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Rattled crypto industry could emerge stronger after USDC depeg

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Did the depegging reveal stablecoins’ limitations, or was it a learning moment?

USD Coin (USDC), the world’s second-largest stablecoin, may simply have been in the wrong place at the wrong time.

The place was Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), a commercial bank with $209 billion in assets, where USDC issuer Circle had deposited $3.3 billion of its cash reserves for safekeeping.

The time was the present: one of rapidly rising interest rates in which institutions like SVB, which had long been gathering short-term deposits to buy long-term assets, got whipsawed.

For several harrowing days, USDC lost its peg to the U.S. dollar, sinking to as low as $0.85 (depending on the exchange) before recovering to $1.00 on Monday, March 13. This was the coin that many considered to be the poster child for fiat-based stablecoins, i.e., the most transparent, compliant and frequently audited.

An unpredictable turn of events?

“It’s ironic that what was supposed to be the safest place to put stablecoin reserves caused a depegging,” Timothy Massad, a research fellow at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University and former chairman of the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), told Cointelegraph. “But it was a temporary problem, not an indication of fundamental design weakness,” he added.

Still, a depegging remains a serious affair. “When a stablecoin loses its peg, it defeats the purpose of its existence — to provide stability of value between the crypto and fiat worlds,” Buvaneshwaran Venugopal, assistant professor in the department of finance at the University of Central Florida, told Cointelegraph. A depegging unnerves existing and would-be investors, and it isn’t considered good for crypto adoption.

Some viewed this as an outlier event. After all, the last time a Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC)-insured bank as large as SVB collapsed was Washington Mutual back in 2008.

“For a bank run like this to have happened would have been far-fetched to many — until the bank run happened,” Arvin Abraham, a United Kingdom-based partner at law firm McDermott Will and Emery, told Cointelegraph. “Part of the problem is that the banking partners for the crypto space tend to be some of the riskiest banks. Circle may not have had options at some of the bigger banks with safer profiles.”

Long-term consequences

The depegging raises a slew of questions about USDC and stablecoins — and the broader cryptocurrency and blockchain industry.

Will the U.S.-based stablecoin now lose ground to industry leader Tether (USDT), an offshore coin that kept its dollar peg during the crisis?

Was USDC’s depegging a “one-off” circumstance, or did it reveal basic flaws in the stablecoin model?

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Did Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) and some other cryptocurrencies demonstrate resilience during the bank crisis while some banks and stablecoins faltered? And, what more can be done to ensure that other depeggings don’t occur in the future?

“Some people will point to this as a reason to not encourage the development of stablecoins, while others will say that the vulnerabilities of large banks are exactly why we need stablecoins,” added Massad. Neither is really accurate in his view. What is needed is comprehensive banking and stablecoin regulation.

Investors could lose confidence in both USDC and the entire stablecoin sector in the short term, said Abraham, “but in the long term, I don’t think this will have a significant impact.” Still, the situation highlighted poor “treasury management” on the part of Circle, suggested Abraham, adding:

“Keeping almost 10% of total reserves in one bank that is not viewed as ‘too-big-to-fail’ is a risky move for any business, let alone one that purports to maintain a stable peg to the dollar.”

That said, Abraham expects Circle to learn from this experience and eventually emerge stronger than ever. “This scare will likely cause Circle to take a step back and think about better controls to institute, so it is not subject to extreme counterparty risk again. It will make USDC, already a great product, even safer.”

USDC was never really in any existential danger, in Abraham’s view. Even if the U.S. government had not stepped in to “back-stop” depositors, “USDC would have been fine as its deposits were already in the process of being transferred out prior to the FDIC receivership being initiated.” The billions in reserves held by SVB would have settled in another bank by March 13 in any event, Abraham said.

Bitcoin and Ether show robustness

The good news is that Circle survived, and crypto pillars like Bitcoin and Ether held up surprisingly well while the banking contagion spread to other institutions like Signature Bank, First Republic Bank and Credit Suisse.

“Is anyone else surprised that a top Stablecoin [USDC] could just depeg by ~10% instantly, with virtually no ripple effects across other coin prices? Especially since this is pretty core to a lot of DeFi trading,” tweeted Joe Weisenthal. ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood even celebrated cryptocurrencies as a safe haven during the banking crisis.

