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End of ‘Uptober’ targets $40K BTC price — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week
Bitcoin holds higher BTC price levels into what looks to be a crunch week for crypto markets across the board.
Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week at comfortable highs as traders square off over BTC price action to come.
As macroeconomic uncertainty continues to grow, Bitcoin is cementing its new trading zone above $30,000.
The highest weekly close since early May 2022 is the latest achievement for bulls, and so far, bid support has allowed the market to avoid a deep retracement after last week’s snap 15% gains.
How could the environment change for BTC/USD this week?
As Bitcoin heads into the October monthly close, would-be volatility catalysts are brewing — not least thanks to the increasing geopolitical instability in the Middle East.
Adding to the hurdles for risk assets to overcome is the United States Federal Reserve, which will decide on interest rate adjustments on Nov. 1.
Under the hood, Bitcoin is looking better than ever, and the numbers prove it — network fundamentals are either at or circling all-time highs, continuing a trend in place for much of this year.
As price survives a mass profit-taking event at the hands of speculators, faith in further upside is proving hard to shake — but for some, the specter of a $20,000 crash is still firmly in play.
Cointelegraph takes a look at these factors and more in the weekly rundown of potential BTC price influencers for the coming days.
Countdown to the end of “Uptober”
After its highest weekly close in 18 months, Bitcoin continues to consolidate near $34,000 as the week begins.
A late-weekend surge took BTC price action to $34,700, helping add to the day’s BTC short liquidations, per data from monitoring resource CoinGlass.
BTC liquidations chart (screenshot). Source: CoinGlassDespite this, the last weekly close of October was a calm event compared to a week prior, and with the monthly close now in focus, market participants will be keen to see if “Uptober” retains its bullish status.
Eyeing relative strength index (RSI) behavior, popular analyst Matthew Hyland was optimistic on the day.
“Current Bitcoin position would eliminate any possibility of bearish divergence forming on the weekly later on off the prior RSI high,” he wrote in an X post.
“This is extremely good for the bullish side and worst possible close for the bearish side.”
An accompanying chart showed RSI hitting higher highs on weekly timeframes. In a previous post, Hyland said that a weekly close at current levels would constitute a wider breakout.
#Bitcoin Weekly closes tommorow
— Matthew Hyland (@MatthewHyland_) October 28, 2023
It will potentially confirm a massive breakout of a 6 month+ consolidation
There is also is a chance the weekly RSI will put in a higher high as well and negate any chance at bearish divergence later on pic.twitter.com/WPnkc1e2rE
RSI, which traditionally acts as an overbought signal at a given price when above 70, stood at 69.7 at the time of writing, with BTC/USD at $34,300, per data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.
BTC/USD 1-week chart with RSI. Source: TradingViewSimilarly buoyant about what could happen to BTC price strength this week was popular trader Titan of Crypto.
In one of his latest X updates, he used the Ichimoku cloud to argue that a breakout toward $40,000 was on the cards.
#Bitcoin at $40,000 next week? #BTC is trying to breakout from both bullish pennant and the inside bar's range.
— Titan of Crypto (@Washigorira) October 29, 2023
Tenkan starts pointing up ↗️.
If the following conditions are matched :
- Kijun followsTenkan.
- Daily candle manages to close above the range and stay… pic.twitter.com/qZ7PZ5L9n2
As Cointelegraph reported last week, $40,000 is a popular target for bulls, but some remain notably surprised by the strength of the recent rally.
Trader Bluntz argued that it was “wild that we broke 32k with conviction held and have now found acceptance above 34k.”
“The doubt and disbelief is still lingering,” he continued in part of X commentary, suggesting that many retained a bear market mentality.
$20,000 BTC price dive “worst-case scenario”
Despite a week of holding higher levels, Bitcoin is far from convincing everyone that they will endure.
As Cointelegraph continues to report, $20,000 is a crash level that is still very much on the radar for some market participants.
The site of both a CME futures gap and the psychologically significant 2017 all-time high, $20,000 has not left traders’ consciousness seven months after BTC/USD last traded there.
All CME gaps filled in the chart,
— Poseidon (@CryptoPoseidonn) October 28, 2023
Except $20k.$BTC pic.twitter.com/YS1XfIotCs
Commenting on the prospect of such a move becoming reality, popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital described it as a “worst-case scenario.”
The timeframe for this to occur is the five-and-a-half months remaining until the next block subsidy halving event.
“That would be a -42% drop from here,” he wrote at the weekend.
