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'Imminent' crash for stocks? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week
Bitcoin gets a boost from a declining U.S. dollar, but BTC price action is anything but straight bullish, say analysts.
Bitcoin (BTC) starts its first full week of December at three-week highs as bulls and bears battle on.
After a weekly close just above $17,000, BTC/USD seems determined to make the most of relief on stocks and a weakening U.S. dollar.
As the United States gears up to release November inflation data, the dollar looks to be a key item to watch as BTC price action teases a recovery from the pits of the FTX meltdown.
All may not be as straightforward as it seems — miners are facing serious hardship, data shows, and opinions on stocks’ own ability to continue higher are far from unanimous.
As the end of the year approaches, will Bitcoin see a “Santa rally” or face a new year nursing fresh losses?
Cointelegraph presents five areas worth watching in the coming days when it comes to BTC/USD performance.
Bitcoin traders diverge over “Santa rally”
Light relief for Bitcoin bulls this week comes in the form of a solid weekly close followed by an uptick to multi-week highs.
BTC/USD hit $17,418 on Bitstamp in the hours after the close, taking the pair to its highest levels since Nov. 11, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows.
BTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewFor traders, there is reason to believe that short-term strength may hold, allowing Bitcoin to head closer to $20,000.
“No change to my expectations. Still looking for 19k+,” Credible Crypto confirmed to Twitter followers on Dec. 4.
“$BTC has formed a nice tight consolidation here after a clean impulse on low time frame. May dip into 16k's first to take out these built up lows but still expecting continuation up after regardless.”
Fellow trader Dave the Wave meanwhile put faith in a Christmas rally coming next, while others, including popular commentator Moustache, said that the time was historically right for recovery.
Comparing the 2022 bear market to previous ones, he explained that BTC/USD should now be finding a bottom, 31 weeks after its last all-time high.
“The Bitcoin bottom should be very close,” he reiterated at the weekend.
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Moustache/ TwitterNot everyone, however, is so optimistic. For Crypto Kingpin, there is room for a move to $18,000 before Bitcoin starts “heading lower.”
While not mentioning exact downside targets, he described the weekly close as “conflicting.”
“im still of the belief for now that this move up on btc is part of a corrective abc w4 before making a new low sub $15k into Q1 2023 where we find a longer term bottom,” another popular trader, Bluntz, tweeted after the weekly close.
Similarly conservative on lower timeframes is trader Korinek_Trades, who despite calling for a “huge relief bounce” on Bitcoin acknowledged that downside could take it as low as $12,000.
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Korinek_Trades/ TwitterCrypto voices cautious on stocks amid “imminent" crash claim
The coming week in macro marks the precursor to the all-important U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) print for November, due Dec. 13.
In the meantime, U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) and jobless data later in the week will be dates to watch for traders, these traditionally sparking at least short-term volatility.
Eyeing U.S. equities, meanwhile, the tone among crypto traders and beyond appears tense, despite recent strength in the face of a declining dollar.
The S&P 500 (SPX) finished the week prior up 1.66% at 4,071 points.
“Unless we take out 4,300 on volume and stay above, this to me is a propped-up rally. Could take a few weeks to climb mind,” Crypto Tony warned over the weekend.
An additional tweet revealed doubts about Bitcoin avoiding knock-on effects despite already significantly underperforming stocks in the wake of FTX.
“This is a very plausible scenario,” Crypto Tony commented alongside a chart.
“If we do indeed see a continuation crash in the stock market due to high interest, defaults etc, I expect Bitcoin to follow. Until then we will simply range in my opinion while there are minimal buyers.”
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Crypto Tony/ TwitterThat sentiment echoed a forecast from popular commentator, Nunya Bizniz, who earlier suggested that the SPX may put in a “Santa rally” before reversing.
The starkest outlook on equities came from Michael A. Gayed, the renowned portfolio manager and author of investment strategy circular, “The Lead-Lag Report.”
In an extensive Twitter digest on Dec. 3, Gayed went beyond caution, telling readers that an “imminent stock market crash” was next.
“My point is that there are lags and that markets have a funny way of surprising the crowd out of nowhere,” part of one post read.
“It is not impossible to see a scenario where the butterfly creates the hurricane.”
He added that FTX had itself created unusual market responses even beyond crypto.
Miners already in “giant capitulation”
The FTX saga is beginning to show itself in the struggles of Bitcoin miners to an increasing extent.
The latest data shows that the 30-day change in the BTC supply held in miner wallets is at its most negative since the start of 2021.
