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Price analysis 1/17: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, DOGE, ADA, MATIC, DOT

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Bitcoin’s chart shows a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, and this is having a slight impact on the upward price action of most altcoins.

Risk assets have started the new year on a strong note. The S&P 500 (SPX) and the Nasdaq closed in the positive for the second successive week and also notched their best weekly performance since November.

Bitcoin (BTC) led the recovery in the crypto markets with a sharp 21% rally last week. That sent the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index into the neutral territory of 52 on Jan. 15, its highest since April 5, 2022. However, the index has given back its gains and is again back into the Fear zone on Jan. 17.

c907859d-17ea-46f7-8698-0fce5d8588c7.pngDaily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

The strong rally in Bitcoin has divided analysts' opinions. While some expect the rally to be a bull trap, others believe that the up-move could be the start of a new bull market. The confirmation of the same will happen during the next dip. If the cryptocurrencies form a higher low followed by a higher high, it will suggest that the downtrend could be over.

Could the S&P 500 extend its rally? What are the critical levels on BTC and the cryptocurrencies to watch out for? Let’s study the charts to find out.

SPX

The S&P 500 continued its recovery last week and has reached the downtrend line. The 20-day exponential moving average (3,904) has started to turn up and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the positive territory, indicating advantage to the buyers.

53643a9f-9b6c-47d4-907b-07a08bf21a52.pngSPX daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls will have to thrust and sustain the price above the downtrend line to signal a potential trend change. The bears may try to stall the up-move in the 4,100 to 4,120 zone but if bulls overcome this resistance, the index could rally to 4,200 and then 4,325.

If bears want to prevent this change in trend, they will have to quickly pull the price below the moving averages. If they do that, it will suggest that higher levels are attracting sellers. The index could then slide to 3,764.

DXY

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) has been falling inside a descending broadening wedge pattern for the past few days. Buyers are trying to protect the support line of the wedge.

e96fa9db-0348-4ba6-a438-2667f9ce4e84.pngDXY daily chart. Source: TradingView

The relief rally could reach the 20-day EMA (103), which could act as a strong barrier. If the price turns down from this level, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on minor rallies. The bears will then try to resume the downtrend and sink the price to the psychological support at 100.

Contrarily, if buyers propel the price above the 20-day EMA, the index could march toward the resistance line of the wedge. The 50-day SMA (105) is placed close to the resistance line, hence the bears are likely to mount a strong defense at this level.

BTC/USDT

Buyers are trying to pierce the overhead resistance at $21,480 and extend the recovery in Bitcoin but the bears are in no mood to relent. The RSI remains in deeply overbought territory, indicating a possible consolidation or correction in the near term.

d63115cf-1e19-491b-a1c6-f5a4649f3e76.pngBTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The immediate support on the downside is the psychological level of $20,000 and then the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $19,489. If the price turns up from this zone, it will suggest that traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity.

Buyers will then make one more attempt to drive the price above $21,500. If they succeed, the BTC/USDT pair could start the next leg of the up-move. The pair could then rise to $22,800 and later make a dash to $25,211.

Contrarily, if the price breaks below $19,489, the pair could plummet to the breakout level of $18,388.

ETH/USDT

Ether’s (ETH) recovery met with strong resistance at $1,600 on Jan. 14 but the bulls are not ceding ground to the bears. This suggests that the bulls expect the up-move to continue after a brief pause.

99f1e7bf-5a14-4705-8808-1aada9601ec2.pngETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price consolidates in a tight range near $1,600, it will enhance the prospects of a break above the overhead resistance. The ETH/USDT pair could then climb to $1,700 and later to $1,800.

Alternatively, if the price turns down and breaks below $1,516, the pair could witness profit booking. The pair could then slump to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $1,439 and thereafter to the 20-day EMA ($1,362). This zone could attract strong buying by the bulls.

BNB/USDT

BNB (BNB) reached the overhead resistance at $318 on Jan. 14. The long wick on the day’s candlestick shows that the bears are trying to protect the level.

63d93275-9e9a-453e-87aa-354b66916dab.pngBNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, the rising 20-day EMA ($276) and the RSI near the overbought zone suggest that bulls have the upper hand. If the price turns up from the current level or the 20-day EMA, the bulls will strive to drive the BNB/USDT pair to $338. A break above this resistance could signal the start of a new up-move.

On the contrary, if the price turns down sharply and breaks below the moving averages, it will suggest that the pair may stay inside the range between $220 and $320 for a few more days.

XRP/USDT

XRP (XRP) soared above the triangle and the moving averages on Jan. 11 but the bulls have failed to start a strong up-move. This shows a lack of demand at higher levels.

1c91e217-3df2-4370-b3af-79d4a6c1f0e9.pngXRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The long wick on the Jan. 16 candlestick shows that bears are selling near the overhead resistance at $0.42. If the price turns down and breaks below the moving averages, it will keep the pair stuck between $0.32 and $0.42 for some time.

