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BTC traders brace for $30K loss — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

bd88f077-5f05-406e-8b80-7747b438e1af.jpg

BTC price performance is getting market participants worried in the short term, but the signs of wider Bitcoin accumulation are there.

Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week above $30,000 but heading nowhere as the multi-month trading range refuses to shift.

BTC price action is giving traders little more than a frustrating sense of deja vu — and they are now wondering what it could take to change the trend.

It may in fact be more accurate to say that on low timeframes, a trend is exactly what Bitcoin lacks. The largest cryptocurrency has spent weeks bounding between upside and downside liquidity pockets without deciding whether bulls or bears will ultimately win.

This struggle continues to play out with predictable regularity, and nothing — not macroeconomic data prints, institutional involvement or else — has been able to switch things up.

With that in mind, it may not be all that problematic that the coming week offers little in terms of data-driven risk asset catalysts from the United States or Federal Reserve.

Within Bitcoin, on-chain data is pointing to a reaccumulation phase among the investor base, possibly reflective of a “calm before the storm” mentality prior to a more significant market move.

Crypto market sentiment is “neutral,” according to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which is now nonetheless at its lowest point for July so far.

Cointelegraph takes a look at these factors and more to determine potential BTC price triggers for the coming days.

Bitcoin weekly close keeps volatility away

Bitcoin’s weekly candle close refreshingly opted to dispense with volatility, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows.

8b01d437-d70c-4cc7-91c2-2660ec8e5817.pngBTC/USD 1-week chart. Source: TradingView

While normally a time of erratic short-term price moves, the close saw little disruption, with even $30,000 support remaining unchallenged.

BTC/USD thus continues within a narrow “mini range” in place since last week, when a fakeout to upside liquidity resulted in new yearly highs followed by a dramatic comedown.

“I think everyone can see this range with their eyes closed at this point,” popular trader Daan Crypto Trades summarized.

“For me it's pretty easy. Bulls have to retake $30.5K for me to consider closing the inefficiency from the dump. Until then, my base case is for price to seek the liquidity at $29.5K.”
3f606058-8e0e-4949-b25f-cac531b30012.pngBTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/Twitter

Others have similarly come round to the idea that new local lows may come next for Bitcoin, given bulls’ inability to break the range for an extended period.

For fellow trader Credible Crypto, a return to $27,400 — an area not seen in almost a month — is not off the table.

$BTC

Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you the 6 month inversion FVG EQ.

Quote tweet confluence. https://t.co/GY0AgGbAnn pic.twitter.com/XqrpimIJRa

— Crypto Chase (@Crypto_Chase) July 17, 2023

Trader Crypto Tony offered a potential downside target area around $28,300, adding that this “remains his bias.”

$BTC / $USD - Update

This remains my main bias this week unless the bulls can reverse this quickly. The downside escalates once we lose support at $29,800

Do not rush into a position and remain patient pic.twitter.com/gRk9MQlkdI

— Crypto Tony (@CryptoTony__) July 17, 2023

In terms of strength at local price points, trader Jelle noted an ongoing battle on Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI), which recently printed a bearish divergence with price trajectory.

“Bitcoin tried to take out the bearish divergence last week but got smacked down quickly,” he commented as part of his latest analysis.

“Both bulls and bears defend their ground fiercely. More ping pong, until breakout.”

Earnings season leads U.S. data releases

Those hoping for a macro-inspired risk asset shake-up may be left disappointed this week, with a lack of significant data due from the U.S.

The highlight comes in the form of tech firm earnings and jobless claims on July 20, but with a Fed decision on interest rate hikes still around two weeks away, volatility remains on the horizon.

“Earnings season is now in full swing and the July Fed meeting is in focus. It's going to be a busy couple of weeks,” financial commentary resource, The Kobeissi Letter, wrote in part of recent social media analysis.

Key Events This Week:

1. Retail Sales data - Tuesday

2. Building Permit data - Wednesday

3. Existing Home Sales data - Thursday

4. Jobless Claims data - Thursday

5. $TSLA $NFLX $GS and $MS earnings

6. ~10% of S&P 500 reports earnings

We're 10 days out from the Fed meeting.

