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Price analysis 10/4: BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, SOL, XRP, DOT, DOGE, LUNA, UNI

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Bitcoin bulls have set their sights on $50,000 and this renewed push is also boosting large and small-cap altcoin prices.

Bitcoin (BTC) is facing rejection near $50,000, indicating that bears are not ready to give up without a fight. Many analysts expect Bitcoin to soar in the last quarter of the year and stock-to-flow model creator PlanB says the “worst-case scenario” for Bitcoin in October is $63,000 and $98,000 by November.

PlanB is not alone in his bullish projection. Using Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI) indicator during the four-year cycle, Twitter commentator TechDev suggests that the second leg of the 2021 bull run may just be getting started. The trader expects Bitcoin’s cycle top to be around $200,000.

8ccac884-a505-4eae-8483-8cd04a8425ae.pngDaily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

While historical projections may be pointing for a rally in the last quarter, the rise may not be linear. The US equity market’s volatility in October is 36% higher than the average for the remaining 11 months, according to CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. Due to Bitcoin’s high correlation with the S&P 500, traders may be in for a roller coaster ride in October.

Could Bitcoin follow its historical precedence and rally to the upside and will altcoins join in on the party? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

The bulls pushed Bitcoin above the overhead resistance at $48,843.20 on Oct. 3 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick indicates that bears are defending the level aggressively. The price has been trading between the 50-day simple moving average ($46,667) and $48,843.20 for the past two days.

628cac71-536a-413a-8457-683e51b7c908.pngBTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bulls drive and sustain the price above the overhead resistance, the BTC/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to $50,000 and later to $52,920.

The 20-day exponential moving average ($45,478) has turned up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating the path of least resistance is to the upside.

Contrary to this assumption if bears pull the price below the 50-day SMA, the pair could drop to the 20-day EMA. A bounce off this support will be a positive sign and the bulls will make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle.

The advantage will tilt in favor of the bears if the price breaks and sustains below the 20-day EMA. The pair could then drop to the 100-day SMA ($41,935).

ETH/USDT

The bulls pushed Ether (ETH) above the downtrend line and the moving averages on Oct. 1 but the bears have not thrown in the towel yet. The sellers are attempting to stall the up-move near $3,500 and pull the price back below the 50-day SMA ($3,297).

f83a0b29-848a-4a31-ac2e-ad0085d99fdc.pngETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they manage to do that, the ETH/USDT pair could drop to the 20-day EMA ($3,194). This is an important support for the bulls to defend because a break below it could attract further selling. The pair may then drop to the psychological level at $3,000 and later to the 100-day SMA ($2,841).

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off the moving averages, the bulls may make one more attempt to propel the price above $3,500. If the price sustains above this resistance, the pair could rise to $3,676.28 and then to $4,000.

BNB/USDT

Binance Coin (BNB) has been facing strong resistance at the overhead resistance at $433 but the positive sign is that bulls have not given up much ground. This indicates that buyers are holding on to their positions as they anticipate a move higher.

16f35822-44b3-4032-a12c-acfeb3f106b3.pngBNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($395) has turned up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating a slight advantage to the bulls. If buyers drive and sustain the price above $433, the BNB/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to $518.90.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the current level, the pair may drop to the 20-day EMA. If the price rebounds off this level, the bulls will again try to push the pair above $433. A break and close below the 20-day EMA could keep the pair range-bound for a few days.

ADA/USDT

The bulls pushed Cardano (ADA) above the 20-day EMA ($2.25) for the past two consecutive days but they could not sustain the higher levels. This suggests that the sentiment remains negative and traders are defending the 20-day EMA.

e780dbe3-5174-4ea6-9f31-f095b4077218.pngADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price has turned down from the 20-day EMA today and the bears will now try to sink the ADA/USDT pair to the critical support at $1.94. If this level gives way, the pair could witness aggressive selling and plummet to $1.60.

This negative view will invalidate if the price turns up from the current level or rebounds off the $1.94 support and rises above the 20-day EMA. The pair could then rally to the 50-day SMA ($2.46) where bears may again mount a stiff resistance. A break above this level could clear the path for an up-move to $2.97.

SOL/USDT

Solana’s (SOL) recovery reached the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $177.80 on Oct. 3. This level is acting as a stiff resistance and the bears are trying to pull the price to the 20-day EMA ($150).

