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Live Updates: Crypto and the 2024 U.S. Election

CRYPTO LOOKING FOR A LIFTCrypto is hoping for an post-election lift, because it’s been an ugly year for most major crypto assets so far. The CoinDesk 20 — an index of the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, excluding stablecoins and exchange tokens — is up 12% on the year, that’s mostly thanks to bitcoin (BTC), which has gained 59%. Bitcoin is weighed at 31% in the index, while ether (ETH) is worth 20%. The fact that these two assets are up year-to-date means that the bloodbath suffered by most of the other cryptocurrencies in the index has been somewhat concealed.UnmuteWill Crypto Decide the Next U.S. President?

01:35Why Bitcoin Will Be the Winner Regardless of U.S. Election Results02:25DOGE Surges on U.S. Election Day; Bitcoin ETFs Shed $541M and Mt. Gox Moves $2.2B BTC18:56Election Night Insights: Prediction Markets Don't Tell the 'Full Story,' Mark Connors Says01:09U.S. Recession Signal Flares From 10-Year and 3-Month Yield SpreadPolygon (MATIC) has plunged 71% since the start of the year, despite the breakout success of betting website Polymarket, which is hosted on the blockchain. Cosmos (ATOM), polkadot (DOT) and avalanche (AVAX) — smart contract platforms that rose to prominence in 2021 — also performed badly, down 64%, 55%, and 41% each. Ether, of course, has disappointed expectations despite gaining its own spot exchange-traded funds, but at least the coin is up 6%.

The real winner of the year is dogecoin (DOGE), up 76% since December. It’s worth noting that the original memecoin put in most of that performance in the last couple of months; the coin began rising in early September alongside bitcoin and former President Donald Trump’s odds on Polymarket, just as Tesla creator Elon Musk ramped up his efforts to help Trump get re-elected.FAIRSHAKE HAS MOVED ON TO 2026If the crypto sector enjoys what Fairshake did with its mountain of money, the firms will probably like 2026, too. Of the $169 million raised in this cycle, officials of those affiliated political action committees said about $30 million was left over for the next congressional elections.

That $30 million paired with another $25 million promised from Coinbase Inc. (COIN) and a $23 million commitment from a16z — both said to be planned for the opening of the next cycle — will start the industry PAC off with a whopping $78 million for an election cycle that doesn't even include a presidential race. The campaign-finance dominance from the crypto industry is only just beginning with Fairshake's 2024 performance, it seems. Starting with the GMI PAC in 2022, the sector has a definite strategy toward a crypto-friendly U.S. Congress.

WHAT THE BIGGEST TRADERS ON POLYMARKET SAYFlip Pidot, co-founder and CEO of American Civics Exchange, an over-the-counter dealer in political futures contracts ... "curated a list of the top performing traders on Polymarket and built an electoral college forecast based on their bets alone. As of mid-afternoon Tuesday in New York, this "elite" model projects Harris will win 276-251, whereas Polymarket as a whole sees Trump winning 287-262.DIVIDED CONGRESS MAY BE … GOOD?The best way to get a good crypto bill at this point — meaning one that will last and stand up to party politics — would be if the chambers of Congress remained divided, as they are now, argued Jaret Seiberg, a longtime financial policy analyst in Washington.

"Divided government is likely the most important outcome for crypto as we believe that is what produces a bipartisan regulatory structure that will remain intact regardless of what happens in future elections," he wrote in a note for TD Cowen clients. In this session that's winding down, the Senate has been controlled (barely) by Democrats, and the House had a very narrow majority in the House of Representatives, leaving the two chambers in divided hands. Crypto legislation did manage to wind its way through the House for the first time, but it made no real progress in the Senate. If it had, it would have required a carefully negotiated compromise.

"That matters as we see policy stability as critical to the further development of the crypto sector," Seiberg argued. A bill driven entirely by one side of the aisle becomes an easy target when the tables turn.FINAL OUTCOME OF 2024 POLLING IS A SHRUGTwo of the most prominent U.S. polling-analysis operations – 538 and Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin — based in similar statistical and political modeling, both concluded after careful study that the outcome of the presidential election is … a total mystery. Both operations suggested Vice President Kamala Harris has an advantage so slight that it's laughably unhelpful in the polling world, in which margins of error knock any meaning out of such a tight conclusion.

