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'Biggest week of the year' — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

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Bitcoin price action, sideways since FTX, could see snap volatility thanks to the "most important" CPI print of the year.

Bitcoin (BTC) starts one of the most important macro weeks of the year in a precarious position below $17,000.

After its latest weekly close, BTC/USD showed little upward momentum prior to the Dec. 12 Wall Street open.

With volatility yet to appear, the largest cryptocurrency continues to trade in a narrow range, and analysts are increasingly impatient for new catalysts.

These, they agree, should come in the next few days — United States economic data is due, and its content and impact on economic policy will likely have a significant impact on crypto markets.

Elsewhere, the uneasy status quo continues — Bitcoin miners are struggling, sentiment lacks inspiration and traders are increasingly drawing comparisons to the pits of previous bear markets.

Where could BTC price action head in the coming week? Cointelegraph takes a look at five factors set to influence trajectory.

"Most important" CPI print forms key focus

The phrase on everyone’s lips this week is Consumer Price Index (CPI) — the key measure of consumer prices inflation in the U.S.

While coming every month, the latest CPI print, due Dec. 13 for the month of November, has additional importance for the market. With two weeks to go until the end of the year, the chances of a risk asset “Santa rally,” for instance, now hang in the balance.

It is not just the CPI report itself; the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will decide on rate hikes this week, and Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a speech that market commentators will scrutinize for signs of policy change.

“CPI Report Tuesday, FED rate hikes and JPow speaks on Wednesday. Stay tuned for volatility,” on-chain analytics resource Material Indicators summarized at the weekend.

Popular trader MisterSpread added that further decisions outside the U.S. made for “one of the most (if not the most) important” weeks of the year.

“Tuesday’s CPI will yet again be ‘the most important CPI release ever’, this time because the market has set it up to be with its epic 2-month short squeeze rally,” trading firm QCP Capital meanwhile wrote in a market update.

QCP continued:

“A higher-than-expected CPI print and more hawkish Fed have the potential to invalidate this rally, like we saw in the April and August reversals. On the other hand, another disinflationary print could see many chase a continuation of the rally into year-end.”

Regardless of whether up or down, CPI tends to induce market volatility surrounding its release, with calm only returning after the rates decision Powell’s accompanying speech.

According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, current consensus calls for a smaller 50-basis-point hike in interest rates this month, signaling a comedown for the Fed in what could yet turn out to be a significant turning point in policy.

At the time of writing, the probability of 50 basis points stood at around 75%.

49ffb400-493e-48c1-979e-01287b648806.pngFed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME Group

Also describing this week as the “biggest week of the year,” financial commentary resource The Kobeissi Letter nonetheless had a warning for investors.

“Imagine the madness if the Fed doesn't pivot or November CPI is above October's 7.7% print,” part of a tweet on Dec. 8 read.

“This is why you don't want a Fed controlled market.”

BTC spot price waits for action

With everyone focused on the Fed, traders understand that policy and macro numbers will de facto dictate what happens to BTC/USD in the coming days.

Aside from force majeure, there may be little to do but sit and wait for data to roll in.

In the meantime, BTC/USD continues to range in all-too-familiar territory around the $17,000 mark, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows.

d9b18550-c118-45fa-b1a9-3e5a022f86a4.pngBTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Unchanged for days, the pair seems directionless as the dust from the FTX implosion continues to settle.

“BTC has been bouncing between Realized Price (green) & Balanced Price (yellow) since June,” analytics resource On-Chain College summarized on the mid-term trend.

“I'm interested in a sustained movement outside of this range, which has yet to occur.”
af7d6eb7-7c03-47a1-8147-25835c6a4524.pngBTC/USD "Bear market levels" chart. Source: On-Chain College/ Twitter

Some had more categorical takes on BTC price performance. Matthew Dixon, founder and CEO of crypto ratings platform Evai, called for Bitcoin to “complete the overall correction higher” to cancel out most of the losses from FTX.

d1533248-bf1a-4523-b6f9-a037ab4c1830.jpegBTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Matthew Dixon/ Twitter

At the same time, popular commentator Profit Blue maintained that $10,000 would reenter the radar before the start of 2023.

“Bitcoin is headed to $10k and it will likely bottom out there soon. Pay attention to the details,” commentary on an accompanying chat read.

df55f0c5-a104-47bb-82ab-3165d5bfe538.pngBTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Profit Blue/ Twitter

U.S. dollar teases renewed strength

Keenly anticipating a change of trend for the U.S. dollar, meanwhile, trader Bluntz warned that Bitcoin may yet deliver a bearish end to the year.