“How likely is it that this could happen? Worst-case scenarios typically have a low probability of occurring.”
Rekt Capital had previously warned of a potential extensive BTC price downside at the hands of a double top pattern for 2023; this was subsequently invalidated with last week’s move.
Social media was naturally not short of those disregarding a $20,000 comeback altogether, among them CrediBULL Crypto, who described the eventuality as “near impossible.”
Bitcoin, he continued on the day, was in line to “melt through” the $40,000 mark.
When I first tweeted this 5 months ago, most disagreed with me.
— CrediBULL Crypto (@CredibleCrypto) October 29, 2023
I think many still do.
When we melt through 40k+, most will finally start to agree with me. $BTC https://t.co/VCChLO6A7Q pic.twitter.com/ulzeiZuTru
Others highlighted the necessary levels to hold in order to avoid a rapid unwinding of recent progress.
“Looking for Bitcoin to hold this mid range retest and S/R flip,” analyst Mark Cullen wrote alongside a summary chart.
“If it breaks back below then i think the lower sweep could still be on the cards. Bulls don’t really want to see BTC trade for any time back below 32.5k, but a wick below to take liquidity isn’t off the table.”
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Mark Cullen/XTrader Pentoshi, meanwhile, said that conditions had not changed on longer timeframes.
$BTC nothing unchanged
— Pentoshi euroPeng (@Pentosh1) October 29, 2023
Most important levels to play marked
Closing below purple = likely deviation and invalidation
40-42k on the table in the weeks ahead pic.twitter.com/MfmKCQZpO3
FOMC rate move due as crypto ditches stocks correlation
With trouble increasing in the Middle East and the impacts of war increasingly being felt outside the region, Bitcoin is seeing its second major conflict in the past two years.
Hodlers have a constant potential source of volatility in the background — something that will spar with U.S. macro data this week.
On Nov. 1, the Fed will meet to decide on whether benchmark interest rates should rise — an event that can form a short-term volatility catalyst in its own right.
Bitcoin has nonetheless dismissed Fed rate decisions in recent months, despite persistent inflation repeatedly beating market expectations.
Fed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME GroupPer data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, markets currently expect the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to leave rates unchanged this week.
“We have a huge week ahead,” financial commentary resource The Kobeissi Letter wrote in part of a summary.
Key Events This Week:
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 29, 2023
1. Consumer Confidence data - Tuesday
2. JOLTs Job data - Wednesday
3. Fed Rate Decision/Statement - Wednesday
4. Initial Jobless Claims - Thursday
5. October Jobs Report - Friday
6. ~20% of S&P 500 reports earnings this week
We have a huge week…
Kobeissi touched on what could become a fresh BTC price headwind — a correction on the S&P 500. Previously correlated with stocks, Bitcoin’s more recent divergence may be put to the test.
Over the past month, the S&P 500 has lost 4%.
BTC/USD vs. S&P 500 1-day chart. Source: TradingViewIn commentary last week, however, research firm Santiment not only confirmed the waning stock correlation but also said that this in itself was a sign that the crypto bull market was back.
#Bitcoin scratched its way to a new 17-month high again today. Even better, #crypto market caps are growing as the #SP500 declines. This suggests that $BTC's & #altcoins' 2-year reliance on #equities is gone, a typical recipe for #bullmarket conditions. https://t.co/XXFph87pj6 pic.twitter.com/nVCqyt9t4Z
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) October 25, 2023
Bitcoin mining difficulty, hash rate top previous peaks
For Bitcoin network fundamentals, there is no reason to pause for thought.
At its latest automated readjustment on Oct. 30, difficulty increased by 2.35% — hitting another all-time high.
Now at 62.46 trillion, difficulty reflects that competition among miners is more intense than ever — as Cointelegraph reported, it has never been so complex to mine a single BTC.
The hash rate tells an identical story, circling 493 exahashes per second (EH/s), according to the latest raw data estimates from statistics resource MiningPoolStats.
Commenting on the performance of both difficulty and hash rate, itself near record highs, James Van Straten, research and data analyst at crypto insights firm CryptoSlate, described the latter’s progress as a “surge.”
#Bitcoin will record another positive adjustment tomorrow, over 2%.
— James V. Straten (@jimmyvs24) October 29, 2023
In the last few days, we have seen the hash rate knocking on 500 eh/s. Only one day have we seen the hash rate break this record.