In a hundred election simulations run by 538, stirring in the witches brew of battleground analysis and economic conditions, she wins 50 matchups to former President Donald Trump's 49. The other goes to an electoral-college tie, which favors Trump. In most scenarios, Harris easily wins the popular vote — an outcome without political meaning, thanks to the U.S.'s electoral-college approach to the election.Nate Silver's own secret sauce, he needed to stretch the decimal places to indicate the distinction: Of 80,000 final simulations run by his site, Harris won 50.015% of the time, to Trump's 49.985%.

All seven battleground states have been so close that they're within the polling's margins of error, as well, leaving this closely examined contest a genuine coin toss, according to the analytical gurus.FAIRSHAKE SET UP FOR A HAPPY ELECTION NIGHTCrypto's campaign-finance arm Fairshake drew so much attention in the 2024 elections, and for good reason, since the industry dominated the political donations scene with its $169 million war chest. But the Fairshake political action committee and its affiliate PACs — backed mostly by crypto firms including Coinbase, Ripple and a16z — devoted their spending to congressional races only, choosing not to get into the presidential contest. The outcome: The effort is almost guaranteed to pay off with at least a couple of dozen new members of Congress that crypto dollars helped into Washington.

And Fairshake made a careful division of its party giving (managing to anger both sides in the process). Its final list of 58 congressional candidates the groups supported included 30 Democrats and 28 Republicans. Many of those were already incumbents and crypto allies, but the PACs pursued a strategy during the primaries to help elevate crypto-friendly winners in districts in which their candidate's party was strongly favored to win in the general. That way, the general election is meant to be a night of victorious news.The same strategy worked for its earlier iteration, GMI, in the 2022 congressional elections.

CRYPTO'S OHIO RISKCrypto PAC Fairshake's biggest focus was in Ohio, where the PACs dedicated tens of millions to sink crypto skeptic Sherrod Brown, the state's longtime Democratic senator, and lift blockchain entrepreneur Bernie Moreno, a Republican.The industry arm took a controversial risk with this one. Sherrod Brown is the chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, which will likely have a major hand in whatever crypto legislation clears Congress. If the Republican challenger doesn't manage to knock Brown off, the crypto industry has cemented its antagonistic relationship with Brown as he keeps walking the Senate halls — a possibility that has some in crypto lobbying circles nervous.

However, this chess is definitely three-dimensional. Because the Senate is statistically more likely to swing into Republican hands in this cycle, the committee chair may be Senator Tim Scott, a Republican from South Carolina. And he's recently come out as super excited about crypto. So, the industry might be able to clear a Senate bill without Brown's support if the crypto industry fails to get Moreno into that chamber.PREAMBLEThe U.S. crypto industry is waiting with bated breath for the results of the 2024 election.

Nearly $200 million from crypto-aligned political action committees has gone into supporting favored candidates, but some of the biggest races remain too close to guess who may win.CoinDesk will cover the election results live over the coming day (or days, depending on how things go), with market commentary and up-to-the-minute alerts on major races we're following – and how they may affect the crypto industry's chances for legislation, regulatory updates and more across the coming months. The biggest race is obviously the U.S. presidential election, with Kamala Harris facing off against Donald Trump.

Polls begin closing on the east coast at 7:00 p.m. EST, but due to the tight nature of some of the races we're following, we may not learn results immediately. Significant lawmakers running for reelection include Sherrod Brown, the Ohio Democrat who runs the Senate Banking Committee, Elizabeth Warren, Jon Tester and Debra Fischer.Read more: Here's Why Today's U.S. Election Matters for CryptoThe electoral map favors Republicans regaining the majority in the Senate. Similarly, Democrats are expected to regain the majority in the House of Representatives.

In the House, there's an open question as to who will succeed retiring Congressman Patrick McHenry, who chairs the powerful House Financial Services Committee. A handful of Republican lawmakers are running to lead their party on the committee.Crypto political action committees, including the Fairshake super PAC and its affiliated entities, Defend American Jobs and Protect Progress, have supported dozens of candidates across the House and Senate.We'll also be keeping an eye on the prediction markets, especially crypto-based betting site Polymarket. For the last few months, these markets have mostly favored Trump winning, although Polymarket has given him higher odds than U.S.-regulated exchange Kalshi and other platforms.

