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Price analysis 1/2: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, DOGE, ADA, MATIC, LTC

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The DXY has turned bearish and that could prove to be a boon for SPX, cryptocurrency and Bitcoin.

The S&P 500 index (SPX) fell 19.4% and the Nasdaq nosedived 33.1% in 2022, recording the worst performance since 2008. The crypto markets also had a horrendous year with Bitcoin (BTC) falling roughly 65% in 2022. In comparison, the United States dollar, which is perceived to be a safe haven, rallied nearly 9%, its best year since 2015.

There are several green shoots visible for the cryptocurrency sector for 2023. The U.S. dollar index (DXY), which usually moves in inverse correlation with Bitcoin may have topped out. This increases the likelihood that select cryptocurrencies may be close to forming a bottom.

3835db0a-5805-48ce-96e4-b7df38bbecdb.pngDaily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Several traders miss buying at lower levels because they attempt to catch the bottom. Instead, long-term investors who believe in the crypto story may consider building a portfolio or adding positions in batches. Thus, they will have some skin in the game and not repent when the next bull move begins.

Could the U.S. dollar index continue its correction and will that benefit risky assets? Let’s study the charts to find out.

SPX

The bears tried to extend the correction last week but the bulls managed to defend the 3,764 level. This indicates that the bulls are trying to form a higher low in the S&P 500 index.

d5842f7c-f98a-463d-974a-25fd3ebbbadb.pngSPX daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day exponential moving average (3,880) is sloping down and the relative strength index is near 45, suggesting that bears have a slight edge. If bulls want to gain the upper hand, they will have to push the price above the moving averages.

That could open the doors for a possible recovery to the downtrend line where the bears may again mount a strong defense. Buyers will have to pierce this resistance to signal a potential trend change.

On the contrary, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA and plummets below 3,764, the selling could intensify and the index may slide to 3,650.

DXY

Buyers tried to propel the U.S. dollar index above the 20-day EMA (104) on Dec. 28 but the bears held their ground. This indicates that the sentiment has turned negative and traders are selling on relief rallies.

095f192f-da0a-4adb-b375-fc249b5fc1d3.pngDXY daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears yanked the price below the immediate support of 103.44 on Dec. 30, indicating the resumption of the downtrend. The index could next drop to 102 and thereafter plunge to the psychologically important level of 100.

This negative view could invalidate in the near term if the price turns up from the current level and breaks above the 20-day EMA. The index could then rally to the 50-day simple moving average ($106).

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin has been oscillating between $16,256 and $17,061 for the past few days. This tight consolidation indicates indecision among the bulls and the bears.

35904a11-32bc-4978-979e-64f29e0dd832.pngBTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($16,777) is flattening out and the relative strength index (RSI) is just below the midpoint, suggesting a balance between supply and demand. The next trending move is likely to start after the price escapes the range.

If the price breaks below $16,256, the selling could accelerate and the BTC/USDT pair may retest the crucial support at $15,476.

Alternatively, if the price breaks above $17,061, the pair could pick up pace and climb to the overhead resistance at $18,388. This level may again witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears.

ETH/USDT

The bulls have failed to drive Ether (ETH) above the moving averages in the past few days but an encouraging sign is that they have not ceded ground to the bears.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This suggests that the bulls will make one more attempt to propel the price above the moving averages. If they succeed, the ETH/USDT pair could rally to the stiff overhead resistance at $1,352. The bears are likely to protect this level with vigor.

If bulls fail to clear the overhead hurdle at the moving averages, the pair could dip to the immediate support at $1,150. This is an important level for the bulls to guard because a break below it will complete a head and shoulders pattern, which has a target objective of $948.

BNB/USDT

BNB (BNB) has been trading near the breakdown level of $250 for the past few days. This shows that the bears are trying to flip the level into resistance while the bulls are attempting to thrust the price back above it.

5bbab2b9-4844-47d1-aa23-638f07162359.pngBNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This tight-range trading is unlikely to continue for long. The longer the price remains inside the tight range, the stronger the eventual breakout.