This will also be the fourth consecutive positive adjustment, which shows the… pic.twitter.com/H2IZFzNTfm
Jaran Mellerud, a mining analyst at crypto insights firm Arcane Research, predicted that the trend would continue.
“Bitcoin’s hashrate will likely continue surging due to the price pump coupled with the fact that miners are trying to outpace each other in upgrading fleets ahead of the halving,” he argued.
“I wouldn’t be surprised if we see 500 EH/s before the New Year.”
Bitcoin network fundamentals overview (screenshot). Source: BTC.comGreed matches BTC price all-time highs
Waiting in the wings and vying with RSI for upside potential is the classic crypto sentiment gauge, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index.
Related: First Bitcoin ETF trades $1.5B as GBTC ‘discount’ echoes $69K BTC price
Having lingered in a narrow range for months on end, Fear & Greed staged a firm return in line with Bitcoin’s push higher — but unlike BTC price action, it has returned to November 2021 levels.
The latest data shows the index hitting 72/100 in recent days. This is firmly within the “greed” category and matches its position just days after Bitcoin hit its most recent all-time highs of $69,000 nearly two years ago.
Fear & Greed tends to reach extreme levels before a significant trend change occurs in price action.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
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13.10.25 01:11
elizabethrush89
God bless Capital Crypto Recover Services for the marvelous work you did in my life, I have learned the hard way that even the most sensible investors can fall victim to scams. When my USD was stolen, for anyone who has fallen victim to one of the bitcoin binary investment scams that are currently ongoing, I felt betrayal and upset. But then I was reading a post on site when I saw a testimony of Wendy Taylor online who recommended that Capital Crypto Recovery has helped her recover scammed funds within 24 hours. after reaching out to this cyber security firm that was able to help me recover my stolen digital assets and bitcoin. I’m genuinely blown away by their amazing service and professionalism. I never imagined I’d be able to get my money back until I complained to Capital Crypto Recovery Services about my difficulties and gave all of the necessary paperwork. I was astounded that it took them 12 hours to reclaim my stolen money back. Without a doubt, my USDT assets were successfully recovered from the scam platform, Thank you so much Sir, I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover for any of your bitcoin recovery, digital funds recovery, hacking, and cybersecurity concerns. You reach them Call/Text Number +1 (336)390-6684 His Email: [email protected] Contact Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Via Contact: [email protected] His website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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13.10.25 01:11
elizabethrush89
God bless Capital Crypto Recover Services for the marvelous work you did in my life, I have learned the hard way that even the most sensible investors can fall victim to scams. When my USD was stolen, for anyone who has fallen victim to one of the bitcoin binary investment scams that are currently ongoing, I felt betrayal and upset. But then I was reading a post on site when I saw a testimony of Wendy Taylor online who recommended that Capital Crypto Recovery has helped her recover scammed funds within 24 hours. after reaching out to this cyber security firm that was able to help me recover my stolen digital assets and bitcoin. I’m genuinely blown away by their amazing service and professionalism. I never imagined I’d be able to get my money back until I complained to Capital Crypto Recovery Services about my difficulties and gave all of the necessary paperwork. I was astounded that it took them 12 hours to reclaim my stolen money back. Without a doubt, my USDT assets were successfully recovered from the scam platform, Thank you so much Sir, I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover for any of your bitcoin recovery, digital funds recovery, hacking, and cybersecurity concerns. You reach them Call/Text Number +1 (336)390-6684 His Email: [email protected] Contact Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Via Contact: [email protected] His website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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14.10.25 01:15
tyleradams
Hi. Please be wise, do not make the same mistake I had made in the past, I was a victim of bitcoin scam, I saw a glamorous review showering praises and marketing an investment firm, I reached out to them on what their contracts are, and I invested $28,000, which I was promised to get my first 15% profit in weeks, when it’s time to get my profits, I got to know the company was bogus, they kept asking me to invest more and I ran out of patience then requested to have my money back, they refused to answer nor refund my funds, not until a friend of mine introduced me to the NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, so I reached out and after tabling my complaints, they were swift to action and within 36 hours I got back my funds with the due profit. I couldn’t contain the joy in me. I urge you guys to reach out to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS on their email: [email protected]
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14.10.25 08:46
robertalfred175
CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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14.10.25 08:46
robertalfred175
CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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14.10.25 08:46
robertalfred175
CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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15.10.25 18:07
crypto
Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.
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15.10.25 21:52
harristhomas7376
"In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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15.10.25 21:52
harristhomas7376
"In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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