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Волатильность все? Эксперты описали траекторию цены биткоина после достижения $100 000

5 декабря, уже после закрытия торговой сессии в США, благодаря мощному бычьему импульсу биткоин смог пробить $100 000 и на момент написания торгуется на уровне $102 818, по данным CoinGecko. ForkLog обсудил с экспертами, каков предел цены цифрового золота в текущей фазе рынка.

По мнению трейдера Владимира Коэна, стабилизация первой криптовалюты после резкого роста свидетельствует о контроле рынка крупными игроками. Главной причиной роста эксперт называет состоявшееся 4 декабря позитивное выступление главы ФРС США Джерома Пауэлла.

«До этого были сомнения относительно снижения ключевой ставки в декабре, но Пауэлл выразил четкую позицию, что продолжит смягчать денежно-кредитную политику. Конфронтации с республиканцами нет, и в 2025 году ликвидность на фондовом рынке сохранится», — объяснил Коэн.

Трейдер отметил, что заявления главы ФРС начался заметный переток капитала: инвесторы фиксируют прибыль на фондовом рынке США переводят средства в биткоин как более рисковый актив.

«Эта ситуация в принципе выгодна для Уолл-стрит, потому что они хорошо зарабатывают на аукционах, на акциях MicroStrategy и от торговли биткоин-ETF. То есть биткоин стал классом активов, которых заинтересовал крупных игроков с Уолл-стрит, и это одна из главных причин оптимизма», — объяснил он.

Исходя из этого, Коэн прогнозирует, что в ближайшие полгода биткоин «вполне реально раскачать» выше планки $200 000-250 000 при наличии достаточной ликвидности в первом квартале 2025 года. Однако он не исключил сценария, при котором после непродолжительных торгов чуть выше $100 000 будет некоторое распределение.

«Тут важный аспект — включится ли розница. По общепринятому пониманию биткоин достаточно дорогой, и этот рост может возбудить жадность у розничных инвесторов, но больших притоков я оттуда не ожидаю. Считаю, что все действительно будет зависеть от Уолл-стрит, от потока с фондового рынка США и от политики крупных инвесторов», — отметил трейдер.

Согласно его оптимистическому прогнозу, уровень выше $100 000 сохранится до рождественского ралли в декабре, после чего, вероятно, произойдет небольшая коррекция в район $85 000-90 000 с последующим рывком к $120 000.

«Я позитивно смотрю на следующий год. Считаю, что вполне реально даже в первом полугодии достичь уровня $200 000, а потом пойдет серьезная коррекция. Но таких масштабных коррекций по 60-80%, как это было раньше, уже не будет, поскольку биткоин стал полноценным финансовым активом, зрелым, с капитализацией более $2 трлн. Соответственно у него уже немного другие параметры и Price Action. Он не будет двигаться с такой сумасшедшей волатильностью, хотя многие крупные игроки в этом по-прежнему заинтересованы», — заключил Коэн.

CTO Blum Владимир Смеркис считает, что именно события в Америке в 2024 году «добавили дров в топку криптовалютного поезда», начиная с ETF на биткоин и Ethereum, заканчивая победой поддержавшего индустрию Дональда Трампа. Также он напомнил о грядущей смене главы SEC и спекуляциях на тему снятия обвинений с экс-CEO Binance Чанпэна Чжао.

«Ожиданий очень много, и большая часть уже сыграла. Ровно такой стремительный рост мы видели перед одобрением ETF весной. Поэтому я ожидаю рост индустрии как минимум до президентской инаугурации в США», — поделился Смеркис.

По его наблюдениям, рынок альткоинов только начал отыгрывать движения первой криптовалюты, поэтому на нем вероятна большая волатильность и место для роста.

«Но даже совокупная капитализация крипторынка в $3,5 трлн слишком мала, чтобы пренебрегать осторожностью и брать плечи в x500», — предупредил эксперт.

Автор Telegram-канала «КриптоДед» Константин Кошелев в краткосрочной перспективе прогнозирует движение биткоина в диапазоне $98 000-104 000 и ждет громких заголовков в стиле «Биткоин упал ниже $100 000 и теперь стоит $99 999».

Резкой коррекции, по его мнению, пока не предвидится.

«Все думали, что на $100 000 установлено много ордеров, а когда мы эту цифру пробили, то улетели аж на $104 000», — указал Кошелев.

Хотя позитивные новости дают топливо крипторынку, эксперт не исключил неприятных сюрпризов.

«Бычка продлится до весны, точно до прихода Трампа, а там посмотрим, сколько у него тузов в рукаве. Он выбрал нового главу SEC, который очень позитивно относится к криптовалютному сектору», — добавил Кошелев.

Он надеется, что в текущем цикле биткоин способен удвоить стоимость, но ближайшей целью ставит уровень $120 000.

Напомним, согласно ончейн-данным на конец ноября-начало декабря, проснувшиеся биткоин-киты продают монеты очень медленно.

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    Hi. Please be wise, do not make the same mistake I had made in the past, I was a victim of bitcoin scam, I saw a glamorous review showering praises and marketing an investment firm, I reached out to them on what their contracts are, and I invested $28,000, which I was promised to get my first 15% profit in weeks, when it’s time to get my profits, I got to know the company was bogus, they kept asking me to invest more and I ran out of patience then requested to have my money back, they refused to answer nor refund my funds, not until a friend of mine introduced me to the NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, so I reached out and after tabling my complaints, they were swift to action and within 36 hours I got back my funds with the due profit. I couldn’t contain the joy in me. I urge you guys to reach out to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS on their email: [email protected]

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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