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As a trader, should the Bitcoin pump bother you?

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Trading the crypto market can be complicated, and for a volatile asset like Bitcoin [BTC], it’s not always a straight path to profits neither is a downtrend confirmation that it’s time to short the coin.

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2023-2024

To put you out of confusion, a short refers to a trading strategy that speculates on the decline of an asset. So, when a trader opens a short position and the value of the cryptocurrency in question decreases, the trader tends to make a profit. The opposite of this is a long where the position opened is geared towards a price increase.

Lately, Bitcoin has mostly favored long-positioned traders. This is because of the coin’s impressive increase over the last few weeks. As a result, there is a great deal of confidence in the market. At the same time, greed seems to be present as well. But here’s where it matters most.

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Bitcoin’s uptick has left many traders wondering if the coin’s value would continue to defy the odds and increase, or if it’s time for a correction. Needless to say, technical and/or on-chain analysis gives insights into the price action.

However, the current circumstance has some macroeconomic factors backing it. So, dependence on the aforementioned models could only leave a sour taste in a trader’s mouth.

Most times, a long period of uptick leads to some period of consolidation or drawdown. For context, consolidation occurs when a coin like BTC hovers around prices very close to one another with no significant direction.

From an on-chain perspective, Santiment, an analytic platform in that regard, mentioned that traders do not need to fret. According to its post on X (formerly Twitter), there has been an increase in the movement of dormant coins.

👍 If you're concerned about a #crypto retrace, note that #Bitcoin still maintains a high pace of active addresses. Additionally, the top market cap asset is seeing a high level of dormant tokens now moving, typically synonymous with #bullish conditions. https://t.co/bvjDL2Shga pic.twitter.com/NvxKkQpkg8

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) October 26, 2023

Dormant coins are assets that have been stored for a long time and have been stagnant in the wallets they reside in. Santiment noted that the increase in migration alongside the fast pace of active addresses means that the BTC is still in pole position for a continuous increase.

Active addresses are the number of unique addresses making transactions on a network. When the metric increases, it means that there is a surge in speculation.

On the other hand, a decrease suggests a fall in interaction with the cryptocurrency discussed. Therefore, the active addresses here mean that many addresses are making Bitcoin transactions.

Besides these two factors, there are other reasons why BTC may not experience a significant plunge. At the same time, that is not to say the rally would continue without a decline. One narrative that has played a significant part in the hike is the optimism around ETF applications that are on the table of the U.S. SEC.

Although there is no confirmation about the period of approval, many market players are of the view that one of the numerous approvals would get the regulator’s nod soon. Alex Adler Jr, a verified author at CryptoQuant, noted that BTC may continue to consolidate.

Adler’s opinion was born out of the position displayed by the futures dynamics index. The BTC futures dynamic index gives an insight into the bullish or bearish sentiment of traders.

In 48h, the market has yet to decide which direction to move in. Currently, there's a slight tilt towards short positions.

The best scenario would be for the market to continue to remain flat, decrease activity over the weekend, and then consolidate on Monday with a breakout. pic.twitter.com/qh7gE2Mel3

— Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) October 27, 2023

From Adler’s post, most of the traders’ positions tilted toward the short side. The analyst also mentioned that there could be a drop in activity over the weekend. So, if any breakout needs to happen, it might wait till 30 October.

On-chain data from Santiment also showed that BTC could continue consolidating. This assertion was derived from the seven-day circulation. At press time, the Bitcoin circulation was 416,000. This metric is the number of coins used in transactions within a given timeframe.

Also, the value has been almost the same since 26 October. So, there is no significant sign of selling pressure. As a trader, the indication by the circulation is to continue to monitor the market. This is because it is highly unlikely for Bitcoin to choose a specific direction to move in for the main time.

BTC price and Bitcoin circulation

Source: Santiment

From the technical point of view, the BTC/USD chart showed that the coin’s buying strength has decreased. At press time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) was 62.61. Previously, the RSI reading reached 90.86.

This means BTC was overbought at that point. Thus, it was inevitable for the indicator to retrace, the same as the Bitcoin price.

This was one of the factors that led to the drop below $35,000. However, the current reading of the RSI does not mean buyers are exhausted. So, any significant buying momentum could drive an uptick above toward $36,000.

So, it might be great to watch out for the period when the RSI moves toward 65.00. If this happens, it could be a good entry point to long BTC. For now, shorts may make more profits than those who opened positions expecting an upward movement.

Bitcoin price action

Source: TradingView

This conclusion was based on the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). At the time of writing, the MACD was down to -2.14.94. The negative value of the indicator means there are more sell orders than buys. So, the coin price would most likely decrease (no matter how negligible) rather than increase.

However, if as a trader, you are looking to potentially profit from Bitcoin in the mid to long term, the reserve risk can give you an idea of which side to choose. The Bitcoin reserve risk is used to assess the confidence of long-term holders relative to the price action.

Is your portfolio green? Check the BTC Profit Calculator

When the metric is high, it means confidence in the market is low and the price is high. Conversely, a low reserve risk means that confidence is high and the price is low. At press time, the risk of the reserve was 0.001, depicting high confidence in the market and an undervalued Bitcoin.

Bitcoin reserve risk

Source: Glassnode

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    Hi. Please be wise, do not make the same mistake I had made in the past, I was a victim of bitcoin scam, I saw a glamorous review showering praises and marketing an investment firm, I reached out to them on what their contracts are, and I invested $28,000, which I was promised to get my first 15% profit in weeks, when it’s time to get my profits, I got to know the company was bogus, they kept asking me to invest more and I ran out of patience then requested to have my money back, they refused to answer nor refund my funds, not until a friend of mine introduced me to the NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, so I reached out and after tabling my complaints, they were swift to action and within 36 hours I got back my funds with the due profit. I couldn’t contain the joy in me. I urge you guys to reach out to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS on their email: [email protected]

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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