Others, though, were more measured. BTC and ETH began to fall on March 10 and the early part of that weekend, noted Abraham. “If the U.S. government had not stepped in to backstop depositors in the U.S., and HSBC had not bought the U.K. bank, there would likely have been significant pain across the crypto sector when the markets opened again on Monday [March 13].”

Bitcoin’s price fell slightly on March 9–10 before rebounding. Source: CoinGecko

Others suggested that USDC basically did everything right; it was just unlucky. “USDC reserves are pretty much made up of cash and short-dated securities, with 80% held in the latter, probably the safest asset out there,” Vijay Ayyar, vice president of corporate development and global expansion at Luno, told Cointelegraph. “Hence, USDC in itself has no real issues if one takes a deeper look at what transpired.”

In Ayyar’s view, the more urgent need is “to have a full reserve dollar digital system that helps us move away from the systemic risks in the current fractional system.”

What does this mean for stablecoins?

What does this decoupling signify for stablecoins in general? Does it prove that they’re not really stable, or was this a one-off event where USDC happened to find itself in the wrong Federal Reserve-member bank? One lesson arguably learned is that stablecoin survivability isn’t entirely about reserves. Counterparty risk also has to be considered.

“Fiat-backed stablecoins have a number of intersecting risk factors,” Ryan Clements, assistant professor at the University of Calgary Faculty of Law, told Cointelegraph, further explaining:

“Much of the discussion to date on the risks of fiat-backed coins like USDC has focused on the issue of reserve composition, quality and liquidity. This is a material concern. Yet it is not the only concern.”

During the current crisis, many people were surprised “at the extent of the duration mismatch and lack of interest rate hedges at SVB, as well as the extent of Circle’s exposure to this bank,” said Clements.

Other factors that can unhinge a stablecoin are issuer insolvency and reserve custodian insolvency, said Clements. Investor perceptions also have to be considered — especially in the age of social media. Recent events demonstrated “how investor fears of reserve custodian insolvency can catalyze a depegging event due to a redemption run against the stablecoin issuer and a sell-off of the stablecoin on secondary crypto-asset trading platforms,” he added.

As the University of Central Florida’s Venugopal earlier said, depeggings erode the confidence of new investors and potential investors sitting on the fence. “This further delays the widespread adoption of decentralized financial applications,” said Venugopal, adding:

“The one good thing is that such mishaps bring in more scrutiny from the investor community — and regulators if the ripple effects are large enough.”

Wherefore Tether?

What about USDT, with its peg holding steady throughout the crisis? Has Tether put some distance between itself and USDC in the quest for stablecoin primacy? If so, isn’t that ironic, given Tether has been accused of a lack of transparency compared with USDC?

“Tether has also had its share of questions raised previously with regard to providing audits on its holdings, which has resulted in a depeg previously,” said Luno’s Ayyar. “Hence, I don’t think this incident proves that one is stronger than the other in any way.”

“The crypto markets have always been rich in irony,” Kelvin Low, a law professor at the National University of Singapore, told Cointelegraph. “For an ecosystem that is touted to be decentralized by design, much of the market is centralized and highly intermediated. Tether only appears to be stronger than USDC because all of its flaws are hidden from view.” But flaws can only be hidden for so long, Low added, “as the FTX saga demonstrates.”

Still, after dodging a bullet last week, USDC may want to do things differently. “I suspect that USDC will seek to strengthen its operations by diversifying its reserve custodian base, holding its reserves at a larger bank with stronger duration risk management measures and interest rate hedges, and/or ensuring that all reserves are adequately covered by FDIC insurance,” said the University of Calgary’s Clements.

Lessons learned

Are there any more general insights that can be drawn from recent events? “There’s no such thing as a completely stable stablecoin, and SVB perfectly illustrates that,” answered Abraham, who, like some others, still views USDC as the most stable of stablecoins. Still, he added:

“For it [USDC] to go through a 10% depegging event shows the limitations of the stablecoin asset class as a whole.”

Moving forward, “It will also be very important for stablecoin investor transparency to continually know what proportion of reserves are held at which banks,” said Clements.

Low, a crypto skeptic, said that recent events demonstrated that no matter what their design, “all stablecoins are susceptible to risks, with algorithmic stablecoins perhaps the most problematic. But even fiat-backed stablecoins are also susceptible to risk — in this case, counterparty risk.”