If bulls want to keep their chances alive, they will have to aggressively buy the pullback to the 20-day EMA ($0.36). If the price rebounds off this level, the XRP/USDT pair could retest $0.42. If this level gets taken out, the pair could soar to $0.51.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) jumped above the 50-day SMA ($0.08) on Jan. 13 but the bulls could not capitalize on this strength. The long wick on the Jan. 14 candlestick shows that bears are selling above $0.09.

3d1cceaa-654d-42df-af41-438fa868ed42.pngDOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to pull the price back below the moving averages. If they manage to do that, it will point to a possible range-bound action in the near term.

On the other hand, if the price rebounds off the moving averages with strength, it will indicate a shift in sentiment from selling on rallies to buying on dips. The bulls will then again try to drive the price above $0.09 and catapult the DOGE/USDT pair to $0.11. This level may again act as a strong barrier.

Related: Bitcoin could see $25K by March 2023 as US dollar prints ‘death cross’ — Analysis

ADA/USDT

The strong relief rally in Cardano (ADA) is facing profit-booking near $0.37. The overbought levels on the RSI point to a minor correction or consolidation in the short term.

f0aac641-a938-4392-ab8f-d00a77301cf6.pngADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The ADA/USDT pair could turn down and slump to the 20-day EMA ($0.30). If buyers want to continue the recovery, they will have to defend this level aggressively. If the price bounces off the 20-day EMA with strength, it will increase the likelihood of a break above $0.37. The pair could then continue its northward march toward $0.44.

This positive view could invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and plummets below the moving averages. Such a move will imply that bears are back in command.

MATIC/USDT

Polygon (MATIC) touched the $1.05 overhead resistance level on Jan. 14 but the long wick on the candlestick indicates that the short-term traders may have booked profits.

2b5a322d-417e-4222-a5be-c14759496b3d.pngMATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Buyers again tried to overcome the obstacle on Jan. 16 but the bears thwarted their attempts as seen from the long wick on the candlestick. The sellers will try to pull the price down to the moving averages, which is an important level to watch out for.

If the price springs back from the moving averages, it will indicate that lower levels are attracting buyers. The bulls will then try to kick the price above $1.05. If they succeed, the MATIC/USDT pair could surge to $1.30.

On the contrary, if the price collapses below the moving averages, it will suggest that the pair may remain inside the $0.69 to $1.05 range for a while longer.

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) skyrocketed above the downtrend line on Jan. 14 but higher levels seem to have attracted selling as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick.

7c951642-3079-4787-8127-5b4a9569f57f.pngDOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The DOT/USDT pair formed an inside-day candlestick pattern on Jan. 15, which resolved to the downside on Jan. 16. This suggests that the failure to sustain above the downtrend line may have tempted short-term traders to book profits.

The first support on the downside is $5.40 and below that is the 20-day EMA ($5.10). If the price rebounds off this zone, the bulls may again try to push and sustain the pair above the downtrend line. The bullish momentum could pick up above $6.50 while the bears may be back in control if the pair dives below the moving averages.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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    God bless Capital Crypto Recover Services for the marvelous work you did in my life, I have learned the hard way that even the most sensible investors can fall victim to scams. When my USD was stolen, for anyone who has fallen victim to one of the bitcoin binary investment scams that are currently ongoing, I felt betrayal and upset. But then I was reading a post on site when I saw a testimony of Wendy Taylor online who recommended that Capital Crypto Recovery has helped her recover scammed funds within 24 hours. after reaching out to this cyber security firm that was able to help me recover my stolen digital assets and bitcoin. I’m genuinely blown away by their amazing service and professionalism. I never imagined I’d be able to get my money back until I complained to Capital Crypto Recovery Services about my difficulties and gave all of the necessary paperwork. I was astounded that it took them 12 hours to reclaim my stolen money back. Without a doubt, my USDT assets were successfully recovered from the scam platform, Thank you so much Sir, I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover for any of your bitcoin recovery, digital funds recovery, hacking, and cybersecurity concerns. You reach them Call/Text Number +1 (336)390-6684 His Email: [email protected] Contact Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Via Contact: [email protected] His website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 01:15 tyleradams

    Hi. Please be wise, do not make the same mistake I had made in the past, I was a victim of bitcoin scam, I saw a glamorous review showering praises and marketing an investment firm, I reached out to them on what their contracts are, and I invested $28,000, which I was promised to get my first 15% profit in weeks, when it’s time to get my profits, I got to know the company was bogus, they kept asking me to invest more and I ran out of patience then requested to have my money back, they refused to answer nor refund my funds, not until a friend of mine introduced me to the NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, so I reached out and after tabling my complaints, they were swift to action and within 36 hours I got back my funds with the due profit. I couldn’t contain the joy in me. I urge you guys to reach out to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS on their email: [email protected]

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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