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Breaking $3.20 key for Ripple’s Q4 run – Will XRP whales follow?
XRP whales and STHs are taking profits, driving consistent outflows and reinforcing the $3.20 resistance, while smart money chases upside elsewhere.
Whale flow (30DMA) hitting $50 million/day signals mounting selling pressure. Meanwhile, persistent capitulation by STHs and whales suggests near-term downside risk is elevated.
Ripple [XRP] whales are running out of patience.
Technically, it’s the only large-cap in the red for October, down 1.09% from a $2.80 open. Another 7% drop and all of September’s 2.56% gains get flushed. Moreover, XRP’s been printing lower highs since July.
Put simply, the bulls are losing steam, and September’s $3.20 peak just reinforced the ongoing downtrend bias. Consequently, that level is now a key resistance.
XRP will need to break it to keep bullish Q4 hopes alive.
Source: TradingView (XRP/USDT)
However, short-term holder NUPL has dipped into the “capitulation” zone twice in under a month, signaling fading confidence among recent buyers (holding >155 days) who are still sitting on net gains of roughly 27%.
This reinforces AMBCrypto thesis: Patience among XRP HODLers is wearing thin, and Q4 bullish expectations are cracking, forcing STHs to take profits before a deeper dip eats into gains.
The question now: Are these holders seeing something the market hasn’t priced in, or just playing it safe? With XRP whales making moves, this could be STHs front-running a bigger slide toward a breakdown.
XRP whales are following STHs’ lead.
Notably, smart money is trimming positions as net gains are realized. With XRP’s NRPL (Net Realized Profit/Loss) in the green, STHs are taking profits, and whales cutting back adds fuel to fears of a deeper correction.
The chart shows XRP whale flow (30DMA) hitting $50 million/day for the first time since August. Back then, XRP dropped 8.16% for the month while other alts stayed green, showing bid support was fading.
Source: CryptoQuant
In short, XRP’s relative weakness vs. other large-caps isn’t random.
Big money is chasing upside, and it’s clearly skipping Ripple. With STHs and whales offloading, the $3.20 level is acting as strong resistance. Thus, October could mark XRP’s third straight lower high since July.
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