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GBTC Discount Narrows to Zero; Experts Say Return of Premium to NAV Is a Possibility

GBTC Discount Narrows to Zero; Experts Say Return of Premium to NAV Is a Possibility

The recently disappeared GBTC discount may be “a sign of industry maturing and the improved enterprise acceptance of bitcoin.” While some see the disappearance of the discount as pointing to the re-emergence of the premium to the net asset value (NAV), one expert said he sees “the continued parity or even a resurgence of the discount” as real possibilities.

The Impact of Spot Bitcoin ETF Approvals

On or around January 26, the discount to the net asset value (NAV) of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) narrowed to zero for the first time in nearly three years. Since descending to 44% in June 2023, the discount has gradually shrunk and by Dec. 20, 2023, it had reached the single-digit figure of 7%.

GBTC Discount Narrows to Zero; Experts Say Return of Premium to NAV Is a Possibility

According to Ycharts data, the last time the discount to the NAV was around zero was sometime around February 21, 2021. The gradual disappearance of the GBTC’s discount to NAV has been attributed to many factors including the spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF) approval speculation that gripped the crypto market for much of the second half of 2023.

Meanwhile, the disappearance of the discount has prompted some to predict the imminent return of the premium to the NAV. Others, however, have warned that this return to a premium is not a given because crypto assets like bitcoin are still volatile. They argue that the approval of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF) alone will not change that.

Nevertheless, some experts, such as Mant Hawkins, the Core Contributor at Andromeda, see the disappearance of the discount as a sign of how far the crypto industry has matured. He cites the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)’s recent approval of spot bitcoin ETFs as proof of the extent to which cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) are being adopted.

“I see the narrowing of the discount as a sign of the industry maturing and the improved enterprise acceptance of BTC. The BTC ETF approval decision, as welcome as it was, seems to be just one more slow turn of the adoption wheel,” Hawkins said.

The Return of the GBTC Premium

Another expert, Denis Petrovcic, co-founder and CEO of Blocksquare, said he does not rule out the market reacting to the disappearance of the discount by “pushing it to a premium we have not seen since 2020.” However, Petrovcic also concurred that crypto assets like BTC remain volatile, and not even the ETF hype can change this.

If indeed the GBTC’s premium is to return, Petrovcic said he foresees this ultimately gravitating to back NAV “to compensate for the ETF’s convenience and accessibility.”

Meanwhile, Zak Taher, the CEO of Multibank.io, indicated that he agrees with many of his peers’ views on what the disappearance of the discount likely means. However, Taher also told Bitcoin.com News that while a premium is a possibility, the “continued parity or even a resurgence of the discount are also potential scenarios.”

Andrey Stoychev, head of Prime Brokerage at Nexo explained that from an economic standpoint, one might suggest that the market has achieved a balance between the supply of and demand for GBTC shares. Hypothetically speaking, Stoychev said if inflows and outflows are equal, the present bitcoin price offers the most significant chance for profit realization in the past two years.

“With spot bitcoin ETFs approved, Grayscale investors have now been simply freed to realize gains,” Stoychev told Bitcoin.com News. “Fortunately, that selling pressure has been absorbed by newer market participants and investors, as evident from the disappearance of the GBTC discount. Predicting a meaningful premium is tricky; it depends on Bitcoin demand and industry-wide events, like the upcoming block rewards halving, that could shift supply dynamics and impact the GBTC discount.”

Stoychev added:

Arguably, right now, investors are spoiled for choice on how to gain exposure to Bitcoin. That field, dominated by the world’s leading asset managers, will possibly be characterized by miniscule margins and fierce price competition. Should this be the case, serious deviations toward a premium or discount for GBTC shares are unlikely without a significant, industry-wide event to disturb the markets and force investors into fear or greed.

Before dropping to zero in late February 2021, the digital asset investment product’s premium to NAV ratio had largely stayed above 10%. After the premium turned negative, the price of the GBTC stock also began to drop.

As shown by the data, the price of GBTC fell from one of its 2021 highs of just over $51 to less than $9 in December 2022. However, since then, the price has rallied. At the time of writing, one GBTC share was trading at just above $37. As of Jan. 30, 2023, GBTC’s BTC reserves are now under 500,000 at 496,573.81 BTC.

What are your thoughts on this story? Let us know what you think in the comments section below.

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  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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