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Most fear since SVB collapse — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

a510c7d4-8b47-4cdf-bbe1-3903ef6f8cf9.jpg

Bitcoin traders are truly "spooked" and sentiment crashes harder than BTC price as the shake-up from last week's losses continues.

Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week with traders licking their wounds after a 10% snap crash.

BTC price action is struggling to recover from a manic end to the days prior to the weekend, and the fear is palpable going into what could turn out to be an equally volatile few days.

With $26,000 so far forming the focus for the markets, theories are brewing over where Bitcoin might head next.

Multiple factors are set to converge to provide some influence — United States macro data prints are firing up again, while the Federal Reserve will deliver key commentary on the economy at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.

Within Bitcoin, meanwhile, short-term holders now face increasing unrealized losses, and on-chain transactions in loss are setting multi-year highs.

Sentiment is back on the floor, but is the fear really justified?

Cointelegraph takes a look at these topics and more ahead of what promises to be an interest week for crypto markets.

BTC order book "ghost town" after OI obliterated

While many expected volatility to kick in around the Aug. 20 weekly close, Bitcoin in the end produced something of a non-event, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows, with $26,300 capping the extent of its upside.

A subsequent comedown took the market back to the $26,000 mark, where it traded at the time of writing.

6e6be76d-2839-4b06-869e-2bd0cd2953b0.pngBTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

After a week of mayhem, traders and analysts alike remained highly cautious on the outlook, with sources referencing various triggers for new downside.

“Traders still spooked, expecting more downside,” trading suite Decentrader wrote in an X update on Aug. 21.

Decentrader noted that traders were positioned short across exchanges after a major open interest wipeout during last week’s drop.

“Funding rates continue to be negative,” it added.

Maartunn, a contributor to on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, described Binance order book liquidity as a “ghost town.”

“This will open the door for volatility, in case you've missed it,” he suggested, alongside a chart showing liquidity and whale order volumes from monitoring resource Material Indicators.

8e244b3d-c093-41d2-b123-feb2c476248d.jpegBTC/USD order book data and whale volume for Binance. Source: Maartunn/X

Maartunn nonetheless reasoned that upside could come as a result, given historical precedent.

“In the entire history of Bitcoin, there were 11 times when Open Interest had a similar decline as three days ago. Among these eleven, eight led to increased prices, whereas three did not,” part of a separate analysis stated.

As Cointelegraph reported, overall long and short liquidations reached levels comparable to the aftermath of the November 2022 FTX implosion.

Bitcoin traders weigh "consolidation scenario"

The quiet weekend gave some traders pause for thought. Bitcoin, they argued, might now open the door to a new phase of rangebound trading.

“Bitcoin fell off back into the previous range. Most likely outcome for next week is to keep trading the range imo,” popular trader CrypNuevo told X subscribers.

“I would like to see a false move to the downside to $25700-$25800 on Monday and then a relief bounce the rest of the week till mid-range $27k.”
243dc504-537c-4576-99f4-f0a8ae8cc955.jpegBTC/USD annotated chart. Source: CrypNuevo/X

Fellow trader Crypto Tony eyed a reclaim of the weekend’s $26,300 local top as a call to action.

“Until then i am sitting on hands waiting for Bitcoin next move,” he concluded.

Maartunn likewise acknowledged that a consolidation period for BTC/USD was “not unlikely.”

Another possible scenario for #Bitcoin is a period of consolidation.

This is not unlikely, as we have witnessed such consolidation multiple times in the past following significant market movements.https://t.co/pfl62msjJm pic.twitter.com/1jeRb6eJfL

— Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) August 20, 2023

On weekly timeframes, trader Skew outlined upside, downside and consolidation scenarios all being possible.

“Consolidation scenario is chopping between $25K & $30K ~ long term range,” he confirmed alongside an illustrative chart.

2ec62209-ab17-4305-910d-3219f20f1be1.jpegBTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Skew/X

Key timing for Powell's Jackson Hole speech

While last week was quiet in terms of United States macroeconomic data releases, the coming five days promises a key change of tempo.

U.S. jobless claims will hit on Aug. 24, with home sales and other data preceding them.

“Volatility is officially back,” financial commentary resource The Kobeissi Letter summarized to X subscribers.

Key Events This Week:

1. Existing Home Sales data - Tuesday

2. US Services PMI data - Wednesday

3. New Home Sales data - Wednesday

4. Core Durable Goods data - Thursday

5. Initial Jobless Claims - Thursday

6. Fed Chair Powell Speaks - Friday

Volatility is officially back.

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) August 20, 2023

Traders and analysts, however, have their eyes mostly set on Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve, who will take to the stage at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on Aug. 25.

Jackson Hole is a classic venue for market volatility, and given the current climate, this year’s event should be no exception.

“The Fed's annual Jackson Hole meeting is more important than ever this week,” Kobeissi added.

Powell will be joined by speakers including Christine Lagarde, Chair of the European Central Bank (ECB).

With both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 joining crypto in a week of losses, historical patterns could still turn the tables as Jackson Hole traditionally provides risk-on relief.

More often than not, stocks rise the week after Jackson Hole

Will this year follow the pattern, or will it be one of the outlier years with a sell-off? pic.twitter.com/QPST4p9HUs

— Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) August 20, 2023

Popular trader and analyst Miles Johal was also hopeful, noting that unlike stocks and Bitcoin, U.S. dollar strength faced an uphill struggle.