Also, stablecoins “are still subject to the risk of loss of confidence.” This applies to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, too; even though BTC has no counterparty risk or depegging issues, continued Low. “Bitcoin prices are [still] susceptible to downside pressures when there is a loss of confidence in the same.”

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Ayyar stated that USDC already had diverse banking partners, with only 8% of its assets at SVB. “Hence, that in itself is not the solution.” One needs to think more long-term, he suggested, including implementing comprehensive consumer protections “as opposed to relying on the current patchwork approach.”

As for former CFTC chief Massad, he cited the need for reforming both stablecoins and banking, telling Cointelegraph:

“We need a regulatory framework for stablecoins, as well as an improvement in the regulation of mid-size banks — which may require a strengthening of the regulations, better supervision, or both.”

Source

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  • 06.09.24 01:35 Celinagarcia

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  • 06.09.24 01:44 Celinagarcia

    HOW TO RECOVER MONEY LOST IN BITCOIN/USDT TRADING OR TO CRYPTO INVESTMENT !! Hi all, friends and families. I am writing From Alberton Canada. Last year I tried to invest in cryptocurrency trading in 2023, but lost a significant amount of money to scammers. I was cheated of my money, but thank God, I was referred to Hack Recovery Wizard they are among the best bitcoin recovery specialists on the planet. they helped me get every penny I lost to the scammers back to me with their forensic techniques. and I would like to take this opportunity to advise everyone to avoid making cryptocurrency investments online. If you ​​​​​​have already lost money on forex, cryptocurrency or Ponzi schemes, please contact [email protected] or WhatsApp: +1 (757) 237–1724 at once they can help you get back the crypto you lost to scammers. BEST WISHES. Celina Garcia.

  • 16.09.24 00:10 marcusaustin

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  • 23.09.24 18:56 matthewshimself

    At first, I was admittedly skeptical about Worldcoin (ref: https://worldcoin.org/blog/worldcoin/this-is-worldcoin-video-explainer-series), particularly around the use of biometric data and the WLD token as a reward mechanism for it. However, after following the project closer, I’ve come to appreciate the broader vision and see the value in the underlying tech behind it. The concept of Proof of Personhood (ref: https://worldcoin.org/blog/worldcoin/proof-of-personhood-what-it-is-why-its-needed) has definitely caught my attention, and does seem like a crucial step towards tackling growing issues like bots, deepfakes, and identity fraud. Sam Altman’s vision is nothing short of ambitious, but I do think he & Alex Blania have the chops to realize it as mainstay in the global economy.

  • 01.10.24 14:54 Sinewclaudia

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  • 02.10.24 22:27 Emily Hunter

    Can those who have fallen victim to fraud get their money back? Yes, you might be able to get back what was taken from you if you fell prey to a fraud from an unregulated investing platform or any other scam, but only if you report it to the relevant authorities. With the right plan and supporting documentation, you can get back what you've lost. Most likely, the individuals in control of these unregulated platforms would attempt to convince you that what happened to your money was a sad accident when, in fact, it was a highly skilled heist. You should be aware that there are resources out there to help you if you or someone you know has experienced one of these circumstances. Do a search using (deftrecoup (.) c o m). Do not let the perpetrators of this hoaxes get away with ruining you mentally and financially.

  • 18.10.24 09:34 freidatollerud

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  • 31.10.24 00:13 ytre89

    Can those who have fallen victim to fraud get their money back? Yes, you might be able to get back what was taken from you if you fell prey to a fraud from an unregulated investing platform or any other scam, but only if you report it to the relevant authorities. With the right plan and supporting documentation, you can get back what you've lost. Most likely, the individuals in control of these unregulated platforms would attempt to convince you that what happened to your money was a sad accident when, in fact, it was a highly skilled heist. You should be aware that there are resources out there to help you if you or someone you know has experienced one of these circumstances. Do a search using (deftrecoup (.) c o m). Do not let the perpetrators of this hoaxes get away with ruining you mentally and financially.