Right now, Trump is ahead by 23.4 points at 61.7% on Polymarket. An aggregate of eight prediction markets (plus Nate Silver's forecast) built by trader Flip Pidot of American Civics Exchange gives Trump a more modest the lead with 16 points at 58.1%Edited by Marc Hochstein and Benjamin Schiller.

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  • 07.09.23 16:24 CherryTeam

    Cherry Team atlyginimų skaičiavimo programa yra labai naudingas įrankis įmonėms, kai reikia efektyviai valdyti ir skaičiuoti darbuotojų atlyginimus. Ši programinė įranga, turinti išsamias funkcijas ir patogią naudotojo sąsają, suteikia daug privalumų, kurie padeda supaprastinti darbo užmokesčio skaičiavimo procesus ir pagerinti finansų valdymą. Štai keletas pagrindinių priežasčių, kodėl Cherry Team atlyginimų skaičiavimo programa yra naudinga įmonėms: Automatizuoti ir tikslūs skaičiavimai: Atlyginimų skaičiavimai rankiniu būdu gali būti klaidingi ir reikalauti daug laiko. Programinė įranga Cherry Team automatizuoja visą atlyginimų skaičiavimo procesą, todėl nebereikia atlikti skaičiavimų rankiniu būdu ir sumažėja klaidų rizika. Tiksliai apskaičiuodama atlyginimus, įskaitant tokius veiksnius, kaip pagrindinis atlyginimas, viršvalandžiai, premijos, išskaitos ir mokesčiai, programa užtikrina tikslius ir be klaidų darbo užmokesčio skaičiavimo rezultatus. Sutaupoma laiko ir išlaidų: Darbo užmokesčio valdymas gali būti daug darbo jėgos reikalaujanti užduotis, reikalaujanti daug laiko ir išteklių. Programa Cherry Team supaprastina ir pagreitina darbo užmokesčio skaičiavimo procesą, nes automatizuoja skaičiavimus, generuoja darbo užmokesčio žiniaraščius ir tvarko išskaičiuojamus mokesčius. Šis automatizavimas padeda įmonėms sutaupyti daug laiko ir pastangų, todėl žmogiškųjų išteklių ir finansų komandos gali sutelkti dėmesį į strategiškai svarbesnę veiklą. Be to, racionalizuodamos darbo užmokesčio operacijas, įmonės gali sumažinti administracines išlaidas, susijusias su rankiniu darbo užmokesčio tvarkymu. Mokesčių ir darbo teisės aktų laikymasis: Įmonėms labai svarbu laikytis mokesčių ir darbo teisės aktų, kad išvengtų baudų ir teisinių problemų. Programinė įranga Cherry Team seka besikeičiančius mokesčių įstatymus ir darbo reglamentus, užtikrindama tikslius skaičiavimus ir teisinių reikalavimų laikymąsi. Programa gali dirbti su sudėtingais mokesčių scenarijais, pavyzdžiui, keliomis mokesčių grupėmis ir įvairių rūšių atskaitymais, todėl užtikrina atitiktį reikalavimams ir kartu sumažina klaidų riziką. Ataskaitų rengimas ir analizė: Programa Cherry Team siūlo patikimas ataskaitų teikimo ir analizės galimybes, suteikiančias įmonėms vertingų įžvalgų apie darbo užmokesčio duomenis. Ji gali generuoti ataskaitas apie įvairius aspektus, pavyzdžiui, darbo užmokesčio paskirstymą, išskaičiuojamus mokesčius ir darbo sąnaudas. Šios ataskaitos leidžia įmonėms analizuoti darbo užmokesčio tendencijas, nustatyti tobulintinas sritis ir priimti pagrįstus finansinius sprendimus. Pasinaudodamos duomenimis pagrįstomis įžvalgomis, įmonės gali optimizuoti savo darbo užmokesčio strategijas ir veiksmingai kontroliuoti išlaidas. Integracija su kitomis sistemomis: Cherry Team programinė įranga dažnai sklandžiai integruojama su kitomis personalo ir apskaitos sistemomis. Tokia integracija leidžia automatiškai perkelti atitinkamus duomenis, pavyzdžiui, informaciją apie darbuotojus ir finansinius įrašus, todėl nebereikia dubliuoti duomenų. Supaprastintas duomenų srautas tarp sistemų padidina bendrą efektyvumą ir sumažina duomenų klaidų ar neatitikimų riziką. Cherry Team atlyginimų apskaičiavimo programa įmonėms teikia didelę naudą - automatiniai ir tikslūs skaičiavimai, laiko ir sąnaudų taupymas, atitiktis mokesčių ir darbo teisės aktų reikalavimams, ataskaitų teikimo ir analizės galimybės bei integracija su kitomis sistemomis. Naudodamos šią programinę įrangą įmonės gali supaprastinti darbo užmokesčio skaičiavimo procesus, užtikrinti tikslumą ir atitiktį reikalavimams, padidinti darbuotojų pasitenkinimą ir gauti vertingų įžvalgų apie savo finansinius duomenis. Programa Cherry Team pasirodo esanti nepakeičiamas įrankis įmonėms, siekiančioms efektyviai ir veiksmingai valdyti darbo užmokestį. https://cherryteam.lt/lt/

