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Is BTC price about to retest $20K? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

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Bitcoin looks like it is treading on thin ice as February fails to match the gains of last month.

Bitcoin (BTC) starts the second week of February in a newly bearish mood as multi-month highs fail to hold.

In what may yet bring vindication to those predicting a major BTC price comedown, BTC/USD is back under $23,000 and making lower lows on hourly timeframes.

Feb. 6 trading may not yet be underway in Europe or the United States, but Asian markets are already falling and the U.S. dollar gaining — potential further hurdles for Bitcoin bulls to overcome.

With some macroeconomic data to come from the Federal Reserve this week, attention is mostly focused on next week’s inflation check in the form of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January.

In the build-up to this event, the results of which are already hotly contested, volatility may gain a fresh foothold across risk assets.

Add to that those aforementioned concerns that Bitcoin is long overdue a more significant retracement than those seen in recent weeks, and the recipe is there for difficult, but potentially lucrative trading conditions.

Cointelegraph takes a look at the state of play on Bitcoin this week and considers the factors at play in moving the markets.

BTC price disappoints with weekly close

It is very much a tale of two Bitcoins when it comes to analyzing BTC price action this week.

BTC/USD has managed to retain the majority of its stunning January gains, these totaling almost 40%. At the same time, signs of a comedown on the cards are increasingly making themselves known.

The weekly close, while comparatively strong at just under $23,000, still failed to beat the previous one, and also represented a rejection at a key resistance level from mid-2022.

“BTC is failing its retest of ~$23400 for the time being,” popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital summarized about the topic on Feb. 5.

An accompanying weekly chart highlighted the support and resistance zones in play.

“Important BTC can Weekly Close above this level for a chance at upside. August 2022 shows that a failed retest could see BTC drop deeper in the blue-blue range,” he continued.

“Technically, retest still in progress.”
0d328474-7920-4905-90a4-3bd45973c5d4.pngBTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Rekt Capital/ Twitter

As Cointelegraph reported over the weekend, traders are already betting on where a potential pullback may end up — and which levels could act as definitive support to buoy Bitcoin’s newfound bullish momentum further.

These currently center around $20,000, a psychologically significant number and also the site of Bitcoin’s old all-time high from 2017.

BTC/USD traded at around $22,700 at the time of writing, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed, continuing to push lower during Asia trading hours.

“Some bids were filled on this recent push down (green box) but most of the remaining bids below have been pulled (red box),” trader Credible Crypto wrote about order book activity on Feb. 5.

“If we continue lower here eyes still on 19-21k region as a logical bounce zone.”

For a quietly confident Il Capo of Crypto, meanwhile, it is already crunch time when it comes to the trend reversal. A supporter of new macro lows throughout the January gains, the trader and social media pundit argued that breaking below $22,500 would be “bearish confirmation.”

“Current bear market rally has created the perfect environment for people to keep buying all the dips when the current trend reverses,” he wrote during a Twitter debate.

“Perfect scenario for a capitulation event in the next few weeks.”
d8796ff3-fa91-4529-93dd-9cfe64f6f891.pngBTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Fed officials to speak as market eyes CPI

The week in macro looks decidedly calm compared to the start of February, with less in the way of data and more by way of commentary set to define the mood.

That commentary will come courtesy of Fed officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, and any hint of policy change contained within their language has the potential to shift markets.

The week prior saw just such a phenomenon play out, as Powell used the word “disinflation” no fewer than fifteen times during a speech and Q&A session accompanying the Fed’s move to enact a 0.25% interest rate hike.

Ahead of fresh key data next week, talk in analytics circles is on how the Fed might transition from a restrictive to accommodative economic policy and when.

As Cointelegraph reported, not everyone believes that the U.S. will pull off the “soft landing” when it comes to lowering inflation and will instead experience a recession.

“DON't be surprised if the term "soft-landing" remains around for a while before the rug being pulled in Q3 or Q4 this year,” investor Andy West, co-founder of Longlead Capital Partners and HedgQuarters, concluded in a dedicated Twitter thread at the weekend.

In the meantime, it may be a case of business as usual, however, with smaller rate hikes after Powell’s “mini victory lap” over declining inflation, further analysis argues.

“Personally, my belief is that the Fed will most likely raise by +0.25% in the upcoming two meetings (March & May),” Caleb Franzen, senior market analyst at CubicAnalytics, wrote in a blog post on Feb. 4.

“Of course, all future actions by the Fed will be dependent on the continued evolution of inflation data & broader macroeconomic conditions.”

Franzen acknowledged that while recession was not currently an apt description of the U.S. economy, conditions could still worsen going forward, referencing three such cases in past years.

Closer to home, next week’s CPI release is already on the radar for many. The extent to which January’s data supports the waning inflation narrative should be key.

“Post-FOMC, we have a heap of 2nd tier data releases including the important ISM services and NFP,” trading firm QCP Capital wrote in forward guidance mailed to Telegram channel subscribers last week.

“However the decider will be the Valentine's Day CPI - and we think there are upside risks to that release.”
8268c08c-2082-44b3-a292-8a1f36a01b29.pngU.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) chart. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Miner "relief" contrasts with BTC sales

Turning to Bitcoin, it is network fundamentals currently offering some stability amid a turbulent environment.

According to current estimates from BTC.com, difficulty is stable at all-time highs, with only a modest negative readjustment forecast in six days’ time.

This could well end up positive depending on Bitcoin price action, however, and a look at hash rate data suggests that miners remain in fierce competition.

