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В VanEck спрогнозировали рост биткоина до $644 000 на фоне «золотого ралли»

Рекордный рост стоимости золота приведет к повышению курса биткоина до $644 000 за монету, предположил глава отдела цифровых активов VanEck Мэттью Сигел.

We’ve been saying Bitcoin should reach half of gold’s market cap after the next halving. Roughly half of gold’s value reflects its use as a store of value rather than industrial or jewelry demand, and surveys show younger consumers in emerging markets increasingly prefer Bitcoin…

7 октября цена декабрьских фьючерсов на золото на Нью-Йоркской товарной бирже впервые достигла отметки $4000. На момент написания драгоценный металл торгуется в районе $3957 за унцию, согласно TradingView.

Сигел отметил, что после следующего халвинга капитализация биткоина может вырасти до половины общей стоимости рынка золота, что подчеркивает его растущую роль в качестве средства сохранения стоимости.

Главный аналитик Bitget Райан Ли придерживается схожей позиции. В комментарии ForkLog он сообщил, что инвесторы все активнее уходят от фиатных валют к редким и независимым от государства активам. Биткоин закрепил за собой статус «цифрового золота», сочетая ограниченную эмиссию, мобильность и доступность 24/7.

Известный критик криптовалют Питер Шифф заявил, что обновление биткоином исторического максимума выше $126 000 — не повод для оптимизма. По его словам, в пересчете на золото его стоимость все еще примерно на 15% ниже рекордного уровня. Пока первая криптовалюта не достигла $148 000, «это лишь ралли в рамках медвежьего рынка».

Bitcoin also made a new high today, trading above $126K. But it terms of gold, it's still about 15% below its record high. I still think it's too early for Bitcoiners to get excited about the rally. Until Bitcoin can make a new high priced in gold, it's just a bear market rally.

По мнению главы отдела развития Theya Джо Консорети, дальнейшее подорожание драгоценного металла повышает «справедливую» стоимость биткоина до $1,34 млн.

With gold now at $26.7 trillion, bitcoin's fair value floor has been lifted to $1.34 million.

You can acquire it today at a 91% discount. https://t.co/2k7wdZamz4

Сигел отметил, что около половины стоимости золота определяется его функцией средства сбережения, а не промышленным или ювелирным спросом. Исследования показывают, что молодые потребители на развивающихся рынках все чаще выбирают первую криптовалюту как альтернативу.

Ли добавил, что сейчас происходит структурное перераспределение институционального капитала. Доля биткоина в инвестиционных портфелях со временем может приблизиться к исторической доле золота — 5-10%. Об этом свидетельствует увеличение притока средств в спотовые биткоин-ETF и увеличение пропорции монеты в корпоративных резервах.

В условиях роста бюджетных дефицитов, увеличения госдолга и мягкой монетарной политики цифровое и физическое золото становятся ключевыми инструментами сохранения капитала, считает Ли.

По его словам, спрос на подобные активы со стороны инвесторов будет оставаться высоким, и первая криптовалюта продолжит набирать популярность как средство защиты сбережений в эпоху обесценивания валют.

Напомним, в сентябре Всемирный совет по золоту запустил пилотный проект по токенизации драгоценного металла.

Подписывайтесь на ForkLog в социальных сетях

Рассылки ForkLog: держите руку на пульсе биткоин-индустрии!

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