Основатель Cardano Чарльз Хоскинсон представил амбициозный сценарий развития биткоина: по его прогнозу, в течение ближайших пяти лет рыночная капитализация первой криптовалюты может достичь $10 триллионов, что выведет её на второе место в глобальном рейтинге активов — сразу после золота. Такое заявление он сделал в ходе интервью с подкастером Дэвидом Лином, подчеркнув, что даже высокая волатильность крипторынка не помешает этому сценарию реализоваться.
Сегодня биткоин занимает лишь седьмую строчку в списке самых дорогих активов мира с капитализацией около $2,24 трлн. Для достижения $10 трлн потребуется рост более чем в четыре раза — что при текущем предложении в 21 млн BTC (из которых в обращении — около 20 млн) означает цену в $500 000 за монету. Это почти 343% прироста от текущей отметки в $112 910.
Хоскинсон считает, что ключевым катализатором роста станет расширение функциональности сети биткоина, включая интеграцию возможностей, схожих с децентрализованными финансами (DeFi) и смарт-контрактами. Хотя сама сеть Биткоина изначально не была задумана как платформа для сложных приложений, Хоскинсон отмечает, что разработчики, в том числе из экосистемы Cardano, активно работают над решениями, которые позволят «оживить» потенциал BTC за пределами простых переводов.
«Биткоин — это не просто цифровое золото. Это основа будущей финансовой инфраструктуры. И когда к нему добавится больше функций, его полезность резко возрастёт», — заявил он, добавив, что переход от пассивного хранения к активному использованию станет поворотным моментом.
В качестве «попутного ветра» Хоскинсон назвал корпоративное и институциональное принятие. Он с восхищением отметил, что всё больше компаний выпускают облигации, чтобы инвестировать вырученные средства в биткоин, превращая его в стратегический резервный актив. Даже суверенные фонды и государственные структуры включаются в игру: по его словам, у властей США уже находится 212 000 BTC — цифра, которая говорит сама за себя.
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