  • 02.11.24 14:44 diannamendoza732

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  • 12.11.24 00:50 TERESA

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  • 17.11.24 09:31 Vivianlocke223

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  • 19.11.24 03:06 [email protected]

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  • 19.11.24 03:07 [email protected]

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  • 21.11.24 04:14 ronaldandre617

    Being a parent is great until your toddler figures out how to use your devices. One afternoon, I left my phone unattended for just a few minutes rookie mistake of the century. I thought I’d take a quick break, but little did I know that my curious little genius was about to embark on a digital adventure. By the time I came back, I was greeted by two shocking revelations: my toddler had somehow managed to buy a $5 dinosaur toy online and, even more alarmingly, had locked me out of my cryptocurrency wallet holding a hefty $75,000. Yes, you heard that right a dinosaur toy was the least of my worries! At first, I laughed it off. I mean, what toddler doesn’t have a penchant for expensive toys? But then reality set in. I stared at my phone in disbelief, desperately trying to guess whatever random string of gibberish my toddler had typed as a new password. Was it “dinosaur”? Or perhaps “sippy cup”? I felt like I was in a bizarre game of Password Gone Wrong. Every attempt led to failure, and soon the laughter faded, replaced by sheer panic. I was in way over my head, and my heart raced as the countdown of time ticked away. That’s when I decided to take action and turned to Digital Tech Guard Recovery, hoping they could solve the mystery that was my toddler’s handiwork. I explained my predicament, half-expecting them to chuckle at my misfortune, but they were incredibly professional and empathetic. Their confidence put me at ease, and I knew I was in good hands. Contact With WhatsApp: +1 (443) 859 - 2886  Email digital tech guard . com  Telegram: digital tech guard recovery . com  website link :: https : // digital tech guard . com Their team took on the challenge like pros, employing their advanced techniques to unlock my wallet with a level of skill I can only describe as magical. As I paced around, anxiously waiting for updates, I imagined my toddler inadvertently locking away my life savings forever. But lo and behold, it didn’t take long for Digital Tech Guard Recovery to work their magic. Not only did they recover the $75,000, but they also gave me invaluable tips on securing my wallet better like not leaving it accessible to tiny fingers! Who knew parenting could lead to such dramatic situations? Crisis averted, and I learned my lesson: always keep my devices out of reach of little explorers. If you ever find yourself in a similar predicament whether it’s tech-savvy toddlers or other digital disasters don’t hesitate to reach out to Digital Tech Guard Recovery. They saved my funds and my sanity, proving that no challenge is too great, even when it involves a toddler’s mischievous fingers!

  • 21.11.24 08:02 Emily Hunter

    If I hadn't found a review online and filed a complaint via email to support@deftrecoup. com , the people behind this unregulated scheme would have gotten away with leaving me in financial ruins. It was truly the most difficult period of my life.

  • 22.11.24 04:41 [email protected]

    I never could have imagined the nightmare of losing access to my digital wallet. All of my cryptocurrency holdings were abruptly imprisoned, inaccessible, and appeared to be lost forever following a catastrophic hardware breakdown. Years of meticulous investment and careful saving were reduced to nothing more than strings of code that I could no longer control, and I could feel the dread and sorrow that swept through me at that very instant. Thankfully, during my worst moment, I came into (TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT), a professional service devoted to recovering lost or inaccessible digital data. With optimism, I went out to their team of skilled technologists, laying bare the full nature of my issue. What followed was a laborious, multi-step process that required an almost surgical level of digital forensics and Bitcoin skill. In order to create a thorough profile of my wallet's contents and activities, the (TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT) team first thoroughly examined the transaction history and metadata connected to it. Next, they implemented a series of advanced recovery techniques, using cutting-edge software tools to bypass the access barriers that had left me locked out. The entire process was shrouded in secrecy and discretion, with the (TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT) team working tirelessly to protect the confidentiality of my sensitive financial information. After what felt like an eternity of nervous anticipation, the day finally arrived when I received the triumphant notification – my wallet had been successfully restored, and all of my precious digital assets had been returned to my control. The sense of relief was indescribable, as I could finally breathe easy knowing that the fruits of my financial discipline had been safeguarded. While the experience of losing access to my wallet was undoubtedly traumatic, (TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT) intervention allowed me to emerge from the ordeal with my cryptocurrency holdings intact, and a renewed appreciation for the importance of proactive digital asset management. You can contact Them through EMAIL: [email protected] - TELEGRAM: TRUSTGEEKSHACKEXPERT