935276f3-0703-47ac-a866-cbe57f513efb.pngSOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price rebounds off the current levels or the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bulls are buying on dips. That will increase the possibility of a break above $177.80. If that happens, the SOL/USDT pair could rise to $200 and then retest the all-time high at $216.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that traders are closing their positions. The pair may then drop to the 50-day SMA ($129) and later to $116.

XRP/USDT

XRP rose above the 20-day EMA ($1.01) on Oct. 1 and bulls tried to push the price above the $1.07 overhead resistance on Oct. 3. However, the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears are defending the 50-day SMA ($1.10) forcefully.

7696c092-7e22-4b6d-a4db-439707e72869.pngXRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price is currently stuck in the tight range between the 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA. Both moving averages are flattish and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand.

This balance will tilt in favor of buyers if the price breaks and sustains above the 50-day SMA. The XRP/USDT pair could then start its journey toward the next resistance at $1.41.

On the contrary, if the price breaks and sustains below the 20-day EMA, the pair could drop to the 100-day SMA ($0.90). A break below this support could signal that bears are back in command.

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) broke above the moving averages and the downtrend line on Oct. 1, which was the first indication that bears may be losing their grip. The bulls tried to push the price above the right shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern on Oct. 2 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick indicates selling at higher levels.

02111fcf-9f60-4fdd-8484-b65e87a3d651.pngDOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The DOT/USDT pair formed a Doji candlestick pattern on Oct. 3, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears. This uncertainty has resolved to the downside today and the bears are trying to sink the price below the moving averages.

If they succeed, it will suggest that sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The pair could then challenge the neckline of the H&S pattern.

Conversely, if the price rebounds off the moving averages, the bulls will once again try to propel the price above the right shoulder and retest the critical resistance at $38.77.

Related: Is Axie Infinity overheating? AXS price hits record high following 100% QTD rally

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) recovered to the 20-day EMA ($0.22) on Oct. 1 but the bulls have not been able to sustain the price above this resistance in the past few days. This shows that sentiment is negative and bears are selling on rallies.

70f7cb19-c88c-4d80-9ce2-9629da1ce16c.pngDOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The long-legged Doji candlestick pattern today shows that bulls are buying near the $0.21 support while bears are selling near the 100-day SMA ($0.24). If this uncertainty resolves to the downside, the DOGE/USDT pair could drop to $0.19 and then to $0.15.

On the contrary, if bulls drive and sustain the price above the 100-day SMA, the pair could rally to the downtrend line, which could again act as a stiff resistance. A break and close above this level will be the first indication that the correction may be ending.

LUNA/USDT

The long wick on the Oct. 3 candlestick suggests that bears attempted to defend the $45.01 level but they could not sustain the lower levels. Aggressive buying by the bulls today has pushed Terra protocol’s LUNA token to a new all-time high.

5b38b18b-547b-4b12-82de-fa8090930bf4.pngLUNA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bulls sustain the price above $45.01, it will suggest the start of a new uptrend. The rising moving averages and the RSI in the positive zone indicate that bulls are in control. The LUNA/USDT pair could first rise to $50 and if this psychological hurdle is cleared, the next stop could be $65.

Conversely, if the price fails to sustain above $45.01, the bears will try to pull the price down to the 20-day EMA ($37.45). A strong bounce off this support will suggest that the positive sentiment is intact. The bears will have to sink and sustain the price below the 50-day SMA ($33.56) to gain the upper hand.

UNI/USDT

Uniswap (UNI) rose above the 50-day SMA ($25.46) on Oct. 2 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears sold at higher levels. The altcoin formed an inside-day candlestick pattern on Oct. 3, indicating indecision among bulls and bears.

b5b9b89c-bfae-48a2-a7d5-7c39c72e402d.pngUNI/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The uncertainty resolved to the downside and bears pulled the price to the 20-day EMA ($24.02) today but a positive sign is that bulls bought the dip aggressively, as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.

If the price sustains above $25, the bulls will again try to push the UNI/USDT pair above $27.62. Above this level, the pair could retest the critical resistance at $31.41.