If buyers kick the price above the $250 to $255 overhead resistance zone, the BNB/USDT pair could advance to the 50-day SMA ($270). This level may act as a minor hurdle but if surpassed, the pair may rise to $300.

The bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to shield the overhead zone and sink the price below $236. If they do that, the pair could slump to $220 and then to $200.

XRP/USDT

XRP (XRP) tumbled below the support line of the symmetrical triangle and fell to the strong support at $0.30. The long tail on the candlestick shows that the bulls aggressively purchased the dip to $0.30.

e465c270-a395-4125-878d-1d59d7fbb341.pngXRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The XRP/USDT pair has re-entered the triangle and the bulls are trying to build upon the momentum by pushing the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.35). If they do that, the pair could reach the resistance line. If bulls scale this level, the pair could jump to $0.42.

Conversely, if the price fails to sustain above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears continue to sell on every rally. The bears will then again strive to sink the price below the support line of the triangle.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) broke and closed below the $0.07 support on Dec. 30 but this proved to be a bear trap. The bulls purchased at lower levels and pushed the price back above $0.07 on Dec. 31.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buying picked up further on Jan. 2 and the bulls are trying to strengthen their position by catapulting the price above the downtrend line. If they can pull it off, the DOGE/USDT pair could challenge the resistance near $0.08. A break above this level could trigger stop losses of aggressive bears, resulting in a short squeeze. The pair could then climb toward $0.11.

This positive view could be negated if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the intraday low made on Dec. 30. The pair could then decline to the pivotal support near $0.05.

Related: US will see new ‘inflation spike’ — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

ADA/USDT

Cardano (ADA) has started a recovery and the price is nearing the 20-day EMA ($0.26). The positive divergence on the RSI suggests that the selling pressure could be reducing.

8e53687b-33f6-42f7-a7d4-b61e7c0e9505.pngADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA is an important level to keep an eye on. If buyers overcome this obstacle, the ADA/USDT pair could rise to the breakdown level of $0.29. If this level is also scaled, the pair could touch the downtrend line.

Contrarily, if the price once again turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears are active at higher levels. The pair could then drop to the support line where the buyers may step in to stop the decline.

MATIC/USDT

Polygon (MATIC) fell below $0.75 on Dec. 30 but the bears could not capitalize on the advantage and pull the price to the critical support at $0.69.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are trying to start a relief rally, which could face selling at the moving averages. If the price turns down from this resistance, it will suggest that higher levels are attracting selling by the bears. That could increase the likelihood of a drop to $0.69.

On the other hand, if bulls drive the price above the moving averages, the MATIC/USDT pair could rally to $0.97. This level may again behave as a strong barrier but if bulls surpass it, the next stop will likely be $1.05.

LTC/USDT

Litecoin (LTC) soared above the moving averages and the overhead resistance at $75 on Jan. 3. This indicates that buyers are attempting to take control.

LTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price sustains above $75, the LTC/USDT pair could rally to $85. This level may act as a minor obstacle but if crossed, the pair could pick up pace and skyrocket to the psychologically vital level of $100.

If bulls fail to sustain the price above $75, the pair could drop to the moving averages. If the price rebounds off this support, the possibility of a break above the overhead resistance increases. The bears will be at an advantage if the price turns down and falls below the moving averages.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Source

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    Hi. Please be wise, do not make the same mistake I had made in the past, I was a victim of bitcoin scam, I saw a glamorous review showering praises and marketing an investment firm, I reached out to them on what their contracts are, and I invested $28,000, which I was promised to get my first 15% profit in weeks, when it’s time to get my profits, I got to know the company was bogus, they kept asking me to invest more and I ran out of patience then requested to have my money back, they refused to answer nor refund my funds, not until a friend of mine introduced me to the NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, so I reached out and after tabling my complaints, they were swift to action and within 36 hours I got back my funds with the due profit. I couldn’t contain the joy in me. I urge you guys to reach out to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS on their email: [email protected]

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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