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Н Новости

ИИ и новая игра без правил: о чем рассказал Дарио Амодей?

Недавно вышел интересный подкаст Майка Фромана с генеральным директором и сооснователем Anthropic Дарио Амодей. Не у всех есть время слушать двухчасовой подкаст, поэтому я расскажу, что важного прозвучало в этом интересном диалоге на мой взгляд.

Кто такой Дарио Амодей и почему его мнение интересно?

Имя Дарио известно в кругах тех, кто интересуется и серьезно занимается ИИ, а также тем, кто использует claude.ai. Он был вице-президентом по исследованиям в OpenAI и участвовал в разработке GPT-2 и GPT-3. До этого работал в Google Brain. В конце 2020 года он ушел из OpenAI и основал Anthropic — компанию, которая делает ставку на «конституционный ИИ» и безопасность искусственного интеллекта.

Масштабирование ИИ: рост вычислительных мощностей и новый уровень угроз

Один из ключевых инсайтов Амодей — чем больше вычислительных мощностей и данных используется для обучения ИИ, тем лучше они справляются с когнитивными задачами. Это звучит логично, но масштабы этого явления поражают. Уже сейчас модели обучаются на сотнях миллиардов параметров, а бюджеты их тренировки измеряются в миллиардах долларов. С увеличением интеллектуальных возможностей ИИ становится очевидным, что он повлияет не только на экономику, но и на национальную безопасность. Дарио говорит о том, что ИИ-модели непредсказуемы.

«Я часто говорю, что мы скорее “выращиваем” ИИ, чем «строим». Они развиваются, как детский мозг».

Но если ИИ растет как ребенок, как его контролировать? На этот вопрос у Anthropic есть ответ — попытаться встроить в систему базовые принципы поведения.

Конституционный ИИ: как обучить алгоритмы этике?

Anthropic внедряет принцип «конституционного ИИ» — вместо того, чтобы просто копировать данные из интернета или обучаться на человеческом фидбэке, модели изначально обучаются следовать четкому набору принципов. Это должно сделать их более предсказуемыми и безопасными.

Компания разработала систему уровней безопасности ИИ, которая напоминает биологические уровни безопасности.

  • ASL-2 (AI Safety Level 2) — уровень, на котором модели обладают мощными когнитивными способностями, но их риски сопоставимы с существующими технологиями.

  • ASL-3 — уровень, при котором ИИ может помочь человеку без специального образования создать химическое, биологическое или радиологическое оружие.

«Если система позволяет неспециалисту делать то, что сейчас под силу только ученым с PhD в вирусологии, значит, она достигла ASL-3. Мы приближаемся к этому уровню. Возможно, достигнем его уже в этом году».

Куда приведет нас рост интеллекта ИИ?

По мнению Амодей, через 2-4 года мы достигнем этапа, когда ИИ станет таким же умным, как нобелевские лауреаты во многих областях. Anthropic уже определила свой вектор: медицина, здравоохранение, нейронаука.

«Мы хотим, чтобы ИИ помог излечить болезни, разобраться в механизмах психических расстройств, а, может быть, даже помочь людям находить смысл жизни».

Звучит как научная фантастика. Дарио говорит о том, что ИИ уже пишет 90% кода в некоторых компаниях, а через год «будет писать практически весь код». Кстати, по мнению его коллеги, Кевина Вейла (CPO OpenAI), это может случится еще быстрее «к концу года кодинг будет автоматизирован если не полностью, то на 99% точно».

Генеральный директор Anthropic, считает, что очень скоро мы сможем общаться с ИИ как с человеком. Как всегда всех волнует вопрос — а что же делать человеку, когда будет всемогущий ИИ, да еще с «телом» (робототехника не просто не стоит на месте, а несется на бешеной скорости — стремительнее ветра). Кстати, в OpenAI намерены серьезно заняться робототехникой — время внедрять ИИ в физический мир не за горами.

Что делать человеку в мире, где ИИ умеет все?

На этот вопрос у Anthropic пока нет однозначного ответа. Однако один из весьма неприятных комментариев Амодей звучит так:

«Худший сценарий — если ИИ заменит 50% профессий выборочно. Это вызовет социальный хаос, ведь половина людей вдруг окажется ненужной. Лучше, если это произойдет сразу со всеми».

Получается, что в какой-то момент мы можем получить «контрольный в лоб»: «вы все бесполезны». Дарио верит, что существует позитивный вектор развития: человечество сможет построить мир, в котором биологическая (наша) жизнь сохраняет смысл, даже если ИИ умеет делать все лучше нас (и в том поможет нам ИИ, видимо). На мой взгляд, хрупкая концепция и вопросы рождает простые: «А как именно он поможет? А нам это понравится?». Но оставим пока это в стороне, дальше весьма интересно. По мнению Дарио, сейчас происходят два очень важных процесса. Стоимость создания ИИ-моделей снижается примерно в четыре раза ежегодно, поскольку находятся все более эффективные алгоритмы и архитектуры. А чем дешевле вычисления, тем выше их потенциал. При том объем инвестиций в разработку ИИ только растет — мир жаждет всё более умных и продвинутых моделей.