On the other hand, if the price breaks below the moving averages, the pair could drop to $22. This is an important support for the bulls to defend because if it cracks, the decline could extend to $18.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Source

  • 14.09.20 18:24 Попко Колян

    👍👍👍👍👍

  • 14.09.20 18:26 Егор Шетюк

    Понеслась

  • 14.09.20 18:26 Захар Трофимов

    15$. Тюмень рулит😁

  • 14.09.20 18:35 Константин В.В

    Биток и эфир держу до лучших времён)

  • 14.09.20 18:38 Попко Колян

    ​ДОБРОГО

  • 14.09.20 18:43 Даниил

    Рига смотрит

  • 14.09.20 18:46 Вадим Никулин

    Всегда смотрю Вас!

  • 14.09.20 18:55 Захар Трофимов

    Минск на проводе

  • 14.09.20 18:56 Щука А

    Спасибо за ваш труд

  • 14.09.20 19:01 Никита

    Хай

  • 14.09.20 19:06 Вячеслав Левков

    Отложил биток на пенсию

  • 14.09.20 19:13 Попков С.А.

    Отличные эфиры у вас

  • 14.09.20 19:20 Щука А

    Привет из Москвы

  • 14.09.20 19:25 Алексей С.

    Всем РЕСПЕКТ

  • 14.09.20 19:27 Николай

    Вперед криптаны

  • 14.09.20 19:34 КРИПТАН

    Слышно гуд

  • 14.09.20 19:36 Егор Шетюк

    Подарите книгу)))

  • 14.09.20 19:44 Светлана П

    миллионерам привет

  • 14.09.20 19:48 Вячеслав Левков

    Крипта скам=)

  • 14.09.20 19:53 Тоха

    Понеслась

  • 14.09.20 19:57 Носов А.А

    Рига смотрит

  • 14.09.20 20:04 Прокоп

    Донаты принемаете?

  • 14.09.20 20:06 Носов А.А

    спасибо

  • 14.09.20 20:12 Юрий Ник

    Тюмень рулит😁

  • 14.09.20 20:18 Даниил

    миллионерам привет

  • 14.09.20 20:18 Нина

    17$. Биток и эфир держу до лучших времён)

  • 14.09.20 20:24 Никита

    18$. Задонатю вам баблишка)

  • 14.09.20 20:25 Вячеслав Левков

    Поможем парням лайками, я уже свой поставил

  • 14.09.20 20:26 Павел Скоровойтов

    Слава эфиру

  • 14.09.20 20:35 Носов А.А

    Привет, пацаны. Слышно, видно хорошо

  • 14.09.20 20:36 Тоха

    Шалом

  • 14.09.20 20:44 Лена

    Биток и эфир держу до лучших времён)

  • 14.09.20 20:47 Нина

    ​ку-ку)

  • 14.09.20 20:53 Попков С.А.

    Все good. Ростем потихоньку и падаем, как всегда

  • 14.09.20 20:58 Санек

    Всем РЕСПЕКТ

  • 14.09.20 21:01 Славка Орехов

    Спасибо за ваш труд

  • 14.09.20 21:10 Ваня А,

    Привет, пацаны. Слышно, видно хорошо

  • 14.09.20 21:13 Нина

    ​ДОБРОГО

  • 14.09.20 21:20 Никита

    Привет парни!

  • 14.09.20 21:25 Егор Шетюк

    Hello

  • 14.09.20 21:27 Вячеслав Левков

    ​ку-ку)

  • 14.09.20 21:33 Попков С.А.

    Тамбов с вами братва

  • 14.09.20 21:37 Серега Бумер

    Слава эфиру

  • 14.09.20 21:42 Ваня А,

    Подарите книгу)))

  • 14.09.20 21:50 Павел Скоровойтов

    Поможем парням лайками, я уже свой поставил

  • 14.09.20 21:54 Захар Трофимов

    Привет парни!

  • 14.09.20 21:56 Санек

    Отложил биток на пенсию

  • 14.09.20 22:03 Носов А.А

    Привет, пацаны. Слышно, видно хорошо

  • 14.09.20 22:03 Попков С.А.

