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BTC price ‘fireworks’ after monthly close? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

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Bitcoin may finally get a trend identity after the July monthly close is done, one trader suggests, with BTC price action wedged below $30,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) heads into a new week, with a new monthly close still stuck in one of its narrowest-ever ranges.

Acting in an area just below $30,000, BTC price performance has frustrated or simply bored traders over the past week — could a breakout come next?

This is the question on every market participant’s mind as the week begins with the July monthly close and the chance for associated volatility.

While some believe that Bitcoin is, in fact, overdue for a comedown, data suggests that buying pressure is returning at current levels. Add to that a potential long-term bull flag due to confirm on the monthly close, and all might not be so bad for Bitcoin bulls.

As a quiet macro week shifts the focus to other potential price triggers for crypto, Cointelegraph takes a look at the major topics for moving markets in the coming days and beyond.

Sticky BTC price range could shift after July monthly close

Bitcoin was infamously stable last week, with not even the United States interest rate hike and accompanying macroeconomic data managing to shift its tiny trading range.

BTC price observers have had to console themselves with a corridor between $29,000 and $29,500 — one which is still in force at the time of writing, as per data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.

66d086af-0f91-405f-9e98-293ffd3e6f6f.pngBTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

While the weekly close did offer some snap moves up and down, a short-term trend remains conspicuously lacking.

On the radar next is the monthly close, which is currently due to see BTC/USD lock in monthly losses of 3.5%.

“The market is going to try to shake you out as we move to and thru the Monthly close,” monitoring resource Material Indicators wrote in part of its latest commentary.

An accompanying chart of the BTC/USD order book on the largest global crypto exchange Binance showed the current trading range clearly defined with bid and ask liquidity.

c36d7819-387a-4379-b94e-63e4657c15bf.pngBTC/USD order book data on Binance. Source: Material Indicators/Twitter

On the topic of liquidity, popular trader Daan Crypto Trades delineated the significant levels to watch on low timeframes.

“The ~29K and ~29.6K levels correspond nicely with out current low timeframe range so good to keep watching those regions,” he told Twitter followers prior to the weekly close alongside data from CoinGlass.

CoinGlass likewise showed that, historically, July had been a “green” month for Bitcoin for the past six years, with the exception of 6.6% losses in 2019.

b32f16d6-bae3-44a8-837f-64ca8e829e63.pngBTC/USD monthly returns chart (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

Fellow trader Jelle, meanwhile, predicted that the coming week would form the lull before the storm for markets.

“Expecting this week to be slow, but fireworks to start next week. Preparing accordingly,” he revealed, adding that he was already accumulating BTC.

d53eae26-0a00-4a3f-857a-0a23d8150573.pngBTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Jelle/Twitter

MACD signal forms key Bitcoin bull argument

Despite being on course to close July at a loss, Bitcoin is exciting traders on monthly timeframes for another reason.

The moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) indicator is due to confirm a bullish crossover, which traditionally precedes periods of protracted BTC price upside.

MACD uses exponential moving averages (EMAs) to plot two lines on an asset’s price chart, and their interplay can form useful advance buy and sell signals.

As various market participants noted over the past week, the monthly close is still due to lock in a bullish EMA cross on the one-month BTC/USD chart.

#Bitcoin is 1.5 days away from locking in a monthly bullish MACD cross pic.twitter.com/aV2vCmWOaJ

— Jelle (@CryptoJelleNL) July 30, 2023

As Cointelegraph reported, trading resource Stockmoney Lizards has already compared the potential impact of the upcoming cross to a similar event in late 2015, when Bitcoin was preparing the ground for its run to old all-time highs two years later.

Now, it is not just monthly but also daily MACD improving prospects for bulls.

On one-day timeframes, analyst Kevin Svenson described both MACD and relative strength index (RSI) as being “in a peculiar position” due to the lack of momentum.

“We are entering the usual ‘completion zone’ where the market makes a move. Sentiment is extremely neutral right now,” he added in Twitter comments.

98b127f3-89be-4bb2-9ab9-b6fa83ae26a5.pngBTC/USD chart with MACD and RSI data. Source: Kevin Svenson/Twitter

A weekly MACD cross in August 2021, meanwhile, came as Bitcoin headed to its current all-time high of $69,000, which it saw just three months later.

U.S. jobs data follows hectic macro week

An altogether calmer week for macroeconomic data means less of a chance that risk assets, including crypto, will find something to react to.

Nonetheless, unemployment data will form the focus for the mood in the U.S., this following repeated signals that inflation is both abating and that the labor market has taken the inflationary cycle in its stride.

