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How a change in this Bitcoin metric could signal a bull run



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Many metrics have been employed in attempts to predict when the Bitcoin bull run will start. Nevertheless, a recent analysis suggests that it may not occur until a specific price range is reached.

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2023-24

A recent update by Ali Charts showed that a historical pattern has been observed in Bitcoin’s bull runs, typically triggered when the price reaches a specific threshold based on certain metrics. According to the post, this threshold was typically when the price surpassed the average cost basis of Bitcoin holders with a track record spanning six months to three years.

The chart highlighted in the post indicated that the current cost basis for Bitcoin was approximately $33,755. The average cost basis is a crucial metric that signifies the average price at which Bitcoin holdings have been accumulated over a period. To compute it, one adds the total amount spent on purchasing Bitcoin and then divides this figure by the total quantity of BTC owned.

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This metric holds immense importance in assessing the profitability of a Bitcoin investment and guiding decisions regarding the buying or selling of BTC. It naturally directs focus toward the prevailing price trend as well.

As of this writing, Bitcoin traded at around $25,800 when analyzed on a daily timeframe chart. It was experiencing a slight loss, though it remained below 1%.

Examining the historical price trend over the same timeframe revealed that the highest price it had reached throughout the year was approximately $31,000. This observation suggested that, so far this year, the price has yet to manage to reach the cost basis highlighted in the earlier post.

Bitcoin daily timeframe price trend

Source: TradingView

Additionally, it was evident that the declining price trend had led to the short-moving average (yellow line) trending downward. Furthermore, there was a potential for a “death cross” to occur if the price continued its downward trajectory.

Comparing the Market Value to the Realized Value (MVRV) ratio over different timeframes, namely the 180-day, 365-day, and two-year periods, yielded distinct outcomes.

The 365-day MVRV indicated a potential for profitability at 4.2%. However, the 180-day and two-year MVRV ratios revealed losses. Specifically, the 180-day MVRV stood at approximately -8%, while the two-year MVRV was around -11%.

BTC MVRV

Source: Santiment

– How much are 1,10,100 BTCs worth today

Except for the 180-day MVRV, these metrics were in sync with the prevailing bearish trend in Bitcoin’s performance. They highlighted how profitability in these metrics could serve as an indicator for an impending bull run.

 

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  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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