price breakout
As Cointelegraph reported, one theory expects that Q4 will see miners bidding Bitcoin higher in preparation for the April 2024 block subsidy halving, which will cut their reward per mined block by 50%.
They should join “smart money” in doing so, creating a buzz of its own around the halving narrative, even if the broader market only tends to react to emission changes post-factum.
Continuing the debate, James Straten, research and data analyst at crypto insights firm CryptoSlate, noted that Bitcoin hash rate is already headed into uncharted territory.
“The Bitcoin hash rate just hit 400 th/s for the first time ever. It is mind-blowing, considering the energy issues in Texas and the cost of electricity surging worldwide,” he told X subscribers.
“This is the miner bull run leading up to the halving next year. Similar explosive hash rate growth that led up to the 2020 halving.”
Bitcoin hash rate annotated chart. Source: James Straten/XHash rate is an estimation of the processing power dedicated to mining, and while impossible to measure exactly, figures from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode show not only new all-time highs but a spate of upward adjustments contrasting with flat or downward-trending BTC price performance.
Last week, Bitcoin also saw one of its largest upward difficulty adjustments of 2023, taking the on-chain fundamental yardstick to all-time highs of its own.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
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14.10.25 08:46
robertalfred175
CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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14.10.25 08:46
robertalfred175
CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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14.10.25 08:46
robertalfred175
CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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15.10.25 18:07
crypto
Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.
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15.10.25 21:52
harristhomas7376
"In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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15.10.25 21:52
harristhomas7376
"In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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17.10.25 20:17
tyleradams
As time passes, there are an increasing number of frauds involving Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Although there are many individuals who advertise recovering money online, people should use caution in dealing, especially when money is involved. You can trust NVIDIA TECH HACKERS [[email protected]], I promise. They are the top internet recovery company, and as their names indicate, your money is reclaimed as soon as feasible. My bitcoin was successfully retrieved in large part thanks to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS. Ensure that you get top-notch service; NVIDIA TECH HACKERS provides evidence of its work; and payment is only made when the service has been completed to your satisfaction. Reach them via email: [email protected] on google mail
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17.10.25 20:20
lindseyvonn
Have you gotten yourself involved in a cryptocurrency scam or any scam at all? If yes, know that you are not alone, there are a lot of people in this same situation. I'm a Health Worker and was a victim of a cryptocurrency scam that cost me a lot of money. This happened a few weeks ago, there’s only one solution which is to talk to the right people, if you don’t do this you will end up being really depressed. I was really devastated until went on LinkedIn one evening after my work hours and i saw lots of reviews popped up on my feed about [email protected], I sent an email to the team who came highly recommended - [email protected] I started seeing some hope for myself from the moment I sent them an email. The good part is they made the entire process stress free for me, i literally sat and waited for them to finish and I received what I lost in my wallet
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17.10.25 20:22
richardcharles
I would recommend NVIDIA TECH HACKERS to anyone that needs this service. I decided to get into crypto investment and I ended up getting my crypto lost to an investor late last year. The guy who was supposed to be managing my account turned out to be a scammer all along. I invested 56,000 USD and at first, my reading and profit margins were looking good. I started getting worried when I couldn’t make withdrawals and realized that I’ve been scammed. I came across some of the testimonials that people said about NVIDIA TECH HACKERS and how helpful he has been in recovering their funds. I immediately contacted him in his mail at [email protected] so I can get his assistance. One week into the recovery process the funds were traced and recovered back from the scammer. I can't appreciate him enough for his professionalism.
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17.10.25 20:23
stevekalfman
If you need a hacker for scam crypto recovery or mobile spy access remotely kindly reach out to [email protected] for quick response, I hired this hacker and he did a nice job. before NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, I met with different hacker's online which turns out to be scam, this NVIDIA TECH HACKERS case was different and he is the trusted hacker I can vote and refer.
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17.10.25 21:42
marcushenderson624
Bitcoin Recovery Testimonial After falling victim to a cryptocurrency scam group, I lost $354,000 worth of USDT. I thought all hope was lost from the experience of losing my hard-earned money to scammers. I was devastated and believed there was no way to recover my funds. Fortunately, I started searching for help to recover my stolen funds and I came across a lot of testimonials online about Capital Crypto Recovery, an agent who helps in recovery of lost bitcoin funds, I contacted Capital Crypto Recover Service, and with their expertise, they successfully traced and recovered my stolen assets. Their team was professional, kept me updated throughout the process, and demonstrated a deep understanding of blockchain transactions and recovery protocols. They are trusted and very reliable with a 100% successful rate record Recovery bitcoin, I’m grateful for their help and highly recommend their services to anyone seeking assistance with lost crypto. Contact: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Email: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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17.10.25 21:42
marcushenderson624
Bitcoin Recovery Testimonial After falling victim to a cryptocurrency scam group, I lost $354,000 worth of USDT. I thought all hope was lost from the experience of losing my hard-earned money to scammers. I was devastated and believed there was no way to recover my funds. Fortunately, I started searching for help to recover my stolen funds and I came across a lot of testimonials online about Capital Crypto Recovery, an agent who helps in recovery of lost bitcoin funds, I contacted Capital Crypto Recover Service, and with their expertise, they successfully traced and recovered my stolen assets. Their team was professional, kept me updated throughout the process, and demonstrated a deep understanding of blockchain transactions and recovery protocols. They are trusted and very reliable with a 100% successful rate record Recovery bitcoin, I’m grateful for their help and highly recommend their services to anyone seeking assistance with lost crypto. Contact: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Email: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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17.10.25 21:42
marcushenderson624
Bitcoin Recovery Testimonial After falling victim to a cryptocurrency scam group, I lost $354,000 worth of USDT. I thought all hope was lost from the experience of losing my hard-earned money to scammers. I was devastated and believed there was no way to recover my funds. Fortunately, I started searching for help to recover my stolen funds and I came across a lot of testimonials online about Capital Crypto Recovery, an agent who helps in recovery of lost bitcoin funds, I contacted Capital Crypto Recover Service, and with their expertise, they successfully traced and recovered my stolen assets. Their team was professional, kept me updated throughout the process, and demonstrated a deep understanding of blockchain transactions and recovery protocols. They are trusted and very reliable with a 100% successful rate record Recovery bitcoin, I’m grateful for their help and highly recommend their services to anyone seeking assistance with lost crypto. Contact: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Email: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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