The numbers, from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, come in the form of the Miner Net Position Change metric. As of Dec. 3, miners were overall down 17,721 BTC over 30 days.
Bitcoin miner net position change chart. Source: GlassnodeAdditional data confirmed miners’ overall BTC balance putting in a further steep decline at the start of December, dropping from 1,828,630 BTC on Nov. 30 to 1,818,303 BTC on Dec. 3.
The last time that miners’ balances were that low was in September 2021.
Bitcoin miner BTC balance chart. Source: GlassnodeAs BTC/USD fell 16% over the course of November, miners suddenly encountered already slim margins squeezed beyond the point of no return.
This means “capitulation” as they unplug, commentators argue, and a period of flux is now entering.
“November was a horrible time for BTC miners,” popular analyst Satoshi Stacker summarized.
“Bitcoin miners had gone bankrupt in previous cycles before things got better. We're in the middle of a giant Bitcoin mining capitulation now.”
An accompanying list of grim financial results from public miners underscored the theory.
As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin’s Hash Ribbons metric is already flagging a capitulation phase in the making, its two moving average crossing over just months after miners exited their last capitulation.
Difficulty set for biggest drop in 17 months
With Bitcoin miners under stress, network fundamentals are beginning to reflect changes in activity.
At its next automated readjustment on Dec. 6, mining difficulty will drop by an estimated 7.8%, according to data from BTC.com.
Bitcoin network fundamentals overview (screenshot). Source: BTC.comThe weeks following the FTX meltdown have produced curious changes in network participation, and analysts have suggested various reasons why fundamentals have diverged from price action.
As Cointelegraph reported, one theory even argued that Russia was cornering the market by adding significant hashing power despite miners en masse seeing significantly reduced profitability.
While hash rate was still increasing after FTX and the subsequent BTC price decline, toward the end of November, things began to change. Hash rate fell from near all-time highs, and difficulty with it.
The forthcoming decrease in difficulty will even constitute Bitcoin’s largest since July 2021, when a single readjustment saw it drop by over 27%.
Meanwhile, for Timothy Peterson, investment manager at Cane Island Alternative Advisors, there is even reason to believe that difficulty may preclude a macro BTC price bottom.
In a tweet on Nov. 29, he argued that when the 200-day moving average of BTC/USD and its “difficulty value” — a difficulty-derived BTC price value — converge, it has historically meant a bottoming formation.
“A bitcoin buy signal is within sight. Caveat: based on historical relationships which may no longer hold,” he commented.
“Still, I think difficulty is a good indicator of a minimum level of demand for bitcoin. The convergence is at 12k, which means price must be +/- 12k for 200 days.”
Such a formation, accompanying charts showed, may not enter until the middle of 2023.
BTC/USD 200-day MA vs. difficulty price charts. Source: Timothy Peterson/ TwitterSentiment avoids “extreme fear”
As Bitcoin price action staves off further macro lows, sentiment is also shunning volatility.
Related: How much is Bitcoin worth today?
Ever-popular sentiment gauge, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, remains tied to an area just above its “extreme fear” zone.
Crypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.meHaving dropped in line with price following FTX, a modest recovery has been underway, despite the overall impression that new lows are due.
The curious divergence to many commentators’ prognoses is heightened by the state of affairs “on the ground” for investors themselves.
As Cointelegraph reported, realized and unrealized losses for the BTC supply are hitting levels never seen before, and as a whole, the supply is in net loss, as per the market value to realized value (MVRV) metric.
MVRV compares Bitcoin’s market cap to its realized cap — the aggregate price at which the supply last moved. When the latter crosses under the former, it has signaled price bottoming structures.
Describing those structures as an “accumulation zone,” meanwhile, popular commentator CryptoNoob said that current conditions could even constitute a “lifetime investment opportunity” for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin market cap vs. realized cap annotated chart. Source: CryptoNoob/ TwitterThe views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.
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14.10.25 08:46
robertalfred175
CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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14.10.25 08:46
robertalfred175
CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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14.10.25 08:46
robertalfred175
CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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15.10.25 18:07
crypto
Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.