“A lot of important jobs data this week,” financial commentary resource The Kobeissi Letter summarized.

Kobeissi noted that around one quarter of S&P 500 firms was due to report earnings over the week.

“Economic data remains incredibly important as the Fed determines what to do in Sept,” it added, referencing the impact of data on Federal Reserve interest rate decisions.

Key Events This Week:

1. ISM Manufacturing data - Tuesday

2. JOLTS Jobs data - Tuesday

3. ADP Payrolls data - Wednesday

4. Jobless Claims data - Thursday

5. July Jobs report - Friday

6. ~25% of S&P 500 companies reporting earnings

A lot of important jobs data this week.

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) July 30, 2023

Elsewhere, U.S. dollar strength was tipped to take a fresh downturn, having rebounded as the Fed hiked rates last week after a June pause.

For investor and trader Miles Johal, 102 formed formidable resistance for the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), and Bitcoin should benefit as a result.

“Expect HTF bullish action from $BTC and other risk assets while the DXY continues this downtrend,” part of his latest social media analysis read.

DXY at first key resistance of 102.

Roll over for another lower high here or the trendline above is still unbroken at this time.

Expect HTF bullish action from $BTC and other risk assets while the DXY continues this downtrend. https://t.co/p45kPYxPvS pic.twitter.com/nMlfPd4gqt

— Miles (@JohalMiles) July 30, 2023

Stablecoin investors “load up” with Bitcoin under $30,000

Last week was all about the percentage of the BTC supply now in the hand of long-term holders — an all-time high of 75%.

Now, investors appear to be anticipating new volatility by accumulating stablecoins into the monthly close.

As noted by research firm Santiment, the trend is visible across multiple stablecoins, including the two largest — Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC).

“Key whale & shark stablecoin wallets appear to be loading up during Bitcoin’s visit below $30k here at the end of the month. Tether, USDCoin, BinanceUSD, & Dai are all seeing supply shifting into these key wallets,” it revealed alongside a chart showing the latest flows.

363e0a6d-2693-4d58-a51e-d15f84638113.pngStablecoin accumulation annotated chart. Source: Santiment/Twitter

The move comes as stablecoin accumulation itself preempts a return to the upside for BTC’s price. Last week, it was crypto exchange Bitfinex in the spotlight.

“Bitfinex Bitcoin to stables ratio blows up in advance of every big bull move. A major leading indicator,” market cyclist and on-chain analyst Cole Garner said at the time.

06c9ce1b-89a2-4fc2-85c7-5c51dd23cc5c.pngBitfinex stablecoin ratio annotated chart. Source: Cole Garner/Twitter

Whale wallet numbers hit a four-month low

At the same time, Cointelegraph has been reporting on interesting shifts in whales’ BTC exposure.

Related: BlackRock ETF will be ‘big rubber yes stamp’ for Bitcoin — Charles Edwards

The largest-volume investor cohort has been undergoing what on-chain analytics firm Glassnode called “noteworthy” changes, with net exposure down 255,000 BTC since May 30.

The number of wallets holding 1,000 BTC ($294 million) or more now bears this out, with Glassnode recording the lowest such wallet numbers in four months.

4eaad255-bb18-4502-a422-7ebc3a93ba8c.pngBitcoin wallets holding at least 1,000 BTC chart. Source: Glassnode/Twitter

As of July 31, there were 2,006 wallets with a balance of at least 1,000 BTC, down by around 35 since the start of July.

cad9fa69-22d6-4bc6-80bc-0b4262b440fd.pngBitcoin wallets holding at least 0.01 BTC chart. Source: Glassnode/Twitter

By contrast, wallets with at least 0.01 BTC ($294) hit new all-time highs of 12,214,918 on the same day.

Collect this article as an NFT to preserve this moment in history and show your support for independent journalism in the crypto space.

Magazine: Tokenizing music royalties as NFTs could help the next Taylor Swift

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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  • 14.10.25 01:15 tyleradams

    Hi. Please be wise, do not make the same mistake I had made in the past, I was a victim of bitcoin scam, I saw a glamorous review showering praises and marketing an investment firm, I reached out to them on what their contracts are, and I invested $28,000, which I was promised to get my first 15% profit in weeks, when it’s time to get my profits, I got to know the company was bogus, they kept asking me to invest more and I ran out of patience then requested to have my money back, they refused to answer nor refund my funds, not until a friend of mine introduced me to the NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, so I reached out and after tabling my complaints, they were swift to action and within 36 hours I got back my funds with the due profit. I couldn’t contain the joy in me. I urge you guys to reach out to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS on their email: [email protected]

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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