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Мнение: биткоин «перегреется» на отметке $180 000

Рынку криптовалют еще далеко до зоны перекупленности, а значит остается потенциал для продолжения ралли. Такое мнение выразил аналитик Фрэнк Феттер, ссылаясь на данные технического индикатора Mayer Multiple.

Bitcoin is at all-time highs and the Mayer Multiple is ice cold. I like the setup. $BTC pic.twitter.com/I5pNkydV2l

«Биткоин вблизи ATH, а Mayer Multiple просто ледяной. Мне нравится такой сетап», — отметил аналитик.

Метрика показывает разрывы между значением 200-дневной простой скользящей средней (MA). Они помогают выявить на графике спекулятивные пузыри и периоды полного истощения продавцов, знаменующие собой долгосрочный разворот тренда вверх.

Если индикатор выше 1 — это значит, что котировки биткоина над 200-дневной скользящей средней. Соответственно, если индикатор ниже значения 1 — цена под MA 200.

Исторически доказано: Mayer Multiple выше 2,4 говорит о развитии спекулятивного пузыря. Создатель метрики и ведущий подкаста Bitcoin Knowledge Трейс Майер считает, что инвесторы достигают наилучших долгосрочных результатов, если основной период накопления криптовалюты приходится на значения индикатора ниже отметки 2,4.

На момент написания Mayer Multiple находится на отметке 1,14. При этом цифровое золото торгуется в районе $121 360 — на 3,6% ниже ATH, достигнутого 6 октября (согласно CoinGecko).

Подписывайтесь на ForkLog в социальных сетях

Рассылки ForkLog: держите руку на пульсе биткоин-индустрии!

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