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Pre-ETF Ether Options Trend Mirrors BTC Except for One Key Difference

  • Ether's options market shows a bullish bias over the 30-day and six-month period ahead of the ETF launch, mirroring bitcoin market trends in January.
  • Ether's market, however, shows no signs of bullish euphoria.
  • The measured bullish sentiment might lead to ether outperformance later.
The much-anticipated U.S. exchange-traded funds (ETF) that directly invest in ether (ETH) are expected to begin trading in mid-July.Ahead of the debut, trends in the ether options market on Deribit closely mirror the sentiment in bitcoin (BTC) options in the lead-up to the BTC ETFs six months ago, except for one key difference that may be pivotal to traders.At press time, ether's 30-day options skew, which measures what traders are willing to pay for an asymmetric payout in the upward or downward direction, held around 3%, according to Amberdata.The positive value indicated a willingness to pay relatively more for call options, offering buyers an asymmetric payout in the upward direction over the next four weeks. A call gives the holder the right to buy an underlying asset at a preset price within a specific time frame and represents a bullish bet. A put represents a bearish bet.Ether calls expiring in six months also traded at a premium relative to puts, with the skew hovering at around 5%.Ether's options skew: 30-day and 180-day. (Amberdata) (Amberdata)In other words, traders are using options to position for ether strength heading into the ETF debut and over the next six months. Traders pursued a similar strategy roughly two weeks before BTC ETFs began trading on Jan. 11. In early January, BTC's 30-day and 180-day skews were around 3.5% and 5%, respectively.The bullish positioning in the ether market is consistent with expectations that spot ether ETFs, which allow investors to take exposure to the asset without owning it, will unlock mainstream institutional demand worth billions of dollars. BTC ETFs have attracted net inflows of over $14 billion to date, per Farside Investors."The upcoming ETH ETF launches are likely to have a much more material impact in ETH as it brings a new wave of investors. With ETH's supply being highly concentrated in long-term players, ETF inflows could have an outsized effect if they are proportionally as large as the one's Bitcoin received," analytics firm IntoTheBlock said in the latest edition of the weekly newsletter.Sell the fact?Bitcoin's 30-day options skew flipped bearish on Jan. 10, signaling a renewed bias for puts in a sign of traders prepping for a classic sell-the-fact pullback after the debut of ETFs.Skews were bullish in early January, but the 30-day gauge flipped bearish a day ahead of the ETF debut. (Amberdata) (Amberdata)BTC's price did fall by over 15% by Jan. 23, testing lows under $40,000 before rallying to new record highs above $70,000 in March.So, ether traders might want to watch for a potential bearish flip in the 30-day options skew in the next few days.No signs of euphoriaThe one difference in how ether options are currently priced compared to bitcoin in January suggests the ether market is not as euphoric as BTC was seven months ago. That perhaps weakens the case for a sell-the-fact pullback.BTC's seven-day skew showed a stronger bias for calls than the 30-day skew several times ahead of the ETF debut, a sign of heightened optimism or expectations of a price increase soon.The seven-day gauge topped the 30-day several times in a sign of heightened bullish expectations or euphoria. (Amberdata) (Amberdata)Usually, investors expect higher uncertainty or volatility in the distant future compared to the near term, ensuring longer duration skews return a higher value than shorter ones. That's the case in the ether market, where the 7-day skew remains below the 30-day skew, exhibiting a relatively measured bullish bias.No signs of bullish euphoria as the seven-day skew remains below 30-day. (Amberdata) (Amberdata)Note that the broader market mood is more somber than in late 2023 and early January. Ether has declined from $4,000 to $3,350 since late May, having failed to keep pace with bitcoin's rally to new record highs in the first quarter.That's probably because several analysts are unsure the demand for ether ETFs will match the benchmark set by bitcoin ETFs. "Bitcoin had the first mover advantage, potentially saturating the overall demand for crypto assets in response to spot ETF approvals,” analysts at JPMorgan, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, said in May, adding that ether ETFs could see $3 billion in net inflows this year.According to Ilan Solot, senior global market strategist at Marex Solutions, the pessimism might actually lead to ether outperformance."The ubiquitous pessimism is a strong set-up for outperformance. Same for the sell the news strategy, many will try to replay from the BTC ETF," Solot said in an email."However, I fear many inflow predictions could be over-benchmarked by comparing them to the BTC ETF numbers (like “ETH will attract 20% of BTC ETF inflows”). The prevalence of delta-neutral trades [carry trades] may muddle the comparison and overestimate potential price impacts."8:52 UTC: Corrects Solot's title to senior global market strategist. The previous version said co-head of digital assets. Edited by Parikshit Mishra.

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    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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