Гонка вооружений в ИИ: Китай против США

Еще одна важная тема, которую затронул Амодей — геополитическая гонка за ИИ. Китай стремительно догоняет США, и это всерьез беспокоит Америку. По мнению Дарио, DeepSeek — первая китайская модель, которая достигла уровня OpenAI, Google и Anthropic. А значит, США уже не могут считать себя единственными лидерами в этой сфере. В гонке за ИИ главный ресурс – вычислительные мощности. Модели требуют миллионы мощных чипов, и у кого они есть — тот и король.

«Если не остановить Китай в получении суперкомпьютеров, он сможет догнать США. А если это произойдет, то Китай получит военное и экономическое превосходство».

ИИ становится новой политической валютой. И тут возникает вопрос: а смогут ли те, у кого есть эта сила, применять ее этично? Или мы вступаем в эпоху, где ИИ станет инструментом нового глобального доминирования?

Финальный вопрос: кто контролирует, умнее всех?

Развитие ИИ несет в себе неизбежные риски. Будет ли он под контролем – или человечество потеряет контроль над ним? Даже сами разработчики не знают ответа. Дарио говорит, что между компаниями внутри США еще можно представить какие-то механизмы сдерживания, но между государствами ситуация другая. Если две державы гонятся за одной и той же сверхтехнологией, которая может стать ключом к господству, они не остановятся. И вот она сверх угроза для человечества на повестке марта 2025 года — угроза неконтролируемого поведения мощнейших ИИ-моделей. Нельзя полагаться на то, что люди смогут держать этого могущественного джина под контролем, он сломает все преграды, это не вопрос «если», а, скорее,«когда». Амодей считает, что сначала должно случиться что-то масштабное — некий прецедент, и только после этого люди начнут искать решения и будут готовы к сотрудничеству. Вопрос лишь в том, будет ли у нас к тому моменту достаточно времени, чтобы что-то исправить? Боюсь, что пока мы будем собирать убедительные доказательства реальных рисков, уже опоздаем своими медленными человеческими мозгами и ногами что-то изменить.

P.S. США планирует усилить экспортный контроль над чипами, внедрять системы оценки рисков, укрепить защиту ИИ-компаний от промышленного шпионажа. При том, ускорять разработки в биомедицине, наращивать инфраструктуру для все более мощных моделей. Напоминает историю про «как справиться с пробками» — давайте построим больше дорог. Пробок стало больше. А давайте еще больше. Что-то есть общее у этой ИИ истории с темой «транспортной», но выглядит посерьезнее.

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    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 12.10.25 19:53 Tonerdomark

    A crook swiped my Dogecoin. It ruined my whole world. Then Mr. Sylvester showed up. He fixed it all. He pulled back €211,000 for me. Not one cent missing from my profits. His steady cool and sharp tech know-how won back my trust. I got my money smooth and sound. After endless worry, relief hit me hard. I trusted him completely. Lost cash to a scam? Hit him up now at { yt7cracker@gmail . com }. His aid turned my life around. WhatsApp at +1 512 577 7957.

  • 12.10.25 21:36 blessing

    Writing this review is a joy. Marie has provided excellent service ever since I started working with her in early 2018. I was worried I wouldn't be able to get my coins back after they were stolen by hackers. I had no idea where to begin, therefore it was a nightmare for me. However, things became easier for me after my friend sent me to [email protected] and +1 7127594675 on WhatsApp. I'm happy that she was able to retrieve my bitcoin so that I could resume trading.

  • 13.10.25 01:11 elizabethrush89

    God bless Capital Crypto Recover Services for the marvelous work you did in my life, I have learned the hard way that even the most sensible investors can fall victim to scams. When my USD was stolen, for anyone who has fallen victim to one of the bitcoin binary investment scams that are currently ongoing, I felt betrayal and upset. But then I was reading a post on site when I saw a testimony of Wendy Taylor online who recommended that Capital Crypto Recovery has helped her recover scammed funds within 24 hours. after reaching out to this cyber security firm that was able to help me recover my stolen digital assets and bitcoin. I’m genuinely blown away by their amazing service and professionalism. I never imagined I’d be able to get my money back until I complained to Capital Crypto Recovery Services about my difficulties and gave all of the necessary paperwork. I was astounded that it took them 12 hours to reclaim my stolen money back. Without a doubt, my USDT assets were successfully recovered from the scam platform, Thank you so much Sir, I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover for any of your bitcoin recovery, digital funds recovery, hacking, and cybersecurity concerns. You reach them Call/Text Number +1 (336)390-6684 His Email: [email protected] Contact Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Via Contact: [email protected] His website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 13.10.25 01:11 elizabethrush89