The U.S. dollar index (DXY), under pressure for weeks, has begun to seal higher lows on daily timeframes, potentially setting up dollar strength for a rebound.

This, thanks to inverse correlation, would spell trouble for crypto markets across the board.

“quite an ugly 4h about to close here, looking like a lower high on 4h timeframe and lots of catalysts upcoming this week,” Bluntz wrote in a Twitter update on the day.

“dxy also putting in a higher low on daily and looking strong. my gut is telling me we're en route to a new low sub 15k for btc which i will happily buy.”

A previous post from Dec. 5 called for the $15,000 zone to be reached in Q1 next year.

Fellow trader Doctor Profit meanwhile noted that DXY had returned to a key “breakout” zone from June, and that short-term cues should thus be decisive for trajectory.

“DXY successfully retested its June breakout for the first time,” he stated last week.

“The mother of all decisions is coming, expect huge volatility next week. The incoming DXY move will decide the fate of the crypto and stock market.”

DXY has yet to reclaim its 200-day moving average (MA), however, the loss of which was recently described as “lights out” for the dollar.

98ebea47-ec0e-43bd-ae6b-91af7d0afa8e.pngU.S. dollar index (DXY) 1-day candle chart with 200 MA. Source: TradingView

Supply shock ratio nears 10-year high

Behind the scenes, Bitcoin is delivering subtle hints that all may not be so bad when it comes to overall network strength.

According to the Illiquid Supply Shock Ratio (ISSR) metric, there is a higher chance of a major supply-induced rush for BTC than at any point in almost a decade.

ISSR, created by statistician Willy Woo and crypto researcher William Clemente, “attempts to model the probability of a Supply Shock forming,” on-chain analytics firm Glassnode explains.

Simply put, it assesses how much of the supply is available versus current demand, and given the ongoing trend of ferreting BTC away into cold storage, the signal is clear.

As of Dec. 10, ISSR measured 3.537, its highest since August 2014.

fd8080c1-6f49-427b-a3be-655823d41496.pngBitcoin Illiquid Supply Shock Ratio (ISSR) chart. Source: Glassnode

Hayes says Bitcoin miner selling "is over"

A final silver lining for the future comes courtesy of Bitcoin mining research from former BitMEX CEO, Arthur Hayes.

Related: Bitcoin’s boring price action allows XMR, TON, TWT and AXS to gather strength

In his latest blog post on Dec. 9, Hayes, well known as an industry commentator, took exception to the pervading narrative surrounding miners’ financial buoyancy and its impact on markets.

As Cointelegraph reported, increasing sales of BTC by miners struggling to stay afloat have led to concerns that a major capitulation event could flood the market with liquidity.

This is not the case, Hayes says, going further to show that “even if miners sold all the Bitcoin they produced each day, it would barely impact the markets at all.”

“Therefore, we can ignore this ongoing selling pressure, as it is easily absorbed by the markets,” he determined.

Hayes continued that the bulk of BTC sales by both miners and lenders, known as centralized lending firms (CELs), had likely already occurred.

“I believe that the forced selling of Bitcoin by CELs and miners is over. If you had to sell, you would have already done so,” he wrote.

“There is no reason why you would hold on if you had an urgent need for fiat to remain a going concern. Given that almost every major CEL has either ceased withdrawals (pointing to insolvency at best) or gone bankrupt, there are no more miner loans or collateral to be liquidated.”

Glassnode data meanwhile shows that the 30-day change in supply held by miners, while still decreasing, is cooling from recent highs, supporting the theory that sales are slowing.

“Fears of distressed bitcoin miners creating selling pressure are blown up,” Bitcoin mining analyst Jaran Mellerud added, responding to Hayes’ piece.

dc9111ae-0e36-4e4d-ac63-f92b97990236.pngBitcoin miner net position change chart. Source: Glassnode

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 17.10.25 20:17 tyleradams

    As time passes, there are an increasing number of frauds involving Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Although there are many individuals who advertise recovering money online, people should use caution in dealing, especially when money is involved. You can trust NVIDIA TECH HACKERS [[email protected]], I promise. They are the top internet recovery company, and as their names indicate, your money is reclaimed as soon as feasible. My bitcoin was successfully retrieved in large part thanks to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS. Ensure that you get top-notch service; NVIDIA TECH HACKERS provides evidence of its work; and payment is only made when the service has been completed to your satisfaction. Reach them via email: [email protected] on google mail

