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Cardano network activity and ADA’s oversold price action hint at a powerful breakout

26577c62-64fc-4726-8b23-41a8d33539d6.jpg

On-chain growth, a surge in DeFi use and positive technical outlook could back a breakout in ADA price.

Caradano’s native gas-paying token ADA received a big blow at the start of June when the SEC regarded it as a security in its lawsuit against Binance and Coinbase.

The lawsuit triggered a 42.5% drop in ADA’s price from $0.37 to a two-year low at $0.21 within a few days after SEC’s lawsuit.

Additionally, the token faced further downside selling pressure due to delisting on U.S.-based trading apps Robinhood and eToro.

However, under the hood, the network has been making progress with an uptick in DeFi activity after a scalability upgrade in May.

The technical and on-chain analysis of the token also shows potential for a positive recovery.

Cardano’s DeFi ecosystem is blooming

Over the years, Cardano has come under some criticism for continued delays and network updates.

Cardano’s founder, Charles Hoskinson, attributed these setbacks to “betting on the wrong technology and being a bit ambitious with the roadmap“ in an interview with Cointelegraph, acknowledging that 85% of the initial roadmap has been completed.

Nevertheless, the network recorded an uptick in activity after the implementation of long-waited scalability upgrade Hydra launched in the first week of May 2023.

The total fees paid on Cardano surged to a one-year after the upgrade, before collapsing amid SEC’s lawsuit. However, the activity has been on a consistent uptrend over the last few weeks.

ffe13ad9-1cb6-4c95-b3a9-b7de51a61267.jpgCardano total fees paid on the network. Source: Messari

The total ADA deposited in DeFi application on Cardano has risen strongly, reaching two times its peak value during the bull market of 2021, per DeFiLlama data. The trading volumes on Cardano DEXs has also recorded a major uptick since May’s Hydra upgrade.

Hydra is a layer-2 scaling solution that is designed to increase the throughput and scalability of the Cardano blockchain by processing transactions on a sidechain.

07258629-9f39-43c0-85f6-7197215a29ed.JPGThe TVL and DEX volumes on Cardano. Source: DeFiLlama

Additionally, a Jarvis Labs report found ADA is one of the “decentralized L1s out there” based on the Nakamoto coefficient, which measures the minimum number of entities that collectively control 33.33% of all coins staked in the network.

A higher degree of decentralization will act in Cardano’s favor in deciding whether or not it is a security in the U.S.

Pseudonymous analyst Kodi from Jarvis Labs wrote in the report, “Cardano’s not dead, but very much alive, kicking, and ready to throw down in the next bull run.”

Related: The best blockchain “does not exist” — Cardano Foundation exec

ADA price analysis

On-chain analytics firm Santiment recorded “high amount of sales at lower prices” in the first week of July as prices rebounded toward $0.30 resistance level.

Santiment analysts added that the levels of profit booking exhibited oversold conditions, “making the chances of bounces increase.”

The funding rate data for perpetual swap contracts from Coinglass shows that most traders held short positions on ADA, betting on a downturn after the regulatory crackdown. The massive sell-offs and negative sentiment can give rise to a contrarian price rally in the short to medium term.

1340be4b-7a16-4a63-8414-1da2cb78cdda.jpgADA funding rate for perpetual swap contracts. Source: Coinglass

Technically, The ADA/USD pair has formed higher lows after bottoming at around $0.21 in June, suggesting that buyers are scooping the token on dips. A confirmation of the positive trend will come if buyers are able to flip the horizontal resistance level at $0.30 into support.

377e5ffb-edbb-4bb8-acb8-9060ae492ab0.pngADA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

The ADA/BTC pair shows signs of potential bottom as its weekly Relative Strength Index indicator falls into oversold category and the pair tests long-term support and resistance level of 0.00000956 BTC.

If buyers are successful, the pair looks primed for a 60% price surge toward 0.00001548 BTC support.

8a3f6810-12c4-47fa-8382-2122d842af25.pngADA/BTC weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

ADA has been facing headwinds due to the SEC's lawsuit, delistings from U.S. based trading apps like Robinhood and negative sentiments, but there are signs that the network is still making progress. If the technicals continue to improve supported by on-chain growth, ADA could be poised for a positive recovery in the future.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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