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BTC price cancels FTX losses — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

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The ghost of FTX haunts the crypto industry, but Bitcoin is attempting to leave it behind as BTC price gains endure.

Bitcoin (BTC) starts a new week at new 2023 highs but still dividing opinion after a blistering price rally.

In what is shaping up to be the antidote to last year’s slow bleed lower, January has delivered the volatility Bitcoin bulls were hoping for — but can they sustain it?

This is the key question for market participants going into the third week of the month.

Opinion remains divided on Bitcoin’s fundamental strength; some believe outright that the march to two-month highs is a “sucker’s rally,” while others are hoping that the good times will continue — at least for the time being.

Beyond market dynamics, there is no shortage of potential catalysts waiting to assert themselves on sentiment.

United States economic data will keep coming, while corporate earnings could deliver some fresh volatility to stock markets this week.

Cointelegraph takes a look at five potential BTC price movers as all eyes focus on new support levels and the fate of the Bitcoin bear market.

BTC price due consolidation, analysts agree

Bitcoin has faced increasing skepticism after passing some key resistance levels throughout the past week.

As Cointelegraph reported, consensus remains skewed to the bearish side long term, with few believing that current momentum will end up any more than a bear market rally.

With warnings of new macro lows of $12,000 still in force, Bitcoin is being keenly watched for signs of a comedown. So far, however, this has not materialized.

The weekly close tied with those from just before the FTX demise, and at the time of writing, BTC/USD was still above $20,000, having hit new local highs of $21,411 overnight, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed.

Volatility remained in action, with moves of several hundred dollars commonplace on hourly timeframes. A flash dip below the $21,000 mark at the time of writing was described by commentator Tedtalksmacro as a “liquidity hunt.”

Analyzing levels to hold in the event of a broader retracement, on-chain analytics resource Material Indicators identified the 21-week moving average (MA) at $18,600.

“Another $11M bid wall placed to defend the Bitcoin 2017 Top,” it noted alongside an additional chart of the Binance order book.

“Holding above that level is symbolic and increases the probability of extending the rally, but IMO holding the 21-Week MA is critical for a sustained rally. TradFi is closed Monday for MLK Day. Volatility continues.”
da46e357-9ddc-4c89-8577-3d611ff88d85.pngBTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Bitstamp) with 21-week MA. Source: TradingView

A previous post added that whale activity was indeed helping to buoy the market on exchanges.

Eyeing the reversal of FTX losses, meanwhile, trading account Stockmoney Lizards called for “a little (sideways) consolidation” at current levels.

Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of trading firm Eight, said that Bitcoin may indeed consolidate as a result of changes in flagging U.S. dollar strength.

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) still traded near its lowest levels since early June 2022 on the day, having hit 107.77.

72d6c7ae-6b96-430b-974e-5fd56cd6430c.pngU.S. dollar index (DXY) 1-day candle chart. Source: TradingView

Focus shifts to earnings as stocks catalyst

This week will get off to a brisk start in terms of macro data, with producer price inflation (PPI) data coming on Jan. 18.

This will come amid various speeches from Federal Reserve officials, while stocks will likely be swayed by another phenomenon in the form of corporate earnings reporting through the week.

As noted by Bank of America strategists in a note last week, the S&P 500 has become particularly sensitive to earnings, these even overtaking classic data releases such as the consumer price index (CPI) in terms of impact.

“We see this as a narrative shift in the market from the Fed and inflation to earnings: reactions to earnings have been increasing, while reactions to inflation data and FOMC meetings have been getting smaller,” they wrote, quoted by media outlets including CNBC.

The strategists referred to the upcoming meeting of the Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which on Feb. 1 will decide on interest rate hikes.

These are currently expected to be lower than any since early 2022, with sentiment favoring a 0.25% increase, according to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

97876ddc-91c9-4e59-b398-76271698450f.pngFed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME Group

“The lower the Fed Funds, the more liquidity there is in the system,” Ram Ahluwalia, CEO of digital asset investment advisor Lumida Wealth Management, wrote in part of research last week.

An accompanying chart showed what Ahluwalia suggested was a beneficial relationship between lower Fed funds rates and Bitcoin liquidity.

He continued by referencing an appearance on mainstream media by veteran economist Larry Summers on Jan. 13, in which the latter made positive noises about inflation abating.

“Larry made a statement saying the Fed’s fight against inflation is ‘much, much closer to being done.’ This is a ‘positive surprise’ to risk assets and supports the Fed pivot camp,” he argued.

“BTC benefits from QE Hypothesis: One of the big macro desks listened and went long bitcoin.”
9b7682fd-eb59-457e-9d72-4baf60de69de.pngBitcoin vs. Fed funds rate chart. Source: Ram Ahluwalia/ Twitter

GBTC winning streak continues

On the topic of institutional interest recovery, another chart retracing the entirety of its FTX losses is the largest Bitcoin institutional investment vehicle, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC).

Data from Coinglass shows that as of Jan. 13, the latest date for which data is available, GBTC shares traded at a discount to net asset value (NAV) of 36.26%.

This discount, formerly positive and known as the “GBTC premium,” has been ticking higher since the end of December, and is now higher than at any point since the FTX meltdown.

Its largest ever reading came just before that, when it hit 48.62% as Grayscale suffered as part of parent company Digital Currency Group’s (DCG) own FTX troubles.

That controversy continues to rage, often publicly, but GBTC is delivering its most encouraging results in months.