  • 08.10.23 01:30 davec8080

    The "Shibarium for this confirmed rug pull is a BEP-20 project not related at all to Shibarium, SHIB, BONE or LEASH. The Plot Thickens. Someone posted the actual transactions!!!! https://bscscan.com/tx/0xa846ea0367c89c3f0bbfcc221cceea4c90d8f56ead2eb479d4cee41c75e02c97 It seems the article is true!!!! And it's also FUD. Let me explain. Check this link: https://bscscan.com/token/0x5a752c9fe3520522ea88f37a41c3ddd97c022c2f So there really is a "Shibarium" token. And somebody did a rug pull with it. CONFIRMED. But the "Shibarium" token for this confirmed rug pull is a BEP-20 project not related at all to Shibarium, SHIB, BONE or LEASH.

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  • 06.09.24 01:44 Celinagarcia

    HOW TO RECOVER MONEY LOST IN BITCOIN/USDT TRADING OR TO CRYPTO INVESTMENT !! Hi all, friends and families. I am writing From Alberton Canada. Last year I tried to invest in cryptocurrency trading in 2023, but lost a significant amount of money to scammers. I was cheated of my money, but thank God, I was referred to Hack Recovery Wizard they are among the best bitcoin recovery specialists on the planet. they helped me get every penny I lost to the scammers back to me with their forensic techniques. and I would like to take this opportunity to advise everyone to avoid making cryptocurrency investments online. If you ​​​​​​have already lost money on forex, cryptocurrency or Ponzi schemes, please contact [email protected] or WhatsApp: +1 (757) 237–1724 at once they can help you get back the crypto you lost to scammers. BEST WISHES. Celina Garcia.

  • 16.09.24 00:10 marcusaustin

    Bitcoin Recovery Services: Restoring Lost Cryptocurrency If you've lost access to your cryptocurrency and unable to make a withdrawal, I highly recommend iBolt Cyber Hacker Bitcoin Recovery Services. Their team is skilled, professional, and efficient in recovering lost Bitcoin. They provide clear communication, maintain high security standards, and work quickly to resolve issues. Facing the stress of lost cryptocurrency, iBolt Cyber Hacker is a trusted service that will help you regain access to your funds securely and reliably. Highly recommended! Email: S u p p o r t @ ibolt cyber hack . com Cont/Whtp + 3. .9 .3. .5..0. .9. 2. 9. .0 .3. 1 .8. Website: h t t p s : / / ibolt cyber hack . com /

  • 16.09.24 00:11 marcusaustin

    Bitcoin Recovery Services: Restoring Lost Cryptocurrency If you've lost access to your cryptocurrency and unable to make a withdrawal, I highly recommend iBolt Cyber Hacker Bitcoin Recovery Services. Their team is skilled, professional, and efficient in recovering lost Bitcoin. They provide clear communication, maintain high security standards, and work quickly to resolve issues. Facing the stress of lost cryptocurrency, iBolt Cyber Hacker is a trusted service that will help you regain access to your funds securely and reliably. Highly recommended! Email: S u p p o r t @ ibolt cyber hack . com Cont/Whtp + 3. .9 .3. .5..0. .9. 2. 9. .0 .3. 1 .8. Website: h t t p s : / / ibolt cyber hack . com /

  • 23.09.24 18:56 matthewshimself

    At first, I was admittedly skeptical about Worldcoin (ref: https://worldcoin.org/blog/worldcoin/this-is-worldcoin-video-explainer-series), particularly around the use of biometric data and the WLD token as a reward mechanism for it. However, after following the project closer, I’ve come to appreciate the broader vision and see the value in the underlying tech behind it. The concept of Proof of Personhood (ref: https://worldcoin.org/blog/worldcoin/proof-of-personhood-what-it-is-why-its-needed) has definitely caught my attention, and does seem like a crucial step towards tackling growing issues like bots, deepfakes, and identity fraud. Sam Altman’s vision is nothing short of ambitious, but I do think he & Alex Blania have the chops to realize it as mainstay in the global economy.

