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Bitcoin fills CME gap after Iran strike sparks $5,000 sell-off

Bitcoin’s retracement from $109,000 over the past 24 hours capped off a volatile week defined by thin weekend liquidity and sharp reactions to geopolitical stress.

In the early hours of Friday, June 13, the market saw the $1,490 CME gap closed, which formed between the Friday (June 6) close at $105,060 and the Sunday (June 8) open at $106,550.

After slow gains for most of the week, BTC plunged below $103,000 between June 12, completing the textbook gap fill at the 00:00 UTC candle on June 13.

The gap closed after Israel launched targeted strikes against Iranian nuclear and military facilities, sending shockwaves through the broader market. Oil spiked more than 10%, gold rallied, and crypto saw over $1.1 billion in long liquidations.

Bitcoin, which had been drifting near $108,000 just a day earlier, dropped over 5% in less than 24 hours, wiping out its weekend premium and triggering a return to the Friday CME close.

Bitcoin CME gapGraph showing the price of CME Bitcoin futures and the CME gap from June 5 to June 13, 2025 (Source: TradingView)

Today’s move confirms a pattern that has repeatedly played out across the Bitcoin derivatives market: CME gaps almost always close. This was the sixth such gap to form this year and the sixth to be filled.

The historical pattern continues to provide huge value for traders who closely monitor the difference between Friday’s CME close and Sunday’s open.

The CME gap closure rate year-to-date now stands at 100% (6 for 6), with an average fill time of 29.2 hours. The most recent gap, however, stood out for taking 98 hours to resolve, making it the longest duration gap fill of the year.

Previous gaps this year have mostly resolved within a day, with many within the first trading session after the weekend.

Gap Date Direction Size Closed Time to Close
May 4 Down $1,225 Yes 50 hours
May 11 Up $1,045 Yes 16 hours
May 18 Up $330 Yes 5.5 hours
May 25 Down $830 Yes 0.5 hours
June 1 Up $775 Yes 5 hours
June 8 Up $1,490 Yes 98 hours

This week’s delayed gap fill reflected the stretched conditions that had developed across Bitcoin’s leveraged markets. Funding rates were elevated, and open interest was near all-time highs, with longs overwhelmingly dominant across exchanges.

The buildup of risk, especially over a low-volume weekend, made Bitcoin susceptible to a macro-driven flush, and the Israel-Iran headlines proved to be the trigger.

Coinbase spot data shows that Bitcoin hit a high of $110,435 on June 12 before tumbling to a low of $102,746, with the gap anchored at $105,060. This pattern (where the spot market overshoots the futures gap floor) is typical during periods of forced liquidations.

It reinforces how the weekend gap can act as a magnet for price, but not necessarily the exact stopping point during high-volatility moves.

The convergence of spot and futures following major narrative events has become a recurring theme. CME’s Friday settle remains the institutional benchmark, while retail flows and offshore perpetual markets primarily drive weekend trading.

When geopolitical shocks, like the Iran strike, inject volatility, the CME gap frequently becomes the technical focal point for short-term mean-reversion traders and risk managers assessing mispricings.

The continued validity of this pattern, which CryptoSlate previously covered in-depth, shows the predictive weight CME gaps carry.

Traders often employ this gap-filling heuristic as part of a directional strategy, taking positions on the assumption that price will revisit the CME Friday close.

However, this week’s four-day fill emphasizes the importance of timing and risk control: while the target was eventually hit, exposure had to be managed through extended drawdowns and a macro uncertainty spike.

The broader lesson from the past week is that CME gaps remain structurally relevant, even in an increasingly global and fragmented trading environment.

Their persistence reflects the dominance of institutional capital flows in shaping weekly price anchors, and the market’s tendency to revert to areas of untraded liquidity.

The post Bitcoin fills CME gap after Iran strike sparks $5,000 sell-off appeared first on CryptoSlate.

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  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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