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Exchange flow gap hits 10K BTC — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

6da60da1-8fca-4ae1-b514-c60eb311e885.jpg

A "significant" shift in Bitcoin hodler sentiment provides the backdrop to BTC price action clinging to its highest levels in 18 months.

Bitcoin (BTC) begins the second week of November still holding strong near 18-month highs — where might BTC price moves head next?

The largest cryptocurrency has fought off sell pressure to seal another impressive weekly close.

In what analysis is increasingly describing as a change in sentiment, Bitcoin and altcoins alike are refusing to retrace gains which first kicked in over one month ago.

Amid a torrid macroeconomic environment, crypto is striking out on its own where assets such as stocks are feeling the pressure, and bulls are hopeful that the upside is not yet over.

Plenty of potential volatility triggers lie in store in the coming week. With inflation still on everyone’s mind, the United States Federal Reserve will deliver a round of remarks as part of planned engagements, with Chair Jerome Powell among the speakers.

A short trading week on Wall Street will mean an extended period of “out-of-hours” trading next week, allowing crypto to potentially see more volatile moves into the next weekly close.

Behind the scenes, Bitcoin is technically as resilient as BTC price action suggests — hash rate and difficulty, already at all-time highs, are due to add to their record tally in the coming days.

Cointelegraph delves deeper into these issues and more in the weekly overview of what to expect when it comes to Bitcoin market activity in the short term and beyond.

Bitcoin bulls refuse to give an inch

Like last week, Bitcoin did not disappoint with the weekly candle close into Nov. 6.

At just over $35,000, the close in fact set a new 18-month high, and preceded a bout of volatility which saw a brief trip to just below the $36,000 mark, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows.

0909e045-5423-4a3f-8692-b6386e0ee1ba.pngBTC/USD 1-week chart. Source: TradingView

A fierce tug-of-war between buyers and sellers means that current resistance levels are proving hard to overcome, while liquidations mounted at the close.

As noted by popular trader Skew, the hourly chart suggests that “both sides of the book were swept” on exchanges.

On Nov. 5, Skew additionally showed increasing open interest (OI) on largest global exchange Binance — a key prelude to volatility in recent weeks.

$BTC
OI and perp delta here is literally people longing LTF highs and shorting LTF lows

OI continues to ramp up on binance ~ important for early next week pic.twitter.com/2bfc9Q2SwG

— Skew Δ (@52kskew) November 5, 2023

Continuing, fellow trader Daan Crypto Trades referenced funding rate data showing longs paying shorts.

“There's still quite a lot of positions that opened during the weekend so I'd expect some further volatility after the futures open and on Monday to take those out (on both sides),” part of X commentary read at the time.

As Cointelegraph reported, bets among market participants include $40,000 as a popular BTC price target. The timing is up for debate, but predictions for the end of 2023 revolve around even higher levels.

For the meantime, however, more conservative approaches remain. Among them is popular trader Crypto Tony, who over the weekend told X subscribers not to bet on bulls sweeping through resistance.

“I am only short if we lose that support zone at $34,100, and will close my current long position if we lose $33,000,” he wrote, updating his current trading strategy.

“I would not recommend longing here into resistance at all.”

Fed speakers lead macro week

With a break from U.S. macroeconomic data prints this week, attention is once more on the Fed as a source of market volatility.

Various speaking engagements over the week prior to the Veterans Day holiday on Nov. 10 will see officials including Chair Powell take to the stage.

The timing is perhaps more noteworthy than the speeches themselves — the Fed continued a pause in interest rate hikes last week, this despite the data showing inflation beating expectations.

Previous comments have directed markets away from expecting a pivot in rates policy until well into next year. Per data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, bets for the outcome of the next rates decision, due in just over one month, are for a repeat pause.

4b73a9b5-3570-4c88-92f8-f10f9c18aa5c.pngFed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME Group

“All attention remains on the Fed,” financial commentary resource The Kobeissi Letter wrote in X comments on the upcoming macro diary.

Key Events This Week:

1. Fed Chair Powell Speaks - Wednesday

2. Initial Jobless Claims - Thursday

3. Fed Chair Powell Speaks - Thursday

4. Consumer Sentiment data - Friday

5. ~10% of S&P 500 reports earnings this week

6. Total of 12 Fed speaker events

All attention remains…

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) November 5, 2023

Kobeissi added that volatility may continue in the coming days on the back of turbulence on bond markets. Stocks also saw notable changes last week, with the S&P 500 making an abrupt about turn after dropping through the second half of October.

Continuing, investment research platform Game of Trades suggested that “major economic volatility” is on the horizon thanks to a rare contraction in U.S. consumer credit.

“This has happened ONLY 3 times in the last 75 years,” it noted, referring to savings as a percentage of U.S. national income.

The other two occasions coincided with the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and March 2020 COVID-19 crash.

This has happened ONLY 3 times in the last 75 years

Savings as a % of national income is now contracting

The previous 2 contractions coincided with the:

- 2008 Financial Crisis
- 2020 Pandemic

High interest rate + high debt environment is a strong headwind for the consumer… pic.twitter.com/T7EXvBSaMT

— Game of Trades (@GameofTrades_) November 5, 2023

Hash rate, difficulty propelled to new all-time highs

It feels as if Bitcoin network fundamentals’ march higher is truly relentless after this year’s gains.

Hash rate and mining difficulty have cancelled out every comedown on the road to current all-time highs, and the upcoming adjustment will cement those levels.

Difficulty is slated to increase by another 2.4% on Nov. 12, taking its tally to nearly 64 trillion for the first time in Bitcoin’s history, per data from monitoring resource BTC.com.

80632e26-5084-4aa7-83de-fd6677ff5091.pngBitcoin network fundamentals overview (screenshot). Source: BTC.com

Hash rate, while more fluid and hard to measure accurately, has nonetheless made its trend obvious in recent months.