31da7785-2a5d-48f8-a75c-b8f5f90e5a97.pngBitcoin miner net position change chart. Source: Glassnode

A countertrend comes in the form of miners’ economic behavior. The latest data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode shows that sales of BTC by miners continue to increase, with their reserves dropping faster over 30-day periods.

Reserves correspondingly totaled their lowest in a month on Feb. 6, with miners’ balance at 1,822,605.594 BTC.

1ac349b1-0d15-45af-9b82-b230ddaabee1.png

Overall, however, current price action has provided “relief” for miners, Philip Swift, co-founder of trading suite Decentrader says.

In a tweet last week, Swift referenced the Puell Multiple, a measure of relative value of BTC mined, which has left its “capitulation zone” to reflect better profitability.

“After 191 days in capitulation zone, the Puell Multiple has rallied. Showing relief for miners via increased revenue and likely reduced sell pressure,” he commented.

7b1024c1-e2d8-4a22-aa31-2812c5321368.pngBitcoin Puell Multiple annotated chart. Source: Philip Swift/ Twitter

NVT suggests volatility will kick in

Some on-chain data is still surging ahead despite the slowdown in BTC price gains.

Of interest this week is Bitcoin’s network value to transaction (NVT) signal, which is now at levels not seen in nearly two years.

NVT signal measures the value of BTC transferred on-chain against the Bitcoin market cap. It is an adaption of the NVT ratio indicator, but uses a 90-day moving average of transaction volume instead of raw data.

NVT at multi-year highs may be cause for concern — network valuation is relatively high compared to value transferred, a scenario which may prove “unsustainable,” in the words of its creator, Willy Woo.

4b1d51b4-c8cc-4927-bc25-e61d3a22b592.pngBitcoin NVT signal chart. Source: Glassnode/ Twitter

As Cointelegraph reported late last year, however, there are multiple nuances to NVT which make its various incarnations diverge from one another to provide a complex picture of on-chain value at a given price.

“Bitcoin's NVT is showing indications of value normalization and the start of a new market regime,” Charles Edwards, CEO of crypto investment firm Capriole, commented about a further tweak of NVT, dubbed dynamic range NVT, on Feb. 6.

“The message is the same further through history and more often than not it is good news in the mid- to long-term. In the short-term, this is a place we typically see volatility.”
65ae0332-f608-42f9-a0fb-d8619cad1370.pngBitcoin dynamic range NVT ratio chart. Source: Charles Edwards/ Twitter

Small Bitcoin wallet show "trader optimism"

In a glimmer of hope, on-chain research firm Santiment notes that the number of smaller Bitcoin wallets has ballooned this year.

Related: Bitcoin, Ethereum and select altcoins set to resume rally despite February slump

Since BTC/USD crossed the $20,000 mark once more on Jan. 13, 620,000 wallets with a maximum of 0.1 BTC have reappeared.

That event, Santiment says, marks the moment when “FOMO returned” to the market, and the subsequent growth in wallet numbers means that these are at their highest since Nov. 19.

“There have been ~620k small Bitcoin addresses that have popped back up on the network since FOMO returned on January 13th when price regained $20k,” Twitter commentary confirmed on Feb. 6.

“These 0.1 BTC or less addresses grew slowly in 2022, but 2023 is showing a return of trader optimism.”
e87bfca8-2326-4600-9677-798f0a6954c1.pngBitcoin wallet addresses vs. BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Santiment/ Twitter

A look at the Crypto Fear & Greed Index meanwhile shows “greed” still being the primary description of market sentiment.

On Jan. 30, the Index hit its “greediest” since Bitcoin’s November 2021 all-time highs.

7cf1387a-eece-4ae3-8019-0908aa67b319.pngCrypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.me

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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  • 13.10.25 01:11 elizabethrush89

    God bless Capital Crypto Recover Services for the marvelous work you did in my life, I have learned the hard way that even the most sensible investors can fall victim to scams. When my USD was stolen, for anyone who has fallen victim to one of the bitcoin binary investment scams that are currently ongoing, I felt betrayal and upset. But then I was reading a post on site when I saw a testimony of Wendy Taylor online who recommended that Capital Crypto Recovery has helped her recover scammed funds within 24 hours. after reaching out to this cyber security firm that was able to help me recover my stolen digital assets and bitcoin. I’m genuinely blown away by their amazing service and professionalism. I never imagined I’d be able to get my money back until I complained to Capital Crypto Recovery Services about my difficulties and gave all of the necessary paperwork. I was astounded that it took them 12 hours to reclaim my stolen money back. Without a doubt, my USDT assets were successfully recovered from the scam platform, Thank you so much Sir, I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover for any of your bitcoin recovery, digital funds recovery, hacking, and cybersecurity concerns. You reach them Call/Text Number +1 (336)390-6684 His Email: [email protected] Contact Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Via Contact: [email protected] His website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 01:15 tyleradams

    Hi. Please be wise, do not make the same mistake I had made in the past, I was a victim of bitcoin scam, I saw a glamorous review showering praises and marketing an investment firm, I reached out to them on what their contracts are, and I invested $28,000, which I was promised to get my first 15% profit in weeks, when it’s time to get my profits, I got to know the company was bogus, they kept asking me to invest more and I ran out of patience then requested to have my money back, they refused to answer nor refund my funds, not until a friend of mine introduced me to the NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, so I reached out and after tabling my complaints, they were swift to action and within 36 hours I got back my funds with the due profit. I couldn’t contain the joy in me. I urge you guys to reach out to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS on their email: [email protected]

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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