    14$. Надо изучать Defi , интересно

  • 14.09.20 22:09 Николай

    Поможем парням лайками, я уже свой поставил

  • 14.09.20 22:14 Вадим Никулин

    Я из РБ слежу за вами давно💰

  • 14.09.20 22:17 Николай

    Поможем парням лайками, я уже свой поставил

  • 14.09.20 22:24 Лена

    ​Я снова с вами)))

  • 14.09.20 22:28 Носов А.А

    Отложил биток на пенсию

  • 14.09.20 22:31 Серега Бумер

    Тюмень рулит😁

  • 14.09.20 22:40 Светлана П

    Сморгонь 👍

  • 14.09.20 22:43 Вадим Никулин

    Отложил биток на пенсию

  • 14.09.20 22:46 Николаев

    Круто

  • 14.09.20 22:53 Ваня А,

    Люблю ваши трансляции, вы крутые!

  • 14.09.20 22:58 Вячеслав Левков

    Биток вперед!!!

  • 14.09.20 23:05 Носов А.А

    ​Привет всем с Украины!

  • 14.09.20 23:06 Носов А.А

    12$. ​здарова бандиты

  • 14.09.20 23:09 Константин В.В

    Отложил биток на пенсию

  • 14.09.20 23:14 Прокоп

    Екатеринбург на связи

  • 14.09.20 23:18 Николаев

    Круто

  • 14.09.20 23:25 Тоха

    ​здарова бандиты

  • 14.09.20 23:27 Попков С.А.

    Отличные эфиры у вас

  • 14.09.20 23:33 Лена

    Поможем парням лайками, я уже свой поставил

  • 14.09.20 23:39 Николаев

    Доброе утречко

  • 14.09.20 23:45 Лена

    Как успехи?

  • 14.09.20 23:49 Павел Скоровойтов

    ​ку-ку)

  • 14.09.20 23:51 Ваня А,

    Привет, пацаны. Слышно, видно хорошо

  • 14.09.20 23:57 Попков С.А.

    Хомяки тут

  • 15.09.20 00:01 Лысый Боб

    Привет, пацаны. Слышно, видно хорошо

  • 15.09.20 00:07 Санек

    Слава эфиру

  • 15.09.20 00:12 Щука А

    Екатеринбург на связи

  • 15.09.20 00:14 Нина

    23$. Лайк

  • 15.09.20 00:16 Юрий Ник

    Вперед криптаны

  • 15.09.20 00:25 Лена

    Биток и эфир держу до лучших времён)

  • 15.09.20 00:26 Попков С.А.

    Как успехи?

  • 15.09.20 00:33 Попко Колян

    Я из РБ слежу за вами давно💰

  • 15.09.20 00:40 Даниил

    миллионерам привет

  • 15.09.20 00:50 Константин В.В

    11$. Круто

  • 17.09.20 15:31 Trident

    купил билет на семинар который изначально планировался в субботу.... в пятницу не смогу послушать, гле посмотреть запись?

  • 24.09.20 12:08 Серго1985

    Как бабло зарабатывается??

  • 15.10.20 09:16 Vyacheslav

    отлично зарабатывается !)

  • 15.10.20 09:16 Vyacheslav

    у вас как?

  • 09.02.21 10:40 ave2510

    всем привет! кто то заходил в ю8д...?

  • 10.02.21 12:52 [email protected]

    почему я на юнисвоп не вижу токен NTFI

  • 16.02.21 18:27 Jessikagylu

    Всем привет. А какой интернет вы используете для майнинга? Прочла интересную статью https://hashalot.io/blog/vyjdet-li-majning-za-limit-trafika-kakaya-skorost-interneta-nuzhna-dlya-majninga/ и задумалась над этим. Какие характеристики сети у вашего провайдера?

  • 24.04.21 07:21 [email protected]

    991532991

  • 24.04.21 07:24 [email protected]

    998991532991

  • 24.04.21 07:25 [email protected]

    [email protected]

  • 12.05.21 09:24 Calibr

    Как купить доступ в закрытый чат?

  • 18.06.21 11:05 007ja

    Как войти на выбинар бесплатный в 11:00

  • 13.07.21 19:13 ChicoChalk

    Try changehero: https://changehero.io/

  • 15.07.21 21:57 Alonzo

    ребята нужна помощь не могу завести ton на кошелек ton cristal!

  • 18.07.21 00:04 Alonzo

    ребят мне нужна помощь я не могу зайти в фермы !вроде делаю все как вы обьясняли но что то делаю не так нужна помощь

  • 26.08.21 04:09 Noverlick

    А значит надо оптимизировать алгоритм. Мы в Новерлик это сделали!

  • 08.10.21 12:36 artem2121ro

    Как принять участие?

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