As noted by James van Straten, research and data analyst at crypto insights firm CryptoSlate, last week was especially significant for hash rate — the estimated combined processing power dedicated to the network by miners.

Yesterday, saw the single biggest day in #Bitcoin hash rate history, 521 eh/s.

We are halfway through this difficulty epoch, and the estimated difficulty adjustment is over 5.5%. @maxkeiser @TuurDemeester @BitPaine pic.twitter.com/aRSn56Ehab

— James V. Straten (@jimmyvs24) November 5, 2023

As Cointelegraph reported, one theory which calls for the trend to continue into next year’s block subsidy halving revolves around miners’ own goals.

In an interview in September, Filbfilb, co-founder of trading suite DecenTrader, argued that miners would want to up their BTC retention prior to the halving cutting their BTC reward per block by 50%.

By the time of the halving itself, however, BTC/USD could trade at $46,000 as a result, he suggested.

Exchange flow gap reaches second-highest levels

As crypto markets come back to life, profitability conditions among Bitcoin hodlers are changing.

As Cointelegraph reported, the initial return above $30,000 saw the BTC spot price head above the acquisition cost of various more recent investor cohorts.

Now, signs of change are visible on exchanges, with inflows taking a back seat and withdrawals nearing year-to-date highs.

For Van Straten, the phenomenon marks a “a significant shift in the Bitcoin exchange flow.”

“A renewed momentum in Bitcoin withdrawals is evident, with over 61,000 BTC recently withdrawn, a substantial surge from the year-to-date low of nearly 43,000 BTC,” he wrote in CryptoSlate analysis on Nov. 3.

“This uptick suggests an increasing preference for investors to hold their Bitcoin assets off-exchange, possibly indicating a stronger long-term belief in the value of Bitcoin.”

He added that the gap between exchange deposit and withdrawal volume in BTC terms had reached its second-largest value ever — a “remarkable” 10,000 BTC, per data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode.

“This differential is only shadowed by the FTX collapse aftermath, which witnessed an overwhelming peak of over 80,000 BTC withdrawn,” the analysis concluded.

“These trends could suggest a shift in investor sentiment, with more investors seemingly opting to hold their assets long-term rather than seeking immediate liquidity on exchanges.”
c58bdbe8-04d2-4997-879d-fac4c58d85fd.pngBitcoin exchange flow data chart. Source: James Van Straten/X

Glassnode also shows aggregate capital inflows hitting year-to-date highs — an event described by popular social media trader and analyst Ali as representing “strong investor confidence.”

A lot of capital is flowing into #crypto right now, signaling strong investor confidence.

In fact, we spotted nearly $10.97 billion in positive capital inflows, the highest level in 2023! pic.twitter.com/XfXz6aaVOK

— Ali (@ali_charts) November 5, 2023

Crypto "fear" hits post-$69,000 highs

Improving sentiment often contains a double-edged sword in crypto, as the average hodler’s mindset becomes increasingly profit-focused.

Related: Sam Bankman-Fried convicted, PayPal faces SEC subpoena, and other news: Hodler’s Digest, Oct. 19 – Nov. 4

This is evidenced by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index — the classic market sentiment indicator which flashes a warning when the market enters phases of irrational exuberance.

Fear & Greed hit 84/100 during Bitcoin’s trip to current all-time highs in November 2021, and as of Nov. 6 is just 10 points off that peak.

At 74/100, the market is already “greedier” than at any point in the past two years. For Crypto Tony, however, there is still leeway for further upside before the sentiment imbalance becomes impossible to ignore.

“I want to see EXTREME GREED before i consider closing some positions,” he told X subscribers about the Index’s readings on Nov. 5, arguing that Ethereum (ETH) should head higher first.

Fear & Greed’s historical extremes have come in at around 95/100, the last time being in February 2021.

56fb1d62-7107-4f8b-86fa-00253580dede.pngCrypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.me

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Source

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    God bless Capital Crypto Recover Services for the marvelous work you did in my life, I have learned the hard way that even the most sensible investors can fall victim to scams. When my USD was stolen, for anyone who has fallen victim to one of the bitcoin binary investment scams that are currently ongoing, I felt betrayal and upset. But then I was reading a post on site when I saw a testimony of Wendy Taylor online who recommended that Capital Crypto Recovery has helped her recover scammed funds within 24 hours. after reaching out to this cyber security firm that was able to help me recover my stolen digital assets and bitcoin. I’m genuinely blown away by their amazing service and professionalism. I never imagined I’d be able to get my money back until I complained to Capital Crypto Recovery Services about my difficulties and gave all of the necessary paperwork. I was astounded that it took them 12 hours to reclaim my stolen money back. Without a doubt, my USDT assets were successfully recovered from the scam platform, Thank you so much Sir, I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover for any of your bitcoin recovery, digital funds recovery, hacking, and cybersecurity concerns. You reach them Call/Text Number +1 (336)390-6684 His Email: [email protected] Contact Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Via Contact: [email protected] His website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 01:15 tyleradams

    Hi. Please be wise, do not make the same mistake I had made in the past, I was a victim of bitcoin scam, I saw a glamorous review showering praises and marketing an investment firm, I reached out to them on what their contracts are, and I invested $28,000, which I was promised to get my first 15% profit in weeks, when it’s time to get my profits, I got to know the company was bogus, they kept asking me to invest more and I ran out of patience then requested to have my money back, they refused to answer nor refund my funds, not until a friend of mine introduced me to the NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, so I reached out and after tabling my complaints, they were swift to action and within 36 hours I got back my funds with the due profit. I couldn’t contain the joy in me. I urge you guys to reach out to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS on their email: [email protected]

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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