  • 22.11.24 15:26 cliftonhandyman

    Your Lost Bitcoins Are Not Gone Forever? Enquire From iBolt Cyber Hacker iBolt Cyber Hacker is a cybersecurity service that specializes in Bitcoin and cryptocurrency recovery. Even if your Bitcoin is locked away in a scammer inaccessible wallet, they have the tools and expertise to retrieve it. Many people, including seasoned cryptocurrency investors, face the daunting possibility of never seeing their lost funds again. iBolt cyber hacker service is a potential lifeline in these situations. I understand the concerns many people might have about trusting a third-party service to recover their Bitcoin. iBolt Cyber Hacker takes security seriously, implementing encryption and stringent privacy protocols. I was assured that no sensitive data would be compromised during the recovery process. Furthermore, their reputation in the cryptocurrency community, based on positive feedback from previous clients, gave me confidence that I was in good hands. Whtp +39, 351..105, 3619 Em.ail: ibolt @ cyber- wizard. co m

  • 22.11.24 23:43 teresaborja

    all thanks to Tech Cyber Force Recovery expert assistance. As a novice in cryptocurrency, I had been carefully accumulating a modest amount of Bitcoin, meticulously safeguarding my digital wallet and private keys. However, as the adage goes, the best-laid plans can often go awry, and that's precisely what happened to me. Due to a series of technical mishaps and human errors, I found myself locked out of my Bitcoin wallet, unable to access the fruits of my digital labors. Panic set in as I frantically searched for a solution, scouring the internet for any glimmer of hope. That's when I stumbled upon the Tech Cyber Force Recovery team, a group of seasoned cryptocurrency specialists who had built a reputation for their ability to recover lost or inaccessible digital assets. Skeptical at first, I reached out, desperate for a miracle. To my utter amazement, the Tech Cyber Force Recovery experts quickly assessed my situation and devised a meticulous plan of attack. Through their deep technical knowledge, unwavering determination, and a keen eye for detail, they were able to navigate the complex labyrinth of blockchain technology, ultimately recovering my entire Bitcoin portfolio. What had once seemed like a hopeless endeavor was now a reality, and I found myself once again in possession of my digital wealth, all thanks to the incredible efforts of the Tech Cyber Force Recovery team. This experience has not only restored my faith in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Still, it has also instilled in me a profound appreciation for the critical role that expert recovery services can play in safeguarding one's digital assets.   ENAIL < Tech cybers force recovery @ cyber services. com >   WEBSITE < ht tps : // tech cyber force recovery. info  >   TEXT < +1. 561. 726. 3697 >

  • 02:21 [email protected]

    I never could have imagined the nightmare of losing access to my digital wallet. All of my cryptocurrency holdings were abruptly imprisoned, inaccessible, and appeared to be lost forever following a catastrophic hardware breakdown. Years of meticulous investment and careful saving were reduced to nothing more than strings of code that I could no longer control, and I could feel the dread and sorrow that swept through me at that very instant. Thankfully, during my worst moment, I came into (TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT), a professional service devoted to recovering lost or inaccessible digital data. With optimism, I went out to their team of skilled technologists, laying bare the full nature of my issue. What followed was a laborious, multi-step process that required an almost surgical level of digital forensics and Bitcoin skill. In order to create a thorough profile of my wallet's contents and activities, the (TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT) team first thoroughly examined the transaction history and metadata connected to it. Next, they implemented a series of advanced recovery techniques, using cutting-edge software tools to bypass the access barriers that had left me locked out. The entire process was shrouded in secrecy and discretion, with the (TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT) team working tirelessly to protect the confidentiality of my sensitive financial information. After what felt like an eternity of nervous anticipation, the day finally arrived when I received the triumphant notification – my wallet had been successfully restored, and all of my precious digital assets had been returned to my control. The sense of relief was indescribable, as I could finally breathe easy knowing that the fruits of my financial discipline had been safeguarded. While the experience of losing access to my wallet was undoubtedly traumatic, (TRUST GEEKS HACK EXPERT) intervention allowed me to emerge from the ordeal with my cryptocurrency holdings intact, and a renewed appreciation for the importance of proactive digital asset management. You can contact Them through EMAIL: [email protected] - TELEGRAM: TRUSTGEEKSHACKEXPERT

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