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JP Morgan predicts modest Solana ETF demand – Here’s why
JP Morgan analysts expect low inflows from Solana ETFs in their first year due to buyer exhaustion.
The short-term price outlook for SOL suggested the price could break out on either side of the range.
Solana [SOL] is gaining institutional attention through ETFs, following the path of Ethereum [ETH] and Bitcoin [BTC].
However, analysts expect more modest inflows, noting that investor enthusiasm appears muted. Price action remains range-bound, and JP Morgan attributes the subdued outlook to signs of investor fatigue.
Analysts for JP Morgan estimated that the next Solana ETFs could see about $1.5 billion in inflows in the first year of their launch. This would be a positive start, but nowhere near the launches of Ethereum ETFs.
Solana would gain exposure and legitimacy with more introductions to the ETF market. However, it is not expected to have a significant effect, in contrast to BTC and ETH.
Source: The Wolf of All Streets/X
These analysts from JP Morgan pointed out that investor fatigue and the strong presence of Ethereum in the DeFi market might restrain Solana’s ETF demand.
Nonetheless, the expected inflows describe the increasing institutional attention to layer-1 blockchain assets, which supports the role of Solana in the changing world of digital assets.
October earned the nickname “Cointober,” a term popularized by Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas, as the month became packed with key crypto ETF decisions.
Solana, along with Litecoin [LTC] and Ripple [XRP], were among the digital assets under review—each competing for a spot in the institutional investment landscape.
The SEC’s decision on Solana’s spot ETF, expected on the 10th of October, could represent more than just regulatory progress. It may signal Solana’s growing maturity and its readiness to be embraced by traditional finance.
Source: Eric Balchunas/X
However, the threat of a U.S. government shutdown raised concerns about potential delays in the SEC’s review process.
Still, institutional interest remains strong. Major financial players were already positioning for approval, suggesting that once regulatory timelines resume, Solana adoption and capital inflows could accelerate rapidly.
In the meantime, the price action of SOL was hovering around the middle of a leg down but in recovery to the upside. SOL could break on either side of the range.
Source: TradingView
Altogether, the price action of Solana could enter a cool-off phase as a pause to the recent trend. On Solana ETFs, seeing lower inflows resulted from fatigue and the government shutdown.
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