“SPX - Uptrend, at support and oversold. BTC - Uptrend, at support and oversold. DXY - Downtrend, at resistance and overbought. US10Y - Double top pattern, at resistance and overbought,” he explained to X subscribers.

“Lining up very clearly. $BTC and Equities bias is vertical up after the correction is over.”
e8ef5077-b751-461e-9e09-b3f51af303b2.jpegMacro asset comparison annotated chart. Source: Miles Johal/X

Kobeissi meanwhile added that the equity put/call ratio had reached its highest since the start of 2023, suggesting a volatile move would soon hit.

“Are markets bracing for a major pullback or is another short squeeze about to begin?” it queried.

On-chain losses mount as speculators feel the pressure

It will come as little surprise that Bitcoin’s 11% drop engendered a considerable shake-up in on-chain profitability metrics.

Among these is the adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR), which tracks aggregate profitability of all transactions, excluding those with an age of one hour or less.

This “price sold versus price paid” ratio is now back below 1, the barrier between profit and loss, to hit its lowest levels in five months, per data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode.

8c234b94-1b8c-407b-9914-b0b424b3c952.jpegBitcoin aSOPR chart. Source: Glassnode/X

Glassnode also revealed a three-year high in the seven-day average number of unspent transaction outputs (UXTOs) in loss.

3be98052-84b9-4a52-a6fa-877a4c46565e.jpegBitcoin UTXOs in loss chart. Source: Glassnode/X

At that time, BTC/USD was seeing another August retracement — one that was nonetheless short lived, with September seeing its final visit to $10,000 before launching to new all-time highs later in 2020.

Speculators were on the receiving end of most of the pain this time around, with Bitcoin currently trading below the cost basis, or realized price, of short-term holders (STHs) — entities holding BTC for under 155 days.

4955170c-6448-41d1-906f-40a13f37a7b3.pngBitcoin hodler cohort realized price chart. Source: Glassnode

Familiar fear

Could Bitcoin in fact not be as weak as the market makes out?

Related: Bitcoin on the way to 'bearadise?' $20K is back as a BTC price target

Sentiment data suggests a knee-jerk reaction as the defining response to recent BTC price action — and the dust may be yet to settle.

According to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, the average crypto investor is more scared now than at any time since the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) collapse in March.

At just 38/100, “fear” is firmly in command as the new week begins, with Fear & Greed dropping 16 points over the past seven days.

a7418e81-d852-45d2-9b83-699e4b16eb6b.pngCrypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.me

Among those calling for a more balanced take on the status quo, meanwhile, is trading team Stockmoney Lizards. BTC price performance regularly encounters the kind of drawback seen last week, it argued, making this month nothing new.

“Bitcoin sell off and everyone is yelling 10k,” it summarized at the weekend, commenting on a comparative chart of price action in the current halving cycle versus its previous one.

“The history of BTC is lined with such sell offs and the market will recover from it as it did in the past.”
08126ad4-2873-42a6-a5be-5cd1e00eeb05.jpegBTC/USD comparative chart. Source: Stockmoney Lizards/X

Popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital went into further detail, noting several 20%+ drawdowns in 2023 alone on BTC/USD.

All #BTC pullbacks in 2023:

• Early February -12%

• Late February -22%

• March -9%

• April to June -20%

• July to August -12%$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/4pmBXPY0fp

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) August 17, 2023

Data from monitoring resource CoinGlass puts August 2023 losses at -10.8% as of Aug. 21.

c528775e-6fc2-4a18-bf62-44df47af4b01.pngBTC/USD monthly returns table (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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  • 13.10.25 01:11 elizabethrush89

    God bless Capital Crypto Recover Services for the marvelous work you did in my life, I have learned the hard way that even the most sensible investors can fall victim to scams. When my USD was stolen, for anyone who has fallen victim to one of the bitcoin binary investment scams that are currently ongoing, I felt betrayal and upset. But then I was reading a post on site when I saw a testimony of Wendy Taylor online who recommended that Capital Crypto Recovery has helped her recover scammed funds within 24 hours. after reaching out to this cyber security firm that was able to help me recover my stolen digital assets and bitcoin. I’m genuinely blown away by their amazing service and professionalism. I never imagined I’d be able to get my money back until I complained to Capital Crypto Recovery Services about my difficulties and gave all of the necessary paperwork. I was astounded that it took them 12 hours to reclaim my stolen money back. Without a doubt, my USDT assets were successfully recovered from the scam platform, Thank you so much Sir, I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover for any of your bitcoin recovery, digital funds recovery, hacking, and cybersecurity concerns. You reach them Call/Text Number +1 (336)390-6684 His Email: [email protected] Contact Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Via Contact: [email protected] His website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 01:15 tyleradams

    Hi. Please be wise, do not make the same mistake I had made in the past, I was a victim of bitcoin scam, I saw a glamorous review showering praises and marketing an investment firm, I reached out to them on what their contracts are, and I invested $28,000, which I was promised to get my first 15% profit in weeks, when it’s time to get my profits, I got to know the company was bogus, they kept asking me to invest more and I ran out of patience then requested to have my money back, they refused to answer nor refund my funds, not until a friend of mine introduced me to the NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, so I reached out and after tabling my complaints, they were swift to action and within 36 hours I got back my funds with the due profit. I couldn’t contain the joy in me. I urge you guys to reach out to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS on their email: [email protected]

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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