  • 17.10.25 20:20 lindseyvonn

    Have you gotten yourself involved in a cryptocurrency scam or any scam at all? If yes, know that you are not alone, there are a lot of people in this same situation. I'm a Health Worker and was a victim of a cryptocurrency scam that cost me a lot of money. This happened a few weeks ago, there’s only one solution which is to talk to the right people, if you don’t do this you will end up being really depressed. I was really devastated until went on LinkedIn one evening after my work hours and i saw lots of reviews popped up on my feed about [email protected], I sent an email to the team who came highly recommended - [email protected] I started seeing some hope for myself from the moment I sent them an email. The good part is they made the entire process stress free for me, i literally sat and waited for them to finish and I received what I lost in my wallet

  • 17.10.25 20:22 richardcharles

    I would recommend NVIDIA TECH HACKERS to anyone that needs this service. I decided to get into crypto investment and I ended up getting my crypto lost to an investor late last year. The guy who was supposed to be managing my account turned out to be a scammer all along. I invested 56,000 USD and at first, my reading and profit margins were looking good. I started getting worried when I couldn’t make withdrawals and realized that I’ve been scammed. I came across some of the testimonials that people said about NVIDIA TECH HACKERS and how helpful he has been in recovering their funds. I immediately contacted him in his mail at [email protected] so I can get his assistance. One week into the recovery process the funds were traced and recovered back from the scammer. I can't appreciate him enough for his professionalism.

  • 17.10.25 20:23 stevekalfman

    If you need a hacker for scam crypto recovery or mobile spy access remotely kindly reach out to [email protected] for quick response, I hired this hacker and he did a nice job. before NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, I met with different hacker's online which turns out to be scam, this NVIDIA TECH HACKERS case was different and he is the trusted hacker I can vote and refer.

  • 17.10.25 21:42 marcushenderson624

    Bitcoin Recovery Testimonial After falling victim to a cryptocurrency scam group, I lost $354,000 worth of USDT. I thought all hope was lost from the experience of losing my hard-earned money to scammers. I was devastated and believed there was no way to recover my funds. Fortunately, I started searching for help to recover my stolen funds and I came across a lot of testimonials online about Capital Crypto Recovery, an agent who helps in recovery of lost bitcoin funds, I contacted Capital Crypto Recover Service, and with their expertise, they successfully traced and recovered my stolen assets. Their team was professional, kept me updated throughout the process, and demonstrated a deep understanding of blockchain transactions and recovery protocols. They are trusted and very reliable with a 100% successful rate record Recovery bitcoin, I’m grateful for their help and highly recommend their services to anyone seeking assistance with lost crypto. Contact: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Email: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 17.10.25 21:42 marcushenderson624

    Bitcoin Recovery Testimonial After falling victim to a cryptocurrency scam group, I lost $354,000 worth of USDT. I thought all hope was lost from the experience of losing my hard-earned money to scammers. I was devastated and believed there was no way to recover my funds. Fortunately, I started searching for help to recover my stolen funds and I came across a lot of testimonials online about Capital Crypto Recovery, an agent who helps in recovery of lost bitcoin funds, I contacted Capital Crypto Recover Service, and with their expertise, they successfully traced and recovered my stolen assets. Their team was professional, kept me updated throughout the process, and demonstrated a deep understanding of blockchain transactions and recovery protocols. They are trusted and very reliable with a 100% successful rate record Recovery bitcoin, I’m grateful for their help and highly recommend their services to anyone seeking assistance with lost crypto. Contact: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Email: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 17.10.25 21:42 marcushenderson624

    Bitcoin Recovery Testimonial After falling victim to a cryptocurrency scam group, I lost $354,000 worth of USDT. I thought all hope was lost from the experience of losing my hard-earned money to scammers. I was devastated and believed there was no way to recover my funds. Fortunately, I started searching for help to recover my stolen funds and I came across a lot of testimonials online about Capital Crypto Recovery, an agent who helps in recovery of lost bitcoin funds, I contacted Capital Crypto Recover Service, and with their expertise, they successfully traced and recovered my stolen assets. Their team was professional, kept me updated throughout the process, and demonstrated a deep understanding of blockchain transactions and recovery protocols. They are trusted and very reliable with a 100% successful rate record Recovery bitcoin, I’m grateful for their help and highly recommend their services to anyone seeking assistance with lost crypto. Contact: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Email: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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