    God bless Capital Crypto Recover Services for the marvelous work you did in my life, I have learned the hard way that even the most sensible investors can fall victim to scams. When my USD was stolen, for anyone who has fallen victim to one of the bitcoin binary investment scams that are currently ongoing, I felt betrayal and upset. But then I was reading a post on site when I saw a testimony of Wendy Taylor online who recommended that Capital Crypto Recovery has helped her recover scammed funds within 24 hours. after reaching out to this cyber security firm that was able to help me recover my stolen digital assets and bitcoin. I’m genuinely blown away by their amazing service and professionalism. I never imagined I’d be able to get my money back until I complained to Capital Crypto Recovery Services about my difficulties and gave all of the necessary paperwork. I was astounded that it took them 12 hours to reclaim my stolen money back. Without a doubt, my USDT assets were successfully recovered from the scam platform, Thank you so much Sir, I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover for any of your bitcoin recovery, digital funds recovery, hacking, and cybersecurity concerns. You reach them Call/Text Number +1 (336)390-6684 His Email: [email protected] Contact Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Via Contact: [email protected] His website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 01:15 tyleradams

    Hi. Please be wise, do not make the same mistake I had made in the past, I was a victim of bitcoin scam, I saw a glamorous review showering praises and marketing an investment firm, I reached out to them on what their contracts are, and I invested $28,000, which I was promised to get my first 15% profit in weeks, when it’s time to get my profits, I got to know the company was bogus, they kept asking me to invest more and I ran out of patience then requested to have my money back, they refused to answer nor refund my funds, not until a friend of mine introduced me to the NVIDIA TECH HACKERS, so I reached out and after tabling my complaints, they were swift to action and within 36 hours I got back my funds with the due profit. I couldn’t contain the joy in me. I urge you guys to reach out to NVIDIA TECH HACKERS on their email: [email protected]

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 14.10.25 08:46 robertalfred175

    CRYPTO SCAM RECOVERY SUCCESSFUL – A TESTIMONIAL OF LOST PASSWORD TO YOUR DIGITAL WALLET BACK. My name is Robert Alfred, Am from Australia. I’m sharing my experience in the hope that it helps others who have been victims of crypto scams. A few months ago, I fell victim to a fraudulent crypto investment scheme linked to a broker company. I had invested heavily during a time when Bitcoin prices were rising, thinking it was a good opportunity. Unfortunately, I was scammed out of $120,000 AUD and the broker denied me access to my digital wallet and assets. It was a devastating experience that caused many sleepless nights. Crypto scams are increasingly common and often involve fake trading platforms, phishing attacks, and misleading investment opportunities. In my desperation, a friend from the crypto community recommended Capital Crypto Recovery Service, known for helping victims recover lost or stolen funds. After doing some research and reading multiple positive reviews, I reached out to Capital Crypto Recovery. I provided all the necessary information—wallet addresses, transaction history, and communication logs. Their expert team responded immediately and began investigating. Using advanced blockchain tracking techniques, they were able to trace the stolen Dogecoin, identify the scammer’s wallet, and coordinate with relevant authorities to freeze the funds before they could be moved. Incredibly, within 24 hours, Capital Crypto Recovery successfully recovered the majority of my stolen crypto assets. I was beyond relieved and truly grateful. Their professionalism, transparency, and constant communication throughout the process gave me hope during a very difficult time. If you’ve been a victim of a crypto scam, I highly recommend them with full confidence contacting: 📧 Email: [email protected] 📱 Telegram: @Capitalcryptorecover Contact: [email protected] 📞 Call/Text: +1 (336) 390-6684 🌐 Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 18:07 crypto

    Cryptocurrency's digital realm presents many opportunities, but it also conceals complex frauds. It is quite painful to lose your cryptocurrency to scam. You can feel harassed and lost as a result. If you have been the victim of a cryptocurrency scam, this guide explains what to do ASAP. Following these procedures will help you avoid further issues or get your money back. Communication with Marie ([email protected] and WhatsApp: +1 7127594675) can make all the difference.

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

  • 15.10.25 21:52 harristhomas7376

    "In the crypto world, this is great news I want to share. Last year, I fell victim to a scam disguised as a safe investment option. I have invested in crypto trading platforms for about 10yrs thinking I was ensuring myself a retirement income, only to find that all my assets were either frozen, I believed my assets were secure — until I discovered that my BTC funds had been frozen and withdrawals were impossible. It was a devastating moment when I realized I had been scammed, and I thought my Bitcoin was gone forever, Everything changed when a close friend recommended the Capital Crypto Recover Service. Their professionalism, expertise, and dedication enabled me to recover my lost Bitcoin funds back — more than €560.000 DEM to my BTC wallet. What once felt impossible became a reality thanks to their support. If you have lost Bitcoin through scams, hacking, failed withdrawals, or similar challenges, don’t lose hope. I strongly recommend Capital Crypto Recover Service to anyone seeking a reliable and effective solution for recovering any wallet assets. They have a proven track record of successful reputation in recovering lost password assets for their clients and can help you navigate the process of recovering your funds. Don’t let scammers get away with your hard-earned money – contact Email: [email protected] Phone CALL/Text Number: +1 (336) 390-6684 Contact: [email protected] Website: https://recovercapital.wixsite.com/capital-crypto-rec-1

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