Behind the scenes, meanwhile, Grayscale continues to battle U.S. regulators over their refusal to allow it to convert GBTC to an exchange-traded fund (ETF) based on the Bitcoin spot price.

In an extensive Twitter update on Jan. 13, Craig Salm, Grayscale’s chief legal officer, made multiple references to the firm’s “commitment” to win its case and bring the first spot Bitcoin ETF to the market in the U.S.

“To reiterate, converting GBTC to a spot bitcoin ETF is the best long-term way for it to track the value of its BTC,” he summarized.

“Our case is moving forward swiftly, we have strong, common sense and compelling legal arguments and we’re optimistic that the Court should rule in our favor.”
0dfb16db-e4d2-4d99-909d-512c12346e7d.pngGBTC premium vs. asset holdings vs. BTC/USD chart. Source: Coinglass

Difficulty hits new all-time high

If Bitcoin’s price recovery were not enough to get bulls excited, its network fundamentals tell a similarly encouraging story.

Roughly in step with the weekly close, network mining difficulty increased by over 10%, marking its biggest uptick since last October.

ca5a5f8f-53cc-4551-9fbf-c51349201b15.pngBitcoin network fundamentals overview (screenshot). Source: BTC.com

The move has obvious implications for Bitcoin miners, and suggests that the ecosystem is already benefiting from higher prices.

As Cointelegraph reported, miners had already been slowing the pace of their BTC reserve sales in recent weeks, while the difficulty increase reflects competition for block subsidies returning to the sector.

Over the past week, however, miners’ balances have decreased in response to Bitcoin’s rapid price rise. They stood at 1,823,097 BTC as of Jan. 16, data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode shows, marking one-month lows.

ad940152-a93e-45f1-bfff-5941aa625d81.pngBitcoin miner BTC balance chart. Source: Glassnode

Despite this, difficulty has now erased its FTX reactions, and set a new all-time high in the process.

“Bitcoin is in the process of retesting the estimated average cost of production price for Miners,” Glassnode additionally noted last week, before the majority of the gains came.

It added that “breaking above this level like offers much needed relief to miner incomes.”

An accompanying chart showed its proprietary “difficulty regression model,” which it describes as “an estimated all-in-sustaining cost of production for Bitcoin.”

ebed4774-5930-4131-9212-f3513214cfe2.pngBitcoin difficulty regression model chart. Source: Glassnode

Sentiment exits "fear" as whales buy big

It is no secret that the average Bitcoin hodler is experiencing some much needed relief this month, but is it a case of unchecked euphoria?

Related: 5 altcoins that could breakout if Bitcoin price stays bullish

According to time-honored yardstick, The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, it could well be “too much, too soon” when it comes to changes in the mood over Bitcoin price strength.

On Jan. 15, the Index hit its highest levels since last April, and while not “greedy” yet, the move marks a big change from just weeks prior.

c608cda2-7e75-4678-8dd1-7dd8a37455cd.pngCrypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.me

As Cointelegraph reported, the crypto market spent a large swathe of 2022 in its lowest “extreme fear” bracket, something not helped by FTX.

Now, it is scoring above 50/100, dropping slightly into the new week to stick in “neutral” territory.

For research firm Santiment, which specializes in gauging the atmosphere around crypto markets, there is nonetheless one overriding factor influencing Bitcoin’s newfound strength.

The answer, it wrote in a Twitter post at the weekend, lies firmly in whale activity.

Over the ten days to Jan. 15, whales big and small added to their positions, sparking a chain reaction of supply and demand in the process. In total over that period, they purchased 209,700 BTC.

Santiment called the data “a definitive explanation on why crypto prices have bounced.”

20034552-53e6-4435-9bce-69da7589d5a1.pngBTC accumulation annotated chart. Source: Santiment/ Twitter

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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    God bless Capital Crypto Recover Services for the marvelous work you did in my life, I have learned the hard way that even the most sensible investors can fall victim to scams. When my USD was stolen, for anyone who has fallen victim to one of the bitcoin binary investment scams that are currently ongoing, I felt betrayal and upset. But then I was reading a post on site when I saw a testimony of Wendy Taylor online who recommended that Capital Crypto Recovery has helped her recover scammed funds within 24 hours. after reaching out to this cyber security firm that was able to help me recover my stolen digital assets and bitcoin. I’m genuinely blown away by their amazing service and professionalism. I never imagined I’d be able to get my money back until I complained to Capital Crypto Recovery Services about my difficulties and gave all of the necessary paperwork. I was astounded that it took them 12 hours to reclaim my stolen money back. Without a doubt, my USDT assets were successfully recovered from the scam platform, Thank you so much Sir, I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover for any of your bitcoin recovery, digital funds recovery, hacking, and cybersecurity concerns. You reach them Call/Text Number +1 (336)390-6684 His Email: [email protected] Contact Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Via Contact: [email protected] His website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 01:15 tyleradams

    Hi. Please be wise, do not make the same mistake I had made in the past, I was a victim of bitcoin scam, I saw a glamorous review showering praises and marketing an investment firm, I reached out to them on what their contracts are, and I invested $28,000, which I was promised to get my first 15% profit in weeks, when it’s time to get my profits, I got to know the company was bogus, they kept asking me to invest more and I ran out of patience then requested to have my money back, they refused to answer nor refund my funds, not until a friend of mine introduced me to the NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, so I reached out and after tabling my complaints, they were swift to action and within 36 hours I got back my funds with the due profit. I couldn’t contain the joy in me. I urge you guys to reach out to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS on their email: [email protected]

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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