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15.10.25 21:52
harristhomas7376
"In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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15.10.25 21:52
harristhomas7376
"In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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17.10.25 20:17
tyleradams
As time passes, there are an increasing number of frauds involving Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Although there are many individuals who advertise recovering money online, people should use caution in dealing, especially when money is involved. You can trust NVIDIA TECH HACKERS [[email protected]], I promise. They are the top internet recovery company, and as their names indicate, your money is reclaimed as soon as feasible. My bitcoin was successfully retrieved in large part thanks to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS. Ensure that you get top-notch service; NVIDIA TECH HACKERS provides evidence of its work; and payment is only made when the service has been completed to your satisfaction. Reach them via email: [email protected] on google mail
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17.10.25 20:20
lindseyvonn
Have you gotten yourself involved in a cryptocurrency scam or any scam at all? If yes, know that you are not alone, there are a lot of people in this same situation. I'm a Health Worker and was a victim of a cryptocurrency scam that cost me a lot of money. This happened a few weeks ago, there’s only one solution which is to talk to the right people, if you don’t do this you will end up being really depressed. I was really devastated until went on LinkedIn one evening after my work hours and i saw lots of reviews popped up on my feed about [email protected], I sent an email to the team who came highly recommended - [email protected] I started seeing some hope for myself from the moment I sent them an email. The good part is they made the entire process stress free for me, i literally sat and waited for them to finish and I received what I lost in my wallet
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17.10.25 20:22
richardcharles
I would recommend NVIDIA TECH HACKERS to anyone that needs this service. I decided to get into crypto investment and I ended up getting my crypto lost to an investor late last year. The guy who was supposed to be managing my account turned out to be a scammer all along. I invested 56,000 USD and at first, my reading and profit margins were looking good. I started getting worried when I couldn’t make withdrawals and realized that I’ve been scammed. I came across some of the testimonials that people said about NVIDIA TECH HACKERS and how helpful he has been in recovering their funds. I immediately contacted him in his mail at [email protected] so I can get his assistance. One week into the recovery process the funds were traced and recovered back from the scammer. I can't appreciate him enough for his professionalism.
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17.10.25 20:23
stevekalfman
If you need a hacker for scam crypto recovery or mobile spy access remotely kindly reach out to [email protected] for quick response, I hired this hacker and he did a nice job. before NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, I met with different hacker's online which turns out to be scam, this NVIDIA TECH HACKERS case was different and he is the trusted hacker I can vote and refer.
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17.10.25 21:42
marcushenderson624
Bitcoin Recovery Testimonial After falling victim to a cryptocurrency scam group, I lost $354,000 worth of USDT. I thought all hope was lost from the experience of losing my hard-earned money to scammers. I was devastated and believed there was no way to recover my funds. Fortunately, I started searching for help to recover my stolen funds and I came across a lot of testimonials online about Capital Crypto Recovery, an agent who helps in recovery of lost bitcoin funds, I contacted Capital Crypto Recover Service, and with their expertise, they successfully traced and recovered my stolen assets. Their team was professional, kept me updated throughout the process, and demonstrated a deep understanding of blockchain transactions and recovery protocols. They are trusted and very reliable with a 100% successful rate record Recovery bitcoin, I’m grateful for their help and highly recommend their services to anyone seeking assistance with lost crypto. Contact: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Email: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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17.10.25 21:42
marcushenderson624
Bitcoin Recovery Testimonial After falling victim to a cryptocurrency scam group, I lost $354,000 worth of USDT. I thought all hope was lost from the experience of losing my hard-earned money to scammers. I was devastated and believed there was no way to recover my funds. Fortunately, I started searching for help to recover my stolen funds and I came across a lot of testimonials online about Capital Crypto Recovery, an agent who helps in recovery of lost bitcoin funds, I contacted Capital Crypto Recover Service, and with their expertise, they successfully traced and recovered my stolen assets. Their team was professional, kept me updated throughout the process, and demonstrated a deep understanding of blockchain transactions and recovery protocols. They are trusted and very reliable with a 100% successful rate record Recovery bitcoin, I’m grateful for their help and highly recommend their services to anyone seeking assistance with lost crypto. Contact: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Email: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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17.10.25 21:42
marcushenderson624
Bitcoin Recovery Testimonial After falling victim to a cryptocurrency scam group, I lost $354,000 worth of USDT. I thought all hope was lost from the experience of losing my hard-earned money to scammers. I was devastated and believed there was no way to recover my funds. Fortunately, I started searching for help to recover my stolen funds and I came across a lot of testimonials online about Capital Crypto Recovery, an agent who helps in recovery of lost bitcoin funds, I contacted Capital Crypto Recover Service, and with their expertise, they successfully traced and recovered my stolen assets. Their team was professional, kept me updated throughout the process, and demonstrated a deep understanding of blockchain transactions and recovery protocols. They are trusted and very reliable with a 100% successful rate record Recovery bitcoin, I’m grateful for their help and highly recommend their services to anyone seeking assistance with lost crypto. Contact: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Email: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1
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