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) July 16, 2023

According to current estimates from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, markets remain convinced that the Fed will resume rate hikes regardless of already positive data prints showing inflation retreating faster than expected.

As of July 17, the odds of a 0.25% hike stand at a practically unanimous 96.1%.

56d01736-bc96-4bf0-96c8-ab0cebb60e44.pngFed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME Group

An index to watch, meanwhile, is the U.S. dollar index (DXY), currently attempting to reclaim the 100 mark after dropping below it for the first time in more than a year.

As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin previously exhibited strong inverse correlation with DXY, although this has waned considerably in 2023.

cf5e9a57-e06d-4e25-90ba-94bf332f85f0.pngU.S. dollar index (DXY) 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

Whales return to the game

Turning to on-chain data, a reawakening of Bitcoin whales is getting on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant excited.

As noted by contributing analyst SignalQuant, unspent transaction outputs (UTXOs) reflecting large tranches of coins are increasing this year — in classic bull market style.

SignalQuant referenced the UTXO Value Bands metric, which shows whales gradually coming back to life in 2023 after a rapid retreat in the latter half of last year.

“From that view, as ‘the whale group’ increased with its price back in 2019, they are slowly increasing with its price in 2023 too,” he wrote in one of CryptoQuant’s Quicktake blog posts on July 16.

“If their indicators gradually increase, then we can be more confident that 1)its price at the end of 2022 is a long-term bottom, and 2) that its price will continue to rise.”
9be8bab9-67ae-48e5-adfb-a735167a2803.pngBitcoin whale UTXO data. Source: CryptoQuant

Previously, Cointelegraph reported on whale numbers rebounding, along with other larger investor cohort exposure, at current prices.

Supply dynamics repeat early bull market signals

It is not just whale behavior on the radar of analysts at present when it comes to hidden bullish BTC price signals.

The latest on-chain data shows that in fact, more of the BTC supply moved near $30,000 than at any other price point, reflecting a critical point of interest throughout the investor base.

In total, the zone around $30,200 has seen a total of 3.8% of the total supply move, according to on-chain analytics platform Look Into Bitcoin.

At the same time, older, long-dormant supply is coming back to life. This, Look Into Bitcoin creator Philip Swift argued last week, has been characteristic of the early innings of every Bitcoin bull market to date.

“Increased onchain spending volume showing where we are in the cycle right now. History doesn't repeat but it often rhymes,” he commented.

c4ac2e8c-6293-423b-acde-c436c2155da5.jpegBitcoin Value Days Destroyed Multiple chart. Source: Glassnode

"Greed" fades from crypto markets

Few things show the fickle nature of the average crypto investor than classic sentiment yardstick, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index.

Related: Bitcoin exchanges now hold the same BTC supply share as in late 2017

While slightly lagging, Fear & Greed captures the rapidly-changing mood among market participants across even established trading ranges.

This is the case around the crucial $30,000 boundary, with sentiment improving markedly above and deteriorating below.

Currently, the Index is in “neutral” territory, but now at its lowest for July so far at 54/100.

Extremes in either fear or greed tend to act as advance warning of market rebounds or retracements, respectively.

642dee95-41d2-49f2-bc80-666ece8f0c1a.pngCrypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.me

Magazine: Experts want to give AI human ‘souls’ so they don’t kill us all

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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    Hi. Please be wise, do not make the same mistake I had made in the past, I was a victim of bitcoin scam, I saw a glamorous review showering praises and marketing an investment firm, I reached out to them on what their contracts are, and I invested $28,000, which I was promised to get my first 15% profit in weeks, when it’s time to get my profits, I got to know the company was bogus, they kept asking me to invest more and I ran out of patience then requested to have my money back, they refused to answer nor refund my funds, not until a friend of mine introduced me to the NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, so I reached out and after tabling my complaints, they were swift to action and within 36 hours I got back my funds with the due profit. I couldn’t contain the joy in me. I urge you guys to reach out to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS on their email: [email protected]

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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