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Short liquidations contradict negative funding rates in perpetual futures

The open interest-weighted funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual futures turned negative in the past 24 hours. A negative funding rate usually signals bearish sentiment in the futures market, but the majority of liquidations seen in the past day were shorts, which typically follow a price increase.

This apparent contradiction starts making sense when looking at how the market behaved in the past week. The funding rate in perpetual futures contracts ensures that the contract price aligns with the spot price by facilitating periodic payments between long and short position holders.

A negative funding rate, as observed on March 25 and March 26, means shorts are paying longs, suggesting that the contract price is below the spot price — a hallmark of bearish sentiment where traders anticipate a price decline. On March 25, the funding rate dropped to -0.040%, and it remained at this level throughout March 26, according to data from CoinGlass.

bitcoin open interest weighted funding rate perpetual futuresGraph showing the open interest-weighted funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual futures from March 21 to March 26, 2025 (Source: CoinGlass)

However, liquidation data tells a different story. Over a one-hour period, short liquidations totaled $14.19 million compared to just $671,540 for longs, and over four hours, shorts saw $23.50 million in liquidations against $2.28 million for longs. Short liquidations occur when the price rises, forcing short traders to buy back contracts at higher prices to cover their positions, often amplifying the upward movement.

How can a negative funding rate, indicative of bearish sentiment, align with predominantly short liquidations, which suggest a price rally? To answer this, we turn to Bitcoin’s spot price in the past week.

On March 20, Bitcoin closed at $84,175.02. The price dipped slightly to $84,053.96 on March 21 and further to $83,843.18 on March 22, but it began a steady climb thereafter, reaching $86,142.15 on March 23 and $87,512.12 on March 24.

This upward trend, a roughly 4% gain from March 20 to March 24, was accompanied by a positive funding rate, peaking at 0.050% on March 24. A positive funding rate, where longs pay shorts, reflects a contract price above the spot price, consistent with the bullish price movement and suggesting that traders were willing to pay a premium to hold long positions.

The turning point came on March 25. Bitcoin opened at $87,515.76, slightly above the previous day’s close, and reached a high of $88,564.14, continuing the upward momentum. However, the price pulled back to close at $87,424.41, a modest decline of $87.71 from March 24.

On March 26, the price opened at $87,488.28, dipped to a low of $87,075.71, but rallied to close at $88,016.46 — a gain of $592.05 from the previous day’s close. This price action confirms the occurrence of a rally — albeit with some consolidation — that would have triggered the significant short liquidations observed. This means that short traders, betting on a price decline, were caught off guard by the upward movement, leading to a short squeeze where they were forced to buy back contracts at higher prices.

Bitcoin Price & Volume - Spot, All Exchanges, BTC-USD (10)Graph showing Bitcoin’s price from March 19 to March 26, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

However, the negative funding rate on these days suggests that the futures market, on average, remained bearish. The funding rate is calculated over a fixed period, often every eight hours, based on the average difference between the contract and spot prices. While the intraday price spikes on March 25 and March 26 drove short liquidations, the average contract price over the funding periods was likely below the spot price, reflecting a broader expectation of a price correction. This expectation may have been fueled by the price increase in the past week, which could have led traders to see the market as overbought as the price rallied.

On March 25, Bitcoin’s price ranged from a low of $86,322.37 to a high of $88,564.14 — a $2,241.77 swing. This volatility likely contributed to the disconnect between the funding rate and liquidations. The short liquidations were a reaction to the intraday rally, particularly the push toward $88,564.14. However, the subsequent pullback to $87,424.41 on March 25 and the dip to $87,075.71 on March 26 may have dragged the average contract price below the spot price, resulting in a negative funding rate.

This illustrates the timing mismatch between funding rate calculations and real-time market movements. While liquidations occur instantly in response to price changes, the funding rate reflects a longer-term average, capturing the prevailing sentiment over the funding period.

The post Short liquidations contradict negative funding rates in perpetual futures appeared first on CryptoSlate.

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    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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