  • 01.10.24 14:54 Sinewclaudia

    I lost about $876k few months ago trading on a fake binary option investment websites. I didn't knew they were fake until I tried to withdraw. Immediately, I realized these guys were fake. I contacted Sinew Claudia world recovery, my friend who has such experience before and was able to recover them, recommended me to contact them. I'm a living testimony of a successful recovery now. You can contact the legitimate recovery company below for help and assistance. [email protected] [email protected] WhatsApp: 6262645164

  • 02.10.24 22:27 Emily Hunter

    Can those who have fallen victim to fraud get their money back? Yes, you might be able to get back what was taken from you if you fell prey to a fraud from an unregulated investing platform or any other scam, but only if you report it to the relevant authorities. With the right plan and supporting documentation, you can get back what you've lost. Most likely, the individuals in control of these unregulated platforms would attempt to convince you that what happened to your money was a sad accident when, in fact, it was a highly skilled heist. You should be aware that there are resources out there to help you if you or someone you know has experienced one of these circumstances. Do a search using (deftrecoup (.) c o m). Do not let the perpetrators of this hoaxes get away with ruining you mentally and financially.

  • 18.10.24 09:34 freidatollerud

    The growth of WIN44 in Brazil is very interesting! If you're looking for more options for online betting and casino games, I recommend checking out Casinos in Brazil. It's a reliable platform that offers a wide variety of games and provides a safe and enjoyable experience for users. It's worth checking out! https://win44.vip

  • 31.10.24 00:13 ytre89

    Can those who have fallen victim to fraud get their money back? Yes, you might be able to get back what was taken from you if you fell prey to a fraud from an unregulated investing platform or any other scam, but only if you report it to the relevant authorities. With the right plan and supporting documentation, you can get back what you've lost. Most likely, the individuals in control of these unregulated platforms would attempt to convince you that what happened to your money was a sad accident when, in fact, it was a highly skilled heist. You should be aware that there are resources out there to help you if you or someone you know has experienced one of these circumstances. Do a search using (deftrecoup (.) c o m). Do not let the perpetrators of this hoaxes get away with ruining you mentally and financially.

  • 02.11.24 14:44 diannamendoza732

    In the world of Bitcoin recovery, Pro Wizard Gilbert truly represents the gold standard. My experience with Gilbert revealed just how exceptional his methods are and why he stands out as the premier authority in this critical field. When I first encountered the complexities of Bitcoin recovery, I was daunted by the technical challenges and potential risks. Gilbert’s approach immediately distinguished itself through its precision and effectiveness. His methods are meticulously designed, combining cutting-edge techniques with an in-depth understanding of the Bitcoin ecosystem. He tackled the recovery process with a level of expertise and thoroughness that was both impressive and reassuring. What sets Gilbert’s methods apart is not just their technical sophistication but also their strategic depth. He conducts a comprehensive analysis of each case, tailoring his approach to address the unique aspects of the situation. This personalized strategy ensures that every recovery effort is optimized for success. Gilbert’s transparent communication throughout the process was invaluable, providing clarity and confidence during each stage of the recovery. The results I achieved with Pro Wizard Gilbert’s methods were remarkable. His gold standard approach not only recovered my Bitcoin but did so with an efficiency and reliability that exceeded my expectations. His deep knowledge, innovative techniques, and unwavering commitment make him the definitive expert in Bitcoin recovery. For anyone seeking a benchmark in Bitcoin recovery solutions, Pro Wizard Gilbert’s methods are the epitome of excellence. His ability to blend technical prowess with strategic insight truly sets him apart in the industry. Call: for help. You may get in touch with them at ; Email: (prowizardgilbertrecovery(@)engineer.com) Telegram ; https://t.me/Pro_Wizard_Gilbert_Recovery Homepage ; https://prowizardgilbertrecovery.info

  • 12.11.24 00:50 TERESA

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