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Gold’s trillion‑dollar climb shows Bitcoin has room to catch up

Gold is on a tear in 2025, rallying to all-time highs above $3,400/oz as investors seek safety in a turbulent macro environment. The precious metal’s year-to-date (YTD) gains are firmly in double digits, reflecting robust safe-haven demand.

Gold’s sprint to new highs and Bitcoin’s choppy start to the year might look different on the surface. However, both assets are reacting to the same macro script: eroding confidence in fiat money, volatile geopolitics, and deeply negative real yields. A closer read of market data shows that the “digital gold” narrative is firming, with the two stores of value moving in tandem more often and for the same reasons, even if Bitcoin’s price action lags.

Gold entered 2025 at nearly $2,600, adding roughly one‑third to its price and about $9 trillion to its global market cap. Bitcoin opened the year close to $92,000, slipped to an early‑April low near $83,000 on tariff‑driven risk aversion, and now trades around $88,700, roughly a 4% decline year to date.

While that gap is stark, correlation tells another story. The patterns we’ve seen in the 30-day, 90-day, and 365-day rolling correlation coefficients echo prior cycles: gold rallies first as a liquidity hedge, then Bitcoin catches up once capital starts hunting for higher‑beta expressions of the same thesis.

Bitcoin gold correlationBitcoin’s correlation to gold in 2025 (Source: Glassnode)

A combination of macroeconomic factors underpins gold’s explosive rally.

Ten‑year Treasury notes hover near 4.5 percent while core inflation sits just under 5%, locking real yields below zero. In this environment, an asset with no coupon suddenly offers relative appeal. Gold’s zero‑yield nature was once a drawback; with money losing value in real terms, that handicap evaporates. Bitcoin, which pays no income either, fits the same playbook.

The Fed’s balance sheet stands above $10 trillion, and large fiscal deficits continue on both sides of the Atlantic. Survey work from the University of Michigan shows long‑run inflation expectations at the highest level since 2013. Investors who fear and expect currency debasement look first to gold, and in turn Bitcoin, whose fixed 21 million‑coin supply echoes gold’s scarcity

War in Ukraine raised the specter of reserve confiscation, prompting central banks in China, India, and the Gulf to accelerate gold purchases. Those official flows totaled 1,136 tonnes in 2023 and another 388 tonnes in the first quarter this year. Bitcoin is not yet a formal reserve asset, but the logic resonates: an apolitical bearer instrument cannot be frozen.

Whenever sanctions or tariff headlines intensify, both assets tend to firm together, even if Bitcoin reacts with extra volatility. The Trump administration’s plans to implement a “crypto reserve” with ample Bitcoin holdings further support this.

Furthermore, swings in the world’s de facto reserve currency, the US dollar, force many investors to turn away from cash and bonds. A weaker dollar magnifies both gold and Bitcoin in dollar terms. The DXY index fell 5% from its February peak to early April as the market priced in fewer Fed hikes and fresh trade friction. Gold set daily records during that slide; Bitcoin rallied nine percent off its tariff‑panic low. Their sensitivity to the greenback is another point of convergence.

Flows into gold and spot Bitcoin ETFs further confirm this thesis. Investment flows prove that institutions group the assets within the same “sound‑money” bucket. Net inflows to gold‑backed ETFs hit $8.2 billion in the first three months, reversing two straight years of net selling.

Meanwhile, spot Bitcoin ETFs, still limited to foreign markets and futures‑based products in the US, drew about $540 million net. The dollar amount is smaller, but the directional alignment is clear: capital searching for inflation insurance is spreading across both metals, one physical and ancient, the other digital and emergent.

However, with these shared drivers, Bitcoin failed to match gold’s pace this year. This could be due to several factors. First, gold’s $13 trillion float dwarfs Bitcoin’s $1.7 trillion. Large allocators can deploy size into gold without shifting price; similar flows into Bitcoin move the tape sharply, prompting traders to stagger entries.

Second, the lack of federal regulation regarding Bitcoin could be keeping many US asset managers and investors on the sidelines, even as they buy gold. Passage of the broader crypto regulatory agenda, or its repeal, could unleash new demand in the second half of the year.

Finally, equity traders still treat Bitcoin as a high‑beta tech proxy during sell‑offs, so tax‑driven de‑risking at quarter‑end weighed harder on BTC than on bullion. Past cycles show that once macro drivers dominate, this equity beta fades.

Correlation alone does not guarantee equal returns, but it does show that investors increasingly perceive both assets through the same lens: limited supply in a world of unbridled issuance elsewhere. Every historical bout of money printing has featured a two‑stage response: gold first, then the harder‑charging alternative.

Silver played that second role in the 1970s, while Bitcoin fulfilled that role in the 2010s. The 2025 setup feels familiar. Negative real returns on cash invite continual demand for immutable stores of value. Central banks keep absorbing bullion; institutions nibble at Bitcoin products.

If gold’s new plateau above $3,000 becomes the market’s reference point, the monetary premium implied by a $9 trillion jump in its capitalization hints at what could flow into Bitcoin once more gatekeepers open.

The post Gold’s trillion‑dollar climb shows Bitcoin has room to catch up appeared first